Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Town: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
276
October 2025–September 2026
421
Change in monthly mean
+12.08

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.53-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthSingle-trend reference: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 7Feb 2019: 49Mar 2019: 77Apr 2019: 51May 2019: 89Jun 2019: 71Jul 2019: 52Aug 2019: 30Sep 2019: 32Oct 2019: 22Nov 2019: 18Dec 2019: 4Jan 2020: 27Feb 2020: 19Mar 2020: 12Apr 2020: 14May 2020: 8Jun 2020: 16Jul 2020: 12Aug 2020: 5Sep 2020: 3Oct 2020: 8Nov 2020: 5Dec 2020: 2Jan 2021: 4Feb 2021: 12Mar 2021: 17Apr 2021: 14May 2021: 8Jun 2021: 14Jul 2021: 14Aug 2021: 7Sep 2021: 17Oct 2021: 7Nov 2021: 7Dec 2021: 6Jan 2022: 10Feb 2022: 20Mar 2022: 47Apr 2022: 52May 2022: 37Jun 2022: 21Jul 2022: 25Aug 2022: 13Sep 2022: 9Oct 2022: 5Nov 2022: 12Dec 2022: 5Jan 2023: 6Feb 2023: 16Mar 2023: 26Apr 2023: 46May 2023: 33Jun 2023: 17Jul 2023: 23Aug 2023: 25Sep 2023: 6Oct 2023: 9Nov 2023: 8Dec 2023: 7Jan 2024: 16Feb 2024: 20Mar 2024: 25Apr 2024: 33May 2024: 33Jun 2024: 26Jul 2024: 30Aug 2024: 20Sep 2024: 17Oct 2024: 9Nov 2024: 12Dec 2024: 7Jan 2025: 14Feb 2025: 12Mar 2025: 23Apr 2025: 45May 2025: 58Jun 2025: 38Jul 2025: 26Aug 2025: 22Sep 2025: 10Oct 2025: 6Nov 2025: 4Dec 2025: 9Jan 2026: 23Feb 2026: 22Mar 2026: 75Apr 2026: 131May 2026: 61Jun 2026: 25Jul 2026: 27Aug 2026: 19Sep 2026: 19ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Single-trend reference · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.02Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • The best candidate failed the residual-independence diagnostic. A single-trend reference is shown instead; this does not establish a stable trend.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.020.9808–1.06200.696
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202619complete
August 202619complete
July 202627complete
June 202625complete
May 202661complete
April 2026131complete
March 202675complete
February 202622complete
January 202623complete
December 20259complete
November 20254complete
October 20256complete
September 202510complete
August 202522complete
July 202526complete
June 202538complete
May 202558complete
April 202545complete
March 202523complete
February 202512complete
January 202514complete
December 20247complete
November 202412complete
October 20249complete
September 202417complete
August 202420complete
July 202430complete
June 202426complete
May 202433complete
April 202433complete
March 202425complete
February 202420complete
January 202416complete
December 20237complete
November 20238complete
October 20239complete
September 20236complete
August 202325complete
July 202323complete
June 202317complete
May 202333complete
April 202346complete
March 202326complete
February 202316complete
January 20236complete
December 20225complete
November 202212complete
October 20225complete
September 20229complete
August 202213complete
July 202225complete
June 202221complete
May 202237complete
April 202252complete
March 202247complete
February 202220complete
January 202210complete
December 20216complete
November 20217complete
October 20217complete
September 202117complete
August 20217complete
July 202114complete
June 202114complete
May 20218complete
April 202114complete
March 202117complete
February 202112complete
January 20214complete
December 20202complete
November 20205complete
October 20208complete
September 20203complete
August 20205complete
July 202012complete
June 202016complete
May 20208complete
April 202014complete
March 202012complete
February 202019complete
January 202027complete
December 20194complete
November 201918complete
October 201922complete
September 201932complete
August 201930complete
July 201952complete
June 201971complete
May 201989complete
April 201951complete
March 201977complete
February 201949complete
January 20197complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:bd808d0b1aecec175d9c1f71a4eb84fb
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
ca7ed5de7c52af70abb547c915689849873f58908227e5be9ca9e356f797740a

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.