Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Ridge: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
272
October 2025–September 2026
448
Change in monthly mean
+14.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.65-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 5Feb 2019: 97Mar 2019: 219Apr 2019: 36May 2019: 68Jun 2019: 57Jul 2019: 92Aug 2019: 60Sep 2019: 42Oct 2019: 35Nov 2019: 22Dec 2019: 19Jan 2020: 34Feb 2020: 21Mar 2020: 19Apr 2020: 53May 2020: 21Jun 2020: 18Jul 2020: 19Aug 2020: 27Sep 2020: 11Oct 2020: 12Nov 2020: 6Dec 2020: 21Jan 2021: 98Feb 2021: 29Mar 2021: 68Apr 2021: 58May 2021: 17Jun 2021: 6Jul 2021: 7Aug 2021: 8Sep 2021: 5Oct 2021: 12Nov 2021: 1Dec 2021: 10Jan 2022: 5Feb 2022: 26Mar 2022: 55Apr 2022: 59May 2022: 69Jun 2022: 48Jul 2022: 37Aug 2022: 28Sep 2022: 6Oct 2022: 17Nov 2022: 3Dec 2022: 30Jan 2023: 44Feb 2023: 56Mar 2023: 68Apr 2023: 23May 2023: 28Jun 2023: 15Jul 2023: 15Aug 2023: 17Sep 2023: 9Oct 2023: 14Nov 2023: 33Dec 2023: 27Jan 2024: 32Feb 2024: 53Mar 2024: 59Apr 2024: 40May 2024: 35Jun 2024: 30Jul 2024: 50Aug 2024: 7Sep 2024: 3Oct 2024: 24Nov 2024: 3Dec 2024: 11Jan 2025: 49Feb 2025: 26Mar 2025: 27Apr 2025: 22May 2025: 29Jun 2025: 40Jul 2025: 32Aug 2025: 7Sep 2025: 2Oct 2025: 8Nov 2025: 6Dec 2025: 23Jan 2026: 107Feb 2026: 32Mar 2026: 63Apr 2026: 80May 2026: 39Jun 2026: 30Jul 2026: 19Aug 2026: 25Sep 2026: 16ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.02Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.020.9331–1.02300.461
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202616complete
August 202625complete
July 202619complete
June 202630complete
May 202639complete
April 202680complete
March 202663complete
February 202632complete
January 2026107complete
December 202523complete
November 20256complete
October 20258complete
September 20252complete
August 20257complete
July 202532complete
June 202540complete
May 202529complete
April 202522complete
March 202527complete
February 202526complete
January 202549complete
December 202411complete
November 20243complete
October 202424complete
September 20243complete
August 20247complete
July 202450complete
June 202430complete
May 202435complete
April 202440complete
March 202459complete
February 202453complete
January 202432complete
December 202327complete
November 202333complete
October 202314complete
September 20239complete
August 202317complete
July 202315complete
June 202315complete
May 202328complete
April 202323complete
March 202368complete
February 202356complete
January 202344complete
December 202230complete
November 20223complete
October 202217complete
September 20226complete
August 202228complete
July 202237complete
June 202248complete
May 202269complete
April 202259complete
March 202255complete
February 202226complete
January 20225complete
December 202110complete
November 20211complete
October 202112complete
September 20215complete
August 20218complete
July 20217complete
June 20216complete
May 202117complete
April 202158complete
March 202168complete
February 202129complete
January 202198complete
December 202021complete
November 20206complete
October 202012complete
September 202011complete
August 202027complete
July 202019complete
June 202018complete
May 202021complete
April 202053complete
March 202019complete
February 202021complete
January 202034complete
December 201919complete
November 201922complete
October 201935complete
September 201942complete
August 201960complete
July 201992complete
June 201957complete
May 201968complete
April 201936complete
March 2019219complete
February 201997complete
January 20195complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:ac68f253865b970479c26bb4104dac84
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
9a1884f9cc2d7f40630274581fa2aca4c2b462e08a363a80859ab809940eadb8

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.