Generated evidence · pending editorial review

South Lawndale: All categories · Status: Completed — Pothole requests

All categories · Status: Completed

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
653
October 2025–September 2026
1,032
Change in monthly mean
+31.58

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.58-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 21Feb 2019: 259Mar 2019: 342Apr 2019: 125May 2019: 221Jun 2019: 274Jul 2019: 153Aug 2019: 139Sep 2019: 115Oct 2019: 113Nov 2019: 77Dec 2019: 93Jan 2020: 66Feb 2020: 74Mar 2020: 150Apr 2020: 44May 2020: 59Jun 2020: 35Jul 2020: 64Aug 2020: 40Sep 2020: 71Oct 2020: 29Nov 2020: 29Dec 2020: 111Jan 2021: 99Feb 2021: 80Mar 2021: 113Apr 2021: 88May 2021: 84Jun 2021: 59Jul 2021: 142Aug 2021: 72Sep 2021: 34Oct 2021: 43Nov 2021: 44Dec 2021: 38Jan 2022: 25Feb 2022: 106Mar 2022: 266Apr 2022: 331May 2022: 203Jun 2022: 117Jul 2022: 124Aug 2022: 66Sep 2022: 170Oct 2022: 51Nov 2022: 30Dec 2022: 44Jan 2023: 112Feb 2023: 145Mar 2023: 132Apr 2023: 78May 2023: 41Jun 2023: 74Jul 2023: 56Aug 2023: 87Sep 2023: 73Oct 2023: 26Nov 2023: 31Dec 2023: 39Jan 2024: 164Feb 2024: 109Mar 2024: 73Apr 2024: 104May 2024: 114Jun 2024: 107Jul 2024: 65Aug 2024: 51Sep 2024: 32Oct 2024: 40Nov 2024: 28Dec 2024: 44Jan 2025: 63Feb 2025: 50Mar 2025: 91Apr 2025: 88May 2025: 53Jun 2025: 44Jul 2025: 38Aug 2025: 76Sep 2025: 38Oct 2025: 39Nov 2025: 12Dec 2025: 61Jan 2026: 61Feb 2026: 116Mar 2026: 200Apr 2026: 228May 2026: 103Jun 2026: 51Jul 2026: 66Aug 2026: 67Sep 2026: 28ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.04Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.040.9339–0.993100.458
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202628complete
August 202667complete
July 202666complete
June 202651complete
May 2026103complete
April 2026228complete
March 2026200complete
February 2026116complete
January 202661complete
December 202561complete
November 202512complete
October 202539complete
September 202538complete
August 202576complete
July 202538complete
June 202544complete
May 202553complete
April 202588complete
March 202591complete
February 202550complete
January 202563complete
December 202444complete
November 202428complete
October 202440complete
September 202432complete
August 202451complete
July 202465complete
June 2024107complete
May 2024114complete
April 2024104complete
March 202473complete
February 2024109complete
January 2024164complete
December 202339complete
November 202331complete
October 202326complete
September 202373complete
August 202387complete
July 202356complete
June 202374complete
May 202341complete
April 202378complete
March 2023132complete
February 2023145complete
January 2023112complete
December 202244complete
November 202230complete
October 202251complete
September 2022170complete
August 202266complete
July 2022124complete
June 2022117complete
May 2022203complete
April 2022331complete
March 2022266complete
February 2022106complete
January 202225complete
December 202138complete
November 202144complete
October 202143complete
September 202134complete
August 202172complete
July 2021142complete
June 202159complete
May 202184complete
April 202188complete
March 2021113complete
February 202180complete
January 202199complete
December 2020111complete
November 202029complete
October 202029complete
September 202071complete
August 202040complete
July 202064complete
June 202035complete
May 202059complete
April 202044complete
March 2020150complete
February 202074complete
January 202066complete
December 201993complete
November 201977complete
October 2019113complete
September 2019115complete
August 2019139complete
July 2019153complete
June 2019274complete
May 2019221complete
April 2019125complete
March 2019342complete
February 2019259complete
January 201921complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:70022d65c580e198bb57faed68d3fc80
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
f594434118ef084fc72b70b851f6740a98cc078993ffe933b540bcda6ca71976

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.