Generated evidence · pending editorial review

South Lawndale: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
315
October 2025–September 2026
549
Change in monthly mean
+19.5

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.74-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 12Feb 2019: 102Mar 2019: 132Apr 2019: 73May 2019: 120Jun 2019: 100Jul 2019: 76Aug 2019: 86Sep 2019: 52Oct 2019: 61Nov 2019: 34Dec 2019: 51Jan 2020: 22Feb 2020: 44Mar 2020: 72Apr 2020: 23May 2020: 43Jun 2020: 14Jul 2020: 36Aug 2020: 18Sep 2020: 33Oct 2020: 16Nov 2020: 14Dec 2020: 61Jan 2021: 37Feb 2021: 32Mar 2021: 57Apr 2021: 33May 2021: 25Jun 2021: 25Jul 2021: 79Aug 2021: 35Sep 2021: 9Oct 2021: 18Nov 2021: 19Dec 2021: 7Jan 2022: 7Feb 2022: 54Mar 2022: 122Apr 2022: 152May 2022: 107Jun 2022: 58Jul 2022: 76Aug 2022: 18Sep 2022: 81Oct 2022: 29Nov 2022: 14Dec 2022: 11Jan 2023: 33Feb 2023: 49Mar 2023: 59Apr 2023: 34May 2023: 16Jun 2023: 36Jul 2023: 14Aug 2023: 49Sep 2023: 38Oct 2023: 8Nov 2023: 7Dec 2023: 25Jan 2024: 78Feb 2024: 35Mar 2024: 33Apr 2024: 39May 2024: 43Jun 2024: 50Jul 2024: 33Aug 2024: 18Sep 2024: 18Oct 2024: 21Nov 2024: 12Dec 2024: 23Jan 2025: 35Feb 2025: 10Mar 2025: 28Apr 2025: 57May 2025: 22Jun 2025: 18Jul 2025: 24Aug 2025: 45Sep 2025: 20Oct 2025: 20Nov 2025: 5Dec 2025: 22Jan 2026: 29Feb 2026: 58Mar 2026: 70Apr 2026: 126May 2026: 76Jun 2026: 29Jul 2026: 42Aug 2026: 40Sep 2026: 32ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.030.9339–1.00200.408
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202632complete
August 202640complete
July 202642complete
June 202629complete
May 202676complete
April 2026126complete
March 202670complete
February 202658complete
January 202629complete
December 202522complete
November 20255complete
October 202520complete
September 202520complete
August 202545complete
July 202524complete
June 202518complete
May 202522complete
April 202557complete
March 202528complete
February 202510complete
January 202535complete
December 202423complete
November 202412complete
October 202421complete
September 202418complete
August 202418complete
July 202433complete
June 202450complete
May 202443complete
April 202439complete
March 202433complete
February 202435complete
January 202478complete
December 202325complete
November 20237complete
October 20238complete
September 202338complete
August 202349complete
July 202314complete
June 202336complete
May 202316complete
April 202334complete
March 202359complete
February 202349complete
January 202333complete
December 202211complete
November 202214complete
October 202229complete
September 202281complete
August 202218complete
July 202276complete
June 202258complete
May 2022107complete
April 2022152complete
March 2022122complete
February 202254complete
January 20227complete
December 20217complete
November 202119complete
October 202118complete
September 20219complete
August 202135complete
July 202179complete
June 202125complete
May 202125complete
April 202133complete
March 202157complete
February 202132complete
January 202137complete
December 202061complete
November 202014complete
October 202016complete
September 202033complete
August 202018complete
July 202036complete
June 202014complete
May 202043complete
April 202023complete
March 202072complete
February 202044complete
January 202022complete
December 201951complete
November 201934complete
October 201961complete
September 201952complete
August 201986complete
July 201976complete
June 2019100complete
May 2019120complete
April 201973complete
March 2019132complete
February 2019102complete
January 201912complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:70022d65c580e198bb57faed68d3fc80
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
f594434118ef084fc72b70b851f6740a98cc078993ffe933b540bcda6ca71976

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.