Generated evidence · pending editorial review

South Lawndale: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
212
October 2025–September 2026
455
Change in monthly mean
+20.25

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.15-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 5Feb 2019: 121Mar 2019: 159Apr 2019: 34May 2019: 65Jun 2019: 147Jul 2019: 57Aug 2019: 29Sep 2019: 51Oct 2019: 29Nov 2019: 22Dec 2019: 27Jan 2020: 34Feb 2020: 22Mar 2020: 63Apr 2020: 14May 2020: 6Jun 2020: 10Jul 2020: 21Aug 2020: 11Sep 2020: 19Oct 2020: 9Nov 2020: 5Dec 2020: 38Jan 2021: 55Feb 2021: 45Mar 2021: 46Apr 2021: 50May 2021: 56Jun 2021: 23Jul 2021: 41Aug 2021: 7Sep 2021: 22Oct 2021: 13Nov 2021: 21Dec 2021: 13Jan 2022: 17Feb 2022: 34Mar 2022: 110Apr 2022: 110May 2022: 64Jun 2022: 40Jul 2022: 31Aug 2022: 31Sep 2022: 80Oct 2022: 15Nov 2022: 12Dec 2022: 26Jan 2023: 69Feb 2023: 61Mar 2023: 56Apr 2023: 32May 2023: 14Jun 2023: 29Jul 2023: 29Aug 2023: 19Sep 2023: 22Oct 2023: 13Nov 2023: 22Dec 2023: 5Jan 2024: 73Feb 2024: 62Mar 2024: 32Apr 2024: 55May 2024: 38Jun 2024: 33Jul 2024: 20Aug 2024: 23Sep 2024: 5Oct 2024: 12Nov 2024: 11Dec 2024: 12Jan 2025: 21Feb 2025: 23Mar 2025: 53Apr 2025: 16May 2025: 10Jun 2025: 17Jul 2025: 4Aug 2025: 22Sep 2025: 11Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 4Dec 2025: 33Jan 2026: 30Feb 2026: 51Mar 2026: 113Apr 2026: 69May 2026: 25Jun 2026: 25Jul 2026: 15Aug 2026: 44Sep 2026: 35ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.030.9341–1.01000.368
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202635complete
August 202644complete
July 202615complete
June 202625complete
May 202625complete
April 202669complete
March 2026113complete
February 202651complete
January 202630complete
December 202533complete
November 20254complete
October 202511complete
September 202511complete
August 202522complete
July 20254complete
June 202517complete
May 202510complete
April 202516complete
March 202553complete
February 202523complete
January 202521complete
December 202412complete
November 202411complete
October 202412complete
September 20245complete
August 202423complete
July 202420complete
June 202433complete
May 202438complete
April 202455complete
March 202432complete
February 202462complete
January 202473complete
December 20235complete
November 202322complete
October 202313complete
September 202322complete
August 202319complete
July 202329complete
June 202329complete
May 202314complete
April 202332complete
March 202356complete
February 202361complete
January 202369complete
December 202226complete
November 202212complete
October 202215complete
September 202280complete
August 202231complete
July 202231complete
June 202240complete
May 202264complete
April 2022110complete
March 2022110complete
February 202234complete
January 202217complete
December 202113complete
November 202121complete
October 202113complete
September 202122complete
August 20217complete
July 202141complete
June 202123complete
May 202156complete
April 202150complete
March 202146complete
February 202145complete
January 202155complete
December 202038complete
November 20205complete
October 20209complete
September 202019complete
August 202011complete
July 202021complete
June 202010complete
May 20206complete
April 202014complete
March 202063complete
February 202022complete
January 202034complete
December 201927complete
November 201922complete
October 201929complete
September 201951complete
August 201929complete
July 201957complete
June 2019147complete
May 201965complete
April 201934complete
March 2019159complete
February 2019121complete
January 20195complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:70022d65c580e198bb57faed68d3fc80
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
f594434118ef084fc72b70b851f6740a98cc078993ffe933b540bcda6ca71976

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.