Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Rogers Park: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
43
October 2025–September 2026
154
Change in monthly mean
+9.25

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 3.58-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 1Feb 2019: 4Mar 2019: 16Apr 2019: 7May 2019: 19Jun 2019: 12Jul 2019: 9Aug 2019: 8Sep 2019: 7Oct 2019: 4Nov 2019: 3Dec 2019: 1Jan 2020: 11Feb 2020: 3Mar 2020: 1Apr 2020: 5May 2020: 14Jun 2020: 7Jul 2020: 9Aug 2020: 2Sep 2020: 1Oct 2020: 3Nov 2020: 1Jan 2021: 1Mar 2021: 1Apr 2021: 2May 2021: 2Jun 2021: 10Jul 2021: 5Aug 2021: 2Sep 2021: 1Oct 2021: 4Nov 2021: 8Dec 2021: 5Feb 2022: 5Mar 2022: 5Apr 2022: 20May 2022: 24Jun 2022: 28Jul 2022: 40Aug 2022: 6Sep 2022: 1Oct 2022: 4Dec 2022: 2Jan 2023: 2Feb 2023: 4Mar 2023: 17Apr 2023: 19May 2023: 7Jun 2023: 6Jul 2023: 21Aug 2023: 3Sep 2023: 5Oct 2023: 3Nov 2023: 3Dec 2023: 4Jan 2024: 12Feb 2024: 3Mar 2024: 32Apr 2024: 3May 2024: 15Jun 2024: 9Jul 2024: 7Aug 2024: 3Sep 2024: 6Oct 2024: 1Nov 2024: 2Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 2Feb 2025: 4Mar 2025: 1Apr 2025: 7May 2025: 10Jun 2025: 5Jul 2025: 5Aug 2025: 3Sep 2025: 2Nov 2025: 1Dec 2025: 1Jan 2026: 20Feb 2026: 9Mar 2026: 20Apr 2026: 32May 2026: 24Jun 2026: 10Jul 2026: 11Aug 2026: 13Sep 2026: 13ZeroUnknownDec 2020: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2021: zero requests; not connectedJan 2022: zero requests; not connectedNov 2022: zero requests; not connectedOct 2025: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 5 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 5 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.030.9819–1.08550.480
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202613complete
August 202613complete
July 202611complete
June 202610complete
May 202624complete
April 202632complete
March 202620complete
February 20269complete
January 202620complete
December 20251complete
November 20251complete
October 20250complete
September 20252complete
August 20253complete
July 20255complete
June 20255complete
May 202510complete
April 20257complete
March 20251complete
February 20254complete
January 20252complete
December 20241complete
November 20242complete
October 20241complete
September 20246complete
August 20243complete
July 20247complete
June 20249complete
May 202415complete
April 20243complete
March 202432complete
February 20243complete
January 202412complete
December 20234complete
November 20233complete
October 20233complete
September 20235complete
August 20233complete
July 202321complete
June 20236complete
May 20237complete
April 202319complete
March 202317complete
February 20234complete
January 20232complete
December 20222complete
November 20220complete
October 20224complete
September 20221complete
August 20226complete
July 202240complete
June 202228complete
May 202224complete
April 202220complete
March 20225complete
February 20225complete
January 20220complete
December 20215complete
November 20218complete
October 20214complete
September 20211complete
August 20212complete
July 20215complete
June 202110complete
May 20212complete
April 20212complete
March 20211complete
February 20210complete
January 20211complete
December 20200complete
November 20201complete
October 20203complete
September 20201complete
August 20202complete
July 20209complete
June 20207complete
May 202014complete
April 20205complete
March 20201complete
February 20203complete
January 202011complete
December 20191complete
November 20193complete
October 20194complete
September 20197complete
August 20198complete
July 20199complete
June 201912complete
May 201919complete
April 20197complete
March 201916complete
February 20194complete
January 20191complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:c7d4e9a5a7fc42ba4ff42fcc5e2a252b
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
4156b49b74cb66fa90e2d5d852142474b92d5ae70c3f6b30b642e041ffadf45e

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.