Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Ohare: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
69
October 2025–September 2026
148
Change in monthly mean
+6.58

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.14-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Feb 2019: 4Mar 2019: 30Apr 2019: 12May 2019: 4Jun 2019: 1Jul 2019: 5Aug 2019: 10Sep 2019: 12Oct 2019: 10Nov 2019: 7Dec 2019: 4Jan 2020: 5Feb 2020: 8Mar 2020: 3Apr 2020: 5May 2020: 3Jul 2020: 4Aug 2020: 2Sep 2020: 4Nov 2020: 1Dec 2020: 9Jan 2021: 6Feb 2021: 19Mar 2021: 10Apr 2021: 8May 2021: 4Jul 2021: 15Aug 2021: 11Sep 2021: 1Oct 2021: 4Nov 2021: 3Dec 2021: 1Jan 2022: 5Feb 2022: 8Mar 2022: 12Apr 2022: 14May 2022: 15Jun 2022: 8Jul 2022: 3Aug 2022: 3Sep 2022: 3Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 2Feb 2023: 10Mar 2023: 9Apr 2023: 11May 2023: 9Jun 2023: 9Jul 2023: 9Aug 2023: 16Oct 2023: 3Nov 2023: 4Dec 2023: 7Jan 2024: 5Feb 2024: 20Mar 2024: 5Apr 2024: 28May 2024: 5Jun 2024: 14Jul 2024: 1Aug 2024: 2Sep 2024: 5Oct 2024: 6Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 4Feb 2025: 14Mar 2025: 7Apr 2025: 1May 2025: 8Jun 2025: 7Jul 2025: 11Aug 2025: 6Sep 2025: 4Oct 2025: 2Nov 2025: 5Dec 2025: 10Jan 2026: 5Feb 2026: 15Mar 2026: 14Apr 2026: 43May 2026: 5Jun 2026: 21Jul 2026: 9Aug 2026: 7Sep 2026: 12ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedJun 2020: zero requests; not connectedOct 2020: zero requests; not connectedJun 2021: zero requests; not connectedDec 2022: zero requests; not connectedJan 2023: zero requests; not connectedSep 2023: zero requests; not connectedNov 2024: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.03Direction uncertain · 8 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 8 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.030.9902–1.08280.260
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202612complete
August 20267complete
July 20269complete
June 202621complete
May 20265complete
April 202643complete
March 202614complete
February 202615complete
January 20265complete
December 202510complete
November 20255complete
October 20252complete
September 20254complete
August 20256complete
July 202511complete
June 20257complete
May 20258complete
April 20251complete
March 20257complete
February 202514complete
January 20254complete
December 20241complete
November 20240complete
October 20246complete
September 20245complete
August 20242complete
July 20241complete
June 202414complete
May 20245complete
April 202428complete
March 20245complete
February 202420complete
January 20245complete
December 20237complete
November 20234complete
October 20233complete
September 20230complete
August 202316complete
July 20239complete
June 20239complete
May 20239complete
April 202311complete
March 20239complete
February 202310complete
January 20230complete
December 20220complete
November 20222complete
October 20224complete
September 20223complete
August 20223complete
July 20223complete
June 20228complete
May 202215complete
April 202214complete
March 202212complete
February 20228complete
January 20225complete
December 20211complete
November 20213complete
October 20214complete
September 20211complete
August 202111complete
July 202115complete
June 20210complete
May 20214complete
April 20218complete
March 202110complete
February 202119complete
January 20216complete
December 20209complete
November 20201complete
October 20200complete
September 20204complete
August 20202complete
July 20204complete
June 20200complete
May 20203complete
April 20205complete
March 20203complete
February 20208complete
January 20205complete
December 20194complete
November 20197complete
October 201910complete
September 201912complete
August 201910complete
July 20195complete
June 20191complete
May 20194complete
April 201912complete
March 201930complete
February 20194complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:ee5cc8824f1ae5bf0515860f60fced3f
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
eb56839062f659b3ec99b5b5fa40e27d8e3eb51fa59e0c5e9d95bac2a06a5923

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.