Generated evidence · pending editorial review

North Park: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
187
October 2025–September 2026
398
Change in monthly mean
+17.58

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.13-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 2Feb 2019: 39Mar 2019: 58Apr 2019: 10May 2019: 33Jun 2019: 25Jul 2019: 21Aug 2019: 24Sep 2019: 23Oct 2019: 17Nov 2019: 4Dec 2019: 14Jan 2020: 22Feb 2020: 10Mar 2020: 18Apr 2020: 22May 2020: 12Jun 2020: 10Jul 2020: 13Aug 2020: 6Sep 2020: 1Oct 2020: 3Nov 2020: 2Jan 2021: 37Feb 2021: 6Mar 2021: 13Apr 2021: 7May 2021: 3Jun 2021: 18Jul 2021: 24Aug 2021: 15Sep 2021: 4Oct 2021: 4Nov 2021: 7Dec 2021: 2Jan 2022: 8Feb 2022: 26Mar 2022: 19Apr 2022: 61May 2022: 13Jun 2022: 44Jul 2022: 17Aug 2022: 5Sep 2022: 3Oct 2022: 5Nov 2022: 4Dec 2022: 5Jan 2023: 12Feb 2023: 26Mar 2023: 26Apr 2023: 22May 2023: 11Jun 2023: 6Jul 2023: 16Aug 2023: 22Sep 2023: 13Oct 2023: 7Nov 2023: 4Dec 2023: 6Jan 2024: 28Feb 2024: 18Mar 2024: 25Apr 2024: 17May 2024: 11Jun 2024: 18Jul 2024: 21Aug 2024: 15Sep 2024: 10Oct 2024: 16Nov 2024: 7Dec 2024: 6Jan 2025: 15Feb 2025: 12Mar 2025: 42Apr 2025: 31May 2025: 13Jun 2025: 12Jul 2025: 11Aug 2025: 10Sep 2025: 12Oct 2025: 15Nov 2025: 7Dec 2025: 11Jan 2026: 51Feb 2026: 23Mar 2026: 64Apr 2026: 89May 2026: 44Jun 2026: 31Jul 2026: 20Aug 2026: 8Sep 2026: 35ZeroUnknownDec 2020: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.05Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.051.002–1.09010.404
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202635complete
August 20268complete
July 202620complete
June 202631complete
May 202644complete
April 202689complete
March 202664complete
February 202623complete
January 202651complete
December 202511complete
November 20257complete
October 202515complete
September 202512complete
August 202510complete
July 202511complete
June 202512complete
May 202513complete
April 202531complete
March 202542complete
February 202512complete
January 202515complete
December 20246complete
November 20247complete
October 202416complete
September 202410complete
August 202415complete
July 202421complete
June 202418complete
May 202411complete
April 202417complete
March 202425complete
February 202418complete
January 202428complete
December 20236complete
November 20234complete
October 20237complete
September 202313complete
August 202322complete
July 202316complete
June 20236complete
May 202311complete
April 202322complete
March 202326complete
February 202326complete
January 202312complete
December 20225complete
November 20224complete
October 20225complete
September 20223complete
August 20225complete
July 202217complete
June 202244complete
May 202213complete
April 202261complete
March 202219complete
February 202226complete
January 20228complete
December 20212complete
November 20217complete
October 20214complete
September 20214complete
August 202115complete
July 202124complete
June 202118complete
May 20213complete
April 20217complete
March 202113complete
February 20216complete
January 202137complete
December 20200complete
November 20202complete
October 20203complete
September 20201complete
August 20206complete
July 202013complete
June 202010complete
May 202012complete
April 202022complete
March 202018complete
February 202010complete
January 202022complete
December 201914complete
November 20194complete
October 201917complete
September 201923complete
August 201924complete
July 201921complete
June 201925complete
May 201933complete
April 201910complete
March 201958complete
February 201939complete
January 20192complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:123ebd9dfb69a6b8ddb242f15246042e
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
bfee797e656afdb71bae6914cde17ca4885214f3a83cbd47d264a4616df84963

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.