Generated evidence · pending editorial review

North Center: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
344
October 2025–September 2026
576
Change in monthly mean
+19.33

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.67-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 6Feb 2019: 59Mar 2019: 79Apr 2019: 34May 2019: 50Jun 2019: 31Jul 2019: 23Aug 2019: 43Sep 2019: 55Oct 2019: 29Nov 2019: 50Dec 2019: 18Jan 2020: 37Feb 2020: 33Mar 2020: 46Apr 2020: 42May 2020: 15Jun 2020: 13Jul 2020: 11Aug 2020: 13Sep 2020: 20Oct 2020: 21Nov 2020: 12Dec 2020: 11Jan 2021: 28Feb 2021: 49Mar 2021: 25Apr 2021: 13May 2021: 16Jun 2021: 17Jul 2021: 13Aug 2021: 9Sep 2021: 2Oct 2021: 9Nov 2021: 8Dec 2021: 9Jan 2022: 11Feb 2022: 32Mar 2022: 72Apr 2022: 92May 2022: 64Jun 2022: 17Jul 2022: 12Aug 2022: 12Sep 2022: 9Oct 2022: 16Nov 2022: 16Dec 2022: 46Jan 2023: 68Feb 2023: 63Mar 2023: 39Apr 2023: 39May 2023: 21Jun 2023: 27Jul 2023: 14Aug 2023: 26Sep 2023: 14Oct 2023: 22Nov 2023: 22Dec 2023: 43Jan 2024: 74Feb 2024: 45Mar 2024: 24Apr 2024: 24May 2024: 17Jun 2024: 34Jul 2024: 25Aug 2024: 14Sep 2024: 15Oct 2024: 15Nov 2024: 12Dec 2024: 4Jan 2025: 42Feb 2025: 40Mar 2025: 52Apr 2025: 30May 2025: 53Jun 2025: 47Jul 2025: 32Aug 2025: 11Sep 2025: 6Oct 2025: 4Nov 2025: 8Dec 2025: 18Jan 2026: 111Feb 2026: 113Mar 2026: 75Apr 2026: 43May 2026: 47Jun 2026: 22Jul 2026: 36Aug 2026: 39Sep 2026: 60ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.010.9753–1.05100.598
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202660complete
August 202639complete
July 202636complete
June 202622complete
May 202647complete
April 202643complete
March 202675complete
February 2026113complete
January 2026111complete
December 202518complete
November 20258complete
October 20254complete
September 20256complete
August 202511complete
July 202532complete
June 202547complete
May 202553complete
April 202530complete
March 202552complete
February 202540complete
January 202542complete
December 20244complete
November 202412complete
October 202415complete
September 202415complete
August 202414complete
July 202425complete
June 202434complete
May 202417complete
April 202424complete
March 202424complete
February 202445complete
January 202474complete
December 202343complete
November 202322complete
October 202322complete
September 202314complete
August 202326complete
July 202314complete
June 202327complete
May 202321complete
April 202339complete
March 202339complete
February 202363complete
January 202368complete
December 202246complete
November 202216complete
October 202216complete
September 20229complete
August 202212complete
July 202212complete
June 202217complete
May 202264complete
April 202292complete
March 202272complete
February 202232complete
January 202211complete
December 20219complete
November 20218complete
October 20219complete
September 20212complete
August 20219complete
July 202113complete
June 202117complete
May 202116complete
April 202113complete
March 202125complete
February 202149complete
January 202128complete
December 202011complete
November 202012complete
October 202021complete
September 202020complete
August 202013complete
July 202011complete
June 202013complete
May 202015complete
April 202042complete
March 202046complete
February 202033complete
January 202037complete
December 201918complete
November 201950complete
October 201929complete
September 201955complete
August 201943complete
July 201923complete
June 201931complete
May 201950complete
April 201934complete
March 201979complete
February 201959complete
January 20196complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:36aec16a6d6305dff5cf533ab48266ba
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
d9145b862619ff2609880756a2cca62763f1b4d000cb5315f4edc74231c9fb6f

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.