Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Near West Side: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · celeration turn

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

Celeration turns: changes between fitted phases

A factor describes a standardized six-month multiplier, not a count. These turns passed the scan’s volume and magnitude gates; phase selection remains exploratory.

  • Suggested boundary December 2020: ÷1.69 → ÷3.31 per six months; 1.95× change between factors. Adjacent raw phase totals: 1,585 and 569. The fitted slope changes without reversing sign.
  • Suggested boundary January 2022: ÷3.31 → ÷1.07 per six months; 3.1× change between factors. Adjacent raw phase totals: 569 and 4,319. The fitted slope changes without reversing sign.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Suggested 3-phase description — exploratory, not confirmed.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Suggested 3-phase description — exploratory, not confirmed. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2020-11suggested phase 2: 2020-12–2021-12suggested phase 3: 2022-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 19Feb 2019: 141Mar 2019: 215Apr 2019: 120May 2019: 126Jun 2019: 123Jul 2019: 108Aug 2019: 102Sep 2019: 82Oct 2019: 59Nov 2019: 65Dec 2019: 34Jan 2020: 64Feb 2020: 39Mar 2020: 47Apr 2020: 63May 2020: 35Jun 2020: 25Jul 2020: 42Aug 2020: 28Sep 2020: 24Oct 2020: 14Nov 2020: 10Dec 2020: 62Jan 2021: 80Feb 2021: 71Mar 2021: 93Apr 2021: 72May 2021: 61Jun 2021: 21Jul 2021: 27Aug 2021: 12Sep 2021: 35Oct 2021: 18Nov 2021: 10Dec 2021: 7Jan 2022: 59Feb 2022: 56Mar 2022: 143Apr 2022: 148May 2022: 100Jun 2022: 74Jul 2022: 88Aug 2022: 92Sep 2022: 80Oct 2022: 39Nov 2022: 132Dec 2022: 64Jan 2023: 167Feb 2023: 153Mar 2023: 135Apr 2023: 65May 2023: 109Jun 2023: 27Jul 2023: 30Aug 2023: 61Sep 2023: 50Oct 2023: 58Nov 2023: 52Dec 2023: 47Jan 2024: 135Feb 2024: 105Mar 2024: 104Apr 2024: 109May 2024: 133Jun 2024: 91Jul 2024: 44Aug 2024: 101Sep 2024: 25Oct 2024: 59Nov 2024: 81Dec 2024: 19Jan 2025: 45Feb 2025: 78Mar 2025: 89Apr 2025: 67May 2025: 38Jun 2025: 63Jul 2025: 35Aug 2025: 52Sep 2025: 16Oct 2025: 34Nov 2025: 41Dec 2025: 48Jan 2026: 79Feb 2026: 84Mar 2026: 147Apr 2026: 90May 2026: 87Jun 2026: 63Jul 2026: 29Aug 2026: 40Sep 2026: 59ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested phases · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Nov 2020÷1.69Fitted decrease
  2. 2 · Dec 2020–Dec 2021÷3.31Fitted decrease
  3. 3 · Jan 2022–Sep 2026÷1.07Fitted decrease

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Boundary ranges show near-optimal models within 2 BIC units, not confidence intervals. They can be narrow even when the model is uncertain.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–November 202023÷1.690.4770–0.731000.062
2December 2020–December 202113÷3.310.1980–0.46110-0.020
3January 2022–September 202657÷1.070.8905–0.987200.279

Near-optimal boundary range: December 2020–December 2020.

Near-optimal boundary range: January 2022–January 2022.

Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202659complete
August 202640complete
July 202629complete
June 202663complete
May 202687complete
April 202690complete
March 2026147complete
February 202684complete
January 202679complete
December 202548complete
November 202541complete
October 202534complete
September 202516complete
August 202552complete
July 202535complete
June 202563complete
May 202538complete
April 202567complete
March 202589complete
February 202578complete
January 202545complete
December 202419complete
November 202481complete
October 202459complete
September 202425complete
August 2024101complete
July 202444complete
June 202491complete
May 2024133complete
April 2024109complete
March 2024104complete
February 2024105complete
January 2024135complete
December 202347complete
November 202352complete
October 202358complete
September 202350complete
August 202361complete
July 202330complete
June 202327complete
May 2023109complete
April 202365complete
March 2023135complete
February 2023153complete
January 2023167complete
December 202264complete
November 2022132complete
October 202239complete
September 202280complete
August 202292complete
July 202288complete
June 202274complete
May 2022100complete
April 2022148complete
March 2022143complete
February 202256complete
January 202259complete
December 20217complete
November 202110complete
October 202118complete
September 202135complete
August 202112complete
July 202127complete
June 202121complete
May 202161complete
April 202172complete
March 202193complete
February 202171complete
January 202180complete
December 202062complete
November 202010complete
October 202014complete
September 202024complete
August 202028complete
July 202042complete
June 202025complete
May 202035complete
April 202063complete
March 202047complete
February 202039complete
January 202064complete
December 201934complete
November 201965complete
October 201959complete
September 201982complete
August 2019102complete
July 2019108complete
June 2019123complete
May 2019126complete
April 2019120complete
March 2019215complete
February 2019141complete
January 201919complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:e7960081fd0af1502eb624a9ffea00cf
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
c68872352234c94318b5369d5ea2e452aa2a2296f353160a630551000efaa122

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.