Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Near South Side: All categories · Status: Completed — Pothole requests

All categories · Status: Completed

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
250
October 2025–September 2026
394
Change in monthly mean
+12

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.58-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 2Feb 2019: 48Mar 2019: 107Apr 2019: 52May 2019: 60Jun 2019: 50Jul 2019: 37Aug 2019: 28Sep 2019: 22Oct 2019: 32Nov 2019: 9Dec 2019: 18Jan 2020: 10Feb 2020: 26Mar 2020: 7Apr 2020: 15May 2020: 15Jun 2020: 21Jul 2020: 20Aug 2020: 17Sep 2020: 14Oct 2020: 17Nov 2020: 14Dec 2020: 29Jan 2021: 42Feb 2021: 23Mar 2021: 22Apr 2021: 11May 2021: 15Jun 2021: 10Jul 2021: 59Aug 2021: 18Sep 2021: 27Oct 2021: 9Nov 2021: 8Dec 2021: 10Jan 2022: 57Feb 2022: 13Mar 2022: 39Apr 2022: 28May 2022: 52Jun 2022: 47Jul 2022: 24Aug 2022: 55Sep 2022: 26Oct 2022: 24Nov 2022: 18Dec 2022: 31Jan 2023: 47Feb 2023: 45Mar 2023: 38Apr 2023: 41May 2023: 38Jun 2023: 60Jul 2023: 38Aug 2023: 32Sep 2023: 25Oct 2023: 30Nov 2023: 24Dec 2023: 17Jan 2024: 84Feb 2024: 37Mar 2024: 44Apr 2024: 89May 2024: 36Jun 2024: 37Jul 2024: 68Aug 2024: 29Sep 2024: 38Oct 2024: 7Nov 2024: 22Dec 2024: 5Jan 2025: 17Feb 2025: 25Mar 2025: 34Apr 2025: 32May 2025: 20Jun 2025: 24Jul 2025: 27Aug 2025: 22Sep 2025: 15Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 14Dec 2025: 18Jan 2026: 52Feb 2026: 37Mar 2026: 42Apr 2026: 69May 2026: 81Jun 2026: 49Jul 2026: 14Aug 2026: 3Sep 2026: 4ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.010.9734–1.04500.358
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20264complete
August 20263complete
July 202614complete
June 202649complete
May 202681complete
April 202669complete
March 202642complete
February 202637complete
January 202652complete
December 202518complete
November 202514complete
October 202511complete
September 202515complete
August 202522complete
July 202527complete
June 202524complete
May 202520complete
April 202532complete
March 202534complete
February 202525complete
January 202517complete
December 20245complete
November 202422complete
October 20247complete
September 202438complete
August 202429complete
July 202468complete
June 202437complete
May 202436complete
April 202489complete
March 202444complete
February 202437complete
January 202484complete
December 202317complete
November 202324complete
October 202330complete
September 202325complete
August 202332complete
July 202338complete
June 202360complete
May 202338complete
April 202341complete
March 202338complete
February 202345complete
January 202347complete
December 202231complete
November 202218complete
October 202224complete
September 202226complete
August 202255complete
July 202224complete
June 202247complete
May 202252complete
April 202228complete
March 202239complete
February 202213complete
January 202257complete
December 202110complete
November 20218complete
October 20219complete
September 202127complete
August 202118complete
July 202159complete
June 202110complete
May 202115complete
April 202111complete
March 202122complete
February 202123complete
January 202142complete
December 202029complete
November 202014complete
October 202017complete
September 202014complete
August 202017complete
July 202020complete
June 202021complete
May 202015complete
April 202015complete
March 20207complete
February 202026complete
January 202010complete
December 201918complete
November 20199complete
October 201932complete
September 201922complete
August 201928complete
July 201937complete
June 201950complete
May 201960complete
April 201952complete
March 2019107complete
February 201948complete
January 20192complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:55b787a0901533230efc28cc11b0d1a6
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
cf569a4eed09c8770c81f8423797cad4ebb8a45754fdf3e16aa0835ad165ee00

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.