Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Near South Side: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
68
October 2025–September 2026
163
Change in monthly mean
+7.92

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.4-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Feb 2019: 21Mar 2019: 65Apr 2019: 27May 2019: 12Jun 2019: 27Jul 2019: 10Aug 2019: 18Sep 2019: 13Oct 2019: 12Nov 2019: 3Dec 2019: 10Jan 2020: 5Feb 2020: 7Mar 2020: 3Apr 2020: 5May 2020: 5Jun 2020: 8Jul 2020: 5Aug 2020: 9Sep 2020: 4Oct 2020: 13Nov 2020: 7Dec 2020: 14Jan 2021: 19Feb 2021: 4Mar 2021: 10Apr 2021: 2May 2021: 5Jun 2021: 5Jul 2021: 15Aug 2021: 4Sep 2021: 1Nov 2021: 3Jan 2022: 11Feb 2022: 4Mar 2022: 14Apr 2022: 10May 2022: 18Jun 2022: 16Jul 2022: 11Aug 2022: 13Sep 2022: 6Oct 2022: 6Nov 2022: 5Dec 2022: 9Jan 2023: 10Feb 2023: 9Mar 2023: 18Apr 2023: 9May 2023: 5Jun 2023: 11Jul 2023: 12Aug 2023: 9Sep 2023: 10Oct 2023: 3Nov 2023: 5Dec 2023: 7Jan 2024: 26Feb 2024: 9Mar 2024: 21Apr 2024: 23May 2024: 4Jun 2024: 9Jul 2024: 5Aug 2024: 2Oct 2024: 3Nov 2024: 1Dec 2024: 2Jan 2025: 3Feb 2025: 12Mar 2025: 11Apr 2025: 6May 2025: 7Jun 2025: 6Jul 2025: 5Aug 2025: 9Sep 2025: 3Oct 2025: 3Nov 2025: 2Dec 2025: 4Jan 2026: 23Feb 2026: 7Mar 2026: 15Apr 2026: 35May 2026: 23Jun 2026: 27Jul 2026: 5Aug 2026: 11Sep 2026: 8ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedOct 2021: zero requests; not connectedDec 2021: zero requests; not connectedSep 2024: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 4 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 4 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.010.9477–1.03040.423
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20268complete
August 202611complete
July 20265complete
June 202627complete
May 202623complete
April 202635complete
March 202615complete
February 20267complete
January 202623complete
December 20254complete
November 20252complete
October 20253complete
September 20253complete
August 20259complete
July 20255complete
June 20256complete
May 20257complete
April 20256complete
March 202511complete
February 202512complete
January 20253complete
December 20242complete
November 20241complete
October 20243complete
September 20240complete
August 20242complete
July 20245complete
June 20249complete
May 20244complete
April 202423complete
March 202421complete
February 20249complete
January 202426complete
December 20237complete
November 20235complete
October 20233complete
September 202310complete
August 20239complete
July 202312complete
June 202311complete
May 20235complete
April 20239complete
March 202318complete
February 20239complete
January 202310complete
December 20229complete
November 20225complete
October 20226complete
September 20226complete
August 202213complete
July 202211complete
June 202216complete
May 202218complete
April 202210complete
March 202214complete
February 20224complete
January 202211complete
December 20210complete
November 20213complete
October 20210complete
September 20211complete
August 20214complete
July 202115complete
June 20215complete
May 20215complete
April 20212complete
March 202110complete
February 20214complete
January 202119complete
December 202014complete
November 20207complete
October 202013complete
September 20204complete
August 20209complete
July 20205complete
June 20208complete
May 20205complete
April 20205complete
March 20203complete
February 20207complete
January 20205complete
December 201910complete
November 20193complete
October 201912complete
September 201913complete
August 201918complete
July 201910complete
June 201927complete
May 201912complete
April 201927complete
March 201965complete
February 201921complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:55b787a0901533230efc28cc11b0d1a6
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
cf569a4eed09c8770c81f8423797cad4ebb8a45754fdf3e16aa0835ad165ee00

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.