Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Near South Side: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
142
October 2025–September 2026
232
Change in monthly mean
+7.5

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.63-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 1Feb 2019: 16Mar 2019: 27Apr 2019: 8May 2019: 37Jun 2019: 13Jul 2019: 16Aug 2019: 8Sep 2019: 7Oct 2019: 15Nov 2019: 3Dec 2019: 6Jan 2020: 4Feb 2020: 10Mar 2020: 1Apr 2020: 8May 2020: 3Jun 2020: 5Jul 2020: 8Aug 2020: 4Sep 2020: 6Oct 2020: 3Nov 2020: 4Dec 2020: 14Jan 2021: 19Feb 2021: 14Mar 2021: 11Apr 2021: 8May 2021: 10Jun 2021: 2Jul 2021: 16Aug 2021: 2Sep 2021: 5Oct 2021: 6Nov 2021: 2Dec 2021: 1Jan 2022: 3Feb 2022: 6Mar 2022: 14Apr 2022: 15May 2022: 30Jun 2022: 31Jul 2022: 10Aug 2022: 19Sep 2022: 18Oct 2022: 5Nov 2022: 12Dec 2022: 5Jan 2023: 31Feb 2023: 30Mar 2023: 15Apr 2023: 27May 2023: 26Jun 2023: 23Jul 2023: 15Aug 2023: 18Sep 2023: 12Oct 2023: 24Nov 2023: 14Dec 2023: 5Jan 2024: 43Feb 2024: 25Mar 2024: 19Apr 2024: 50May 2024: 27Jun 2024: 21Jul 2024: 57Aug 2024: 26Sep 2024: 36Oct 2024: 4Nov 2024: 19Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 14Feb 2025: 12Mar 2025: 17Apr 2025: 18May 2025: 4Jun 2025: 13Jul 2025: 18Aug 2025: 10Sep 2025: 12Oct 2025: 7Nov 2025: 12Dec 2025: 13Jan 2026: 22Feb 2026: 26Mar 2026: 22Apr 2026: 29May 2026: 51Jun 2026: 22Jul 2026: 18Aug 2026: 5Sep 2026: 5ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.07Fitted increase

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (10)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.071.030–1.12000.257
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20265complete
August 20265complete
July 202618complete
June 202622complete
May 202651complete
April 202629complete
March 202622complete
February 202626complete
January 202622complete
December 202513complete
November 202512complete
October 20257complete
September 202512complete
August 202510complete
July 202518complete
June 202513complete
May 20254complete
April 202518complete
March 202517complete
February 202512complete
January 202514complete
December 20241complete
November 202419complete
October 20244complete
September 202436complete
August 202426complete
July 202457complete
June 202421complete
May 202427complete
April 202450complete
March 202419complete
February 202425complete
January 202443complete
December 20235complete
November 202314complete
October 202324complete
September 202312complete
August 202318complete
July 202315complete
June 202323complete
May 202326complete
April 202327complete
March 202315complete
February 202330complete
January 202331complete
December 20225complete
November 202212complete
October 20225complete
September 202218complete
August 202219complete
July 202210complete
June 202231complete
May 202230complete
April 202215complete
March 202214complete
February 20226complete
January 20223complete
December 20211complete
November 20212complete
October 20216complete
September 20215complete
August 20212complete
July 202116complete
June 20212complete
May 202110complete
April 20218complete
March 202111complete
February 202114complete
January 202119complete
December 202014complete
November 20204complete
October 20203complete
September 20206complete
August 20204complete
July 20208complete
June 20205complete
May 20203complete
April 20208complete
March 20201complete
February 202010complete
January 20204complete
December 20196complete
November 20193complete
October 201915complete
September 20197complete
August 20198complete
July 201916complete
June 201913complete
May 201937complete
April 20198complete
March 201927complete
February 201916complete
January 20191complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:55b787a0901533230efc28cc11b0d1a6
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
cf569a4eed09c8770c81f8423797cad4ebb8a45754fdf3e16aa0835ad165ee00

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.