Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Mount Greenwood: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
147
October 2025–September 2026
248
Change in monthly mean
+8.42

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.69-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 3Feb 2019: 31Mar 2019: 108Apr 2019: 50May 2019: 44Jun 2019: 36Jul 2019: 32Aug 2019: 26Sep 2019: 36Oct 2019: 24Nov 2019: 2Dec 2019: 5Jan 2020: 19Feb 2020: 14Mar 2020: 36Apr 2020: 16May 2020: 7Jun 2020: 21Jul 2020: 17Aug 2020: 8Sep 2020: 6Oct 2020: 9Nov 2020: 1Dec 2020: 9Jan 2021: 12Feb 2021: 9Mar 2021: 40Apr 2021: 14May 2021: 6Jun 2021: 13Jul 2021: 10Aug 2021: 15Sep 2021: 9Oct 2021: 6Nov 2021: 7Dec 2021: 10Jan 2022: 5Feb 2022: 72Mar 2022: 90Apr 2022: 81May 2022: 7Jun 2022: 18Jul 2022: 11Aug 2022: 8Sep 2022: 7Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 7Dec 2022: 3Jan 2023: 29Feb 2023: 54Mar 2023: 41Apr 2023: 17May 2023: 21Jun 2023: 15Jul 2023: 6Aug 2023: 14Sep 2023: 5Oct 2023: 2Nov 2023: 1Dec 2023: 31Jan 2024: 38Feb 2024: 35Mar 2024: 30Apr 2024: 42May 2024: 31Jun 2024: 13Jul 2024: 11Aug 2024: 5Sep 2024: 10Oct 2024: 7Nov 2024: 6Dec 2024: 6Jan 2025: 11Feb 2025: 12Mar 2025: 25Apr 2025: 27May 2025: 24Jun 2025: 5Jul 2025: 14Aug 2025: 6Sep 2025: 4Oct 2025: 3Nov 2025: 43Dec 2025: 6Jan 2026: 23Feb 2026: 40Mar 2026: 45Apr 2026: 48May 2026: 9Jun 2026: 16Jul 2026: 8Aug 2026: 5Sep 2026: 2ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.030.9295–1.02100.403
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20262complete
August 20265complete
July 20268complete
June 202616complete
May 20269complete
April 202648complete
March 202645complete
February 202640complete
January 202623complete
December 20256complete
November 202543complete
October 20253complete
September 20254complete
August 20256complete
July 202514complete
June 20255complete
May 202524complete
April 202527complete
March 202525complete
February 202512complete
January 202511complete
December 20246complete
November 20246complete
October 20247complete
September 202410complete
August 20245complete
July 202411complete
June 202413complete
May 202431complete
April 202442complete
March 202430complete
February 202435complete
January 202438complete
December 202331complete
November 20231complete
October 20232complete
September 20235complete
August 202314complete
July 20236complete
June 202315complete
May 202321complete
April 202317complete
March 202341complete
February 202354complete
January 202329complete
December 20223complete
November 20227complete
October 20224complete
September 20227complete
August 20228complete
July 202211complete
June 202218complete
May 20227complete
April 202281complete
March 202290complete
February 202272complete
January 20225complete
December 202110complete
November 20217complete
October 20216complete
September 20219complete
August 202115complete
July 202110complete
June 202113complete
May 20216complete
April 202114complete
March 202140complete
February 20219complete
January 202112complete
December 20209complete
November 20201complete
October 20209complete
September 20206complete
August 20208complete
July 202017complete
June 202021complete
May 20207complete
April 202016complete
March 202036complete
February 202014complete
January 202019complete
December 20195complete
November 20192complete
October 201924complete
September 201936complete
August 201926complete
July 201932complete
June 201936complete
May 201944complete
April 201950complete
March 2019108complete
February 201931complete
January 20193complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:ac2d87114c115abae2bbf5b95f1c5ac8
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
3f1bb737599945d2beaf2d7bea71af9dcad192449b93c4c47c65ee286c0a8f62

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.