Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Montclare: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
121
October 2025–September 2026
212
Change in monthly mean
+7.58

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.75-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 12Feb 2019: 32Mar 2019: 68Apr 2019: 30May 2019: 33Jun 2019: 25Jul 2019: 14Aug 2019: 10Sep 2019: 22Oct 2019: 66Nov 2019: 13Dec 2019: 16Jan 2020: 8Feb 2020: 23Mar 2020: 11Apr 2020: 16May 2020: 19Jun 2020: 7Jul 2020: 6Aug 2020: 11Sep 2020: 22Oct 2020: 8Nov 2020: 2Dec 2020: 9Jan 2021: 5Feb 2021: 2Mar 2021: 15Apr 2021: 26May 2021: 8Jun 2021: 8Jul 2021: 4Aug 2021: 6Sep 2021: 13Oct 2021: 8Nov 2021: 9Dec 2021: 7Jan 2022: 5Feb 2022: 20Mar 2022: 26Apr 2022: 35May 2022: 44Jun 2022: 10Jul 2022: 3Aug 2022: 18Sep 2022: 7Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 6Dec 2022: 3Jan 2023: 3Feb 2023: 33Mar 2023: 26Apr 2023: 12May 2023: 17Jun 2023: 18Jul 2023: 11Aug 2023: 15Sep 2023: 15Oct 2023: 16Nov 2023: 13Dec 2023: 14Jan 2024: 20Feb 2024: 16Mar 2024: 15Apr 2024: 16May 2024: 12Jun 2024: 8Jul 2024: 16Aug 2024: 13Sep 2024: 4Oct 2024: 5Nov 2024: 9Dec 2024: 5Jan 2025: 4Feb 2025: 4Mar 2025: 12Apr 2025: 15May 2025: 12Jun 2025: 13Jul 2025: 14Aug 2025: 16Sep 2025: 12Oct 2025: 1Nov 2025: 3Dec 2025: 6Jan 2026: 18Feb 2026: 21Mar 2026: 22Apr 2026: 56May 2026: 36Jun 2026: 9Jul 2026: 8Aug 2026: 24Sep 2026: 8ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.02Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.020.9403–1.01300.443
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20268complete
August 202624complete
July 20268complete
June 20269complete
May 202636complete
April 202656complete
March 202622complete
February 202621complete
January 202618complete
December 20256complete
November 20253complete
October 20251complete
September 202512complete
August 202516complete
July 202514complete
June 202513complete
May 202512complete
April 202515complete
March 202512complete
February 20254complete
January 20254complete
December 20245complete
November 20249complete
October 20245complete
September 20244complete
August 202413complete
July 202416complete
June 20248complete
May 202412complete
April 202416complete
March 202415complete
February 202416complete
January 202420complete
December 202314complete
November 202313complete
October 202316complete
September 202315complete
August 202315complete
July 202311complete
June 202318complete
May 202317complete
April 202312complete
March 202326complete
February 202333complete
January 20233complete
December 20223complete
November 20226complete
October 20224complete
September 20227complete
August 202218complete
July 20223complete
June 202210complete
May 202244complete
April 202235complete
March 202226complete
February 202220complete
January 20225complete
December 20217complete
November 20219complete
October 20218complete
September 202113complete
August 20216complete
July 20214complete
June 20218complete
May 20218complete
April 202126complete
March 202115complete
February 20212complete
January 20215complete
December 20209complete
November 20202complete
October 20208complete
September 202022complete
August 202011complete
July 20206complete
June 20207complete
May 202019complete
April 202016complete
March 202011complete
February 202023complete
January 20208complete
December 201916complete
November 201913complete
October 201966complete
September 201922complete
August 201910complete
July 201914complete
June 201925complete
May 201933complete
April 201930complete
March 201968complete
February 201932complete
January 201912complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:fe700773c00175a4dfb61f1fd4ac70a3
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
41935be4e686835e6715f1adaf71d47b203c888a731c134d5f8a9628a6d745d2

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.