Generated evidence · pending editorial review

McKinley Park: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
86
October 2025–September 2026
177
Change in monthly mean
+7.58

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.06-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 1Feb 2019: 27Mar 2019: 38Apr 2019: 23May 2019: 11Jun 2019: 8Jul 2019: 25Aug 2019: 21Sep 2019: 32Oct 2019: 14Nov 2019: 7Dec 2019: 6Jan 2020: 16Feb 2020: 21Mar 2020: 66Apr 2020: 25May 2020: 12Jun 2020: 3Jul 2020: 3Aug 2020: 7Sep 2020: 3Oct 2020: 3Nov 2020: 5Dec 2020: 8Jan 2021: 11Feb 2021: 12Mar 2021: 17Apr 2021: 12May 2021: 10Jun 2021: 5Jul 2021: 6Aug 2021: 2Sep 2021: 3Oct 2021: 4Nov 2021: 2Dec 2021: 5Jan 2022: 3Feb 2022: 53Mar 2022: 32Apr 2022: 32May 2022: 26Jun 2022: 13Jul 2022: 14Aug 2022: 12Sep 2022: 2Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 4Dec 2022: 3Jan 2023: 26Feb 2023: 28Mar 2023: 52Apr 2023: 12May 2023: 10Jun 2023: 4Jul 2023: 6Aug 2023: 8Sep 2023: 6Oct 2023: 12Nov 2023: 8Dec 2023: 33Jan 2024: 32Feb 2024: 29Mar 2024: 10Apr 2024: 8May 2024: 37Jun 2024: 11Jul 2024: 17Aug 2024: 7Sep 2024: 19Oct 2024: 12Nov 2024: 4Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 3Feb 2025: 7Mar 2025: 13Apr 2025: 7May 2025: 19Jun 2025: 5Jul 2025: 5Aug 2025: 6Sep 2025: 4Oct 2025: 2Nov 2025: 2Dec 2025: 12Jan 2026: 37Feb 2026: 18Mar 2026: 25Apr 2026: 28May 2026: 12Jun 2026: 8Jul 2026: 8Aug 2026: 18Sep 2026: 7ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.010.9476–1.03500.497
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20267complete
August 202618complete
July 20268complete
June 20268complete
May 202612complete
April 202628complete
March 202625complete
February 202618complete
January 202637complete
December 202512complete
November 20252complete
October 20252complete
September 20254complete
August 20256complete
July 20255complete
June 20255complete
May 202519complete
April 20257complete
March 202513complete
February 20257complete
January 20253complete
December 20241complete
November 20244complete
October 202412complete
September 202419complete
August 20247complete
July 202417complete
June 202411complete
May 202437complete
April 20248complete
March 202410complete
February 202429complete
January 202432complete
December 202333complete
November 20238complete
October 202312complete
September 20236complete
August 20238complete
July 20236complete
June 20234complete
May 202310complete
April 202312complete
March 202352complete
February 202328complete
January 202326complete
December 20223complete
November 20224complete
October 20224complete
September 20222complete
August 202212complete
July 202214complete
June 202213complete
May 202226complete
April 202232complete
March 202232complete
February 202253complete
January 20223complete
December 20215complete
November 20212complete
October 20214complete
September 20213complete
August 20212complete
July 20216complete
June 20215complete
May 202110complete
April 202112complete
March 202117complete
February 202112complete
January 202111complete
December 20208complete
November 20205complete
October 20203complete
September 20203complete
August 20207complete
July 20203complete
June 20203complete
May 202012complete
April 202025complete
March 202066complete
February 202021complete
January 202016complete
December 20196complete
November 20197complete
October 201914complete
September 201932complete
August 201921complete
July 201925complete
June 20198complete
May 201911complete
April 201923complete
March 201938complete
February 201927complete
January 20191complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:85027e408c55280cd8a27970c282e4de
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
5f5189e3816412e6f586d99938e1dbc237fcf09fe3181e1cae9e0b5b1a94cba8

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.