Generated evidence · pending editorial review

McKinley Park: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
159
October 2025–September 2026
244
Change in monthly mean
+7.08

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.53-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 5Feb 2019: 22Mar 2019: 35Apr 2019: 24May 2019: 18Jun 2019: 12Jul 2019: 37Aug 2019: 15Sep 2019: 21Oct 2019: 10Nov 2019: 7Dec 2019: 3Jan 2020: 14Feb 2020: 26Mar 2020: 16Apr 2020: 28May 2020: 7Jun 2020: 4Jul 2020: 2Aug 2020: 8Sep 2020: 3Oct 2020: 2Nov 2020: 8Dec 2020: 12Jan 2021: 13Feb 2021: 9Mar 2021: 32Apr 2021: 11May 2021: 22Jun 2021: 6Jul 2021: 14Aug 2021: 1Sep 2021: 3Oct 2021: 9Nov 2021: 2Dec 2021: 8Jan 2022: 16Feb 2022: 43Mar 2022: 35Apr 2022: 47May 2022: 26Jun 2022: 20Jul 2022: 14Aug 2022: 7Sep 2022: 7Oct 2022: 6Nov 2022: 9Dec 2022: 7Jan 2023: 35Feb 2023: 31Mar 2023: 21Apr 2023: 16May 2023: 3Jun 2023: 9Jul 2023: 4Aug 2023: 15Sep 2023: 8Oct 2023: 18Nov 2023: 6Dec 2023: 27Jan 2024: 56Feb 2024: 14Mar 2024: 14Apr 2024: 21May 2024: 21Jun 2024: 7Jul 2024: 17Aug 2024: 10Sep 2024: 10Oct 2024: 8Nov 2024: 4Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 24Feb 2025: 31Mar 2025: 36Apr 2025: 10May 2025: 9Jun 2025: 10Jul 2025: 6Aug 2025: 8Sep 2025: 12Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 6Dec 2025: 15Jan 2026: 23Feb 2026: 66Mar 2026: 43Apr 2026: 31May 2026: 15Jun 2026: 5Jul 2026: 7Aug 2026: 12Sep 2026: 10ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.010.9719–1.05500.417
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202610complete
August 202612complete
July 20267complete
June 20265complete
May 202615complete
April 202631complete
March 202643complete
February 202666complete
January 202623complete
December 202515complete
November 20256complete
October 202511complete
September 202512complete
August 20258complete
July 20256complete
June 202510complete
May 20259complete
April 202510complete
March 202536complete
February 202531complete
January 202524complete
December 20241complete
November 20244complete
October 20248complete
September 202410complete
August 202410complete
July 202417complete
June 20247complete
May 202421complete
April 202421complete
March 202414complete
February 202414complete
January 202456complete
December 202327complete
November 20236complete
October 202318complete
September 20238complete
August 202315complete
July 20234complete
June 20239complete
May 20233complete
April 202316complete
March 202321complete
February 202331complete
January 202335complete
December 20227complete
November 20229complete
October 20226complete
September 20227complete
August 20227complete
July 202214complete
June 202220complete
May 202226complete
April 202247complete
March 202235complete
February 202243complete
January 202216complete
December 20218complete
November 20212complete
October 20219complete
September 20213complete
August 20211complete
July 202114complete
June 20216complete
May 202122complete
April 202111complete
March 202132complete
February 20219complete
January 202113complete
December 202012complete
November 20208complete
October 20202complete
September 20203complete
August 20208complete
July 20202complete
June 20204complete
May 20207complete
April 202028complete
March 202016complete
February 202026complete
January 202014complete
December 20193complete
November 20197complete
October 201910complete
September 201921complete
August 201915complete
July 201937complete
June 201912complete
May 201918complete
April 201924complete
March 201935complete
February 201922complete
January 20195complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:85027e408c55280cd8a27970c282e4de
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
5f5189e3816412e6f586d99938e1dbc237fcf09fe3181e1cae9e0b5b1a94cba8

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.