Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Lower West Side: All categories · Status: Completed — Pothole requests

All categories · Status: Completed

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
591
October 2025–September 2026
1,023
Change in monthly mean
+36

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.73-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 37Feb 2019: 209Mar 2019: 198Apr 2019: 172May 2019: 158Jun 2019: 117Jul 2019: 144Aug 2019: 119Sep 2019: 138Oct 2019: 125Nov 2019: 93Dec 2019: 44Jan 2020: 76Feb 2020: 72Mar 2020: 69Apr 2020: 85May 2020: 95Jun 2020: 36Jul 2020: 27Aug 2020: 30Sep 2020: 32Oct 2020: 28Nov 2020: 19Dec 2020: 65Jan 2021: 99Feb 2021: 110Mar 2021: 94Apr 2021: 60May 2021: 50Jun 2021: 45Jul 2021: 101Aug 2021: 61Sep 2021: 41Oct 2021: 34Nov 2021: 42Dec 2021: 33Jan 2022: 45Feb 2022: 144Mar 2022: 239Apr 2022: 318May 2022: 233Jun 2022: 70Jul 2022: 72Aug 2022: 37Sep 2022: 31Oct 2022: 34Nov 2022: 26Dec 2022: 23Jan 2023: 114Feb 2023: 137Mar 2023: 94Apr 2023: 85May 2023: 43Jun 2023: 43Jul 2023: 38Aug 2023: 72Sep 2023: 22Oct 2023: 71Nov 2023: 28Dec 2023: 47Jan 2024: 91Feb 2024: 77Mar 2024: 116Apr 2024: 81May 2024: 87Jun 2024: 110Jul 2024: 83Aug 2024: 57Sep 2024: 53Oct 2024: 54Nov 2024: 40Dec 2024: 15Jan 2025: 31Feb 2025: 63Mar 2025: 120Apr 2025: 65May 2025: 61Jun 2025: 50Jul 2025: 27Aug 2025: 34Sep 2025: 31Oct 2025: 15Nov 2025: 20Dec 2025: 57Jan 2026: 107Feb 2026: 189Mar 2026: 153Apr 2026: 150May 2026: 110Jun 2026: 77Jul 2026: 44Aug 2026: 49Sep 2026: 52ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.030.9417–1.00200.643
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202652complete
August 202649complete
July 202644complete
June 202677complete
May 2026110complete
April 2026150complete
March 2026153complete
February 2026189complete
January 2026107complete
December 202557complete
November 202520complete
October 202515complete
September 202531complete
August 202534complete
July 202527complete
June 202550complete
May 202561complete
April 202565complete
March 2025120complete
February 202563complete
January 202531complete
December 202415complete
November 202440complete
October 202454complete
September 202453complete
August 202457complete
July 202483complete
June 2024110complete
May 202487complete
April 202481complete
March 2024116complete
February 202477complete
January 202491complete
December 202347complete
November 202328complete
October 202371complete
September 202322complete
August 202372complete
July 202338complete
June 202343complete
May 202343complete
April 202385complete
March 202394complete
February 2023137complete
January 2023114complete
December 202223complete
November 202226complete
October 202234complete
September 202231complete
August 202237complete
July 202272complete
June 202270complete
May 2022233complete
April 2022318complete
March 2022239complete
February 2022144complete
January 202245complete
December 202133complete
November 202142complete
October 202134complete
September 202141complete
August 202161complete
July 2021101complete
June 202145complete
May 202150complete
April 202160complete
March 202194complete
February 2021110complete
January 202199complete
December 202065complete
November 202019complete
October 202028complete
September 202032complete
August 202030complete
July 202027complete
June 202036complete
May 202095complete
April 202085complete
March 202069complete
February 202072complete
January 202076complete
December 201944complete
November 201993complete
October 2019125complete
September 2019138complete
August 2019119complete
July 2019144complete
June 2019117complete
May 2019158complete
April 2019172complete
March 2019198complete
February 2019209complete
January 201937complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:0be8c0d6afc8de1c45cc4efb775b74f1
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
52591d65240157f34e1ca6c77de5e81e66111f1c3ad7ebe76a1af5269cdbadb8

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.