Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Lower West Side: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
88
October 2025–September 2026
152
Change in monthly mean
+5.33

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.73-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 9Feb 2019: 34Mar 2019: 31Apr 2019: 23May 2019: 22Jun 2019: 15Jul 2019: 25Aug 2019: 30Sep 2019: 28Oct 2019: 21Nov 2019: 14Dec 2019: 8Jan 2020: 12Feb 2020: 14Mar 2020: 10Apr 2020: 4May 2020: 15Jun 2020: 8Jul 2020: 5Aug 2020: 11Sep 2020: 10Oct 2020: 5Nov 2020: 1Jan 2021: 3Feb 2021: 16Mar 2021: 12Apr 2021: 7May 2021: 9Jun 2021: 15Jul 2021: 26Aug 2021: 9Sep 2021: 6Oct 2021: 2Nov 2021: 10Dec 2021: 12Jan 2022: 3Feb 2022: 10Mar 2022: 43Apr 2022: 50May 2022: 39Jun 2022: 10Jul 2022: 16Aug 2022: 10Sep 2022: 6Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 2Dec 2022: 3Jan 2023: 4Feb 2023: 3Mar 2023: 11Apr 2023: 26May 2023: 6Jun 2023: 12Jul 2023: 14Aug 2023: 12Sep 2023: 4Oct 2023: 10Nov 2023: 3Dec 2023: 7Jan 2024: 15Feb 2024: 11Mar 2024: 17Apr 2024: 13May 2024: 11Jun 2024: 17Jul 2024: 22Aug 2024: 11Sep 2024: 1Oct 2024: 15Nov 2024: 8Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 4Feb 2025: 10Mar 2025: 6Apr 2025: 4May 2025: 8Jun 2025: 8Jul 2025: 9Aug 2025: 9Sep 2025: 6Oct 2025: 1Nov 2025: 2Dec 2025: 3Jan 2026: 18Feb 2026: 11Mar 2026: 19Apr 2026: 32May 2026: 13Jun 2026: 12Jul 2026: 12Aug 2026: 11Sep 2026: 18ZeroUnknownDec 2020: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.04Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.040.9266–1.00610.481
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202618complete
August 202611complete
July 202612complete
June 202612complete
May 202613complete
April 202632complete
March 202619complete
February 202611complete
January 202618complete
December 20253complete
November 20252complete
October 20251complete
September 20256complete
August 20259complete
July 20259complete
June 20258complete
May 20258complete
April 20254complete
March 20256complete
February 202510complete
January 20254complete
December 20241complete
November 20248complete
October 202415complete
September 20241complete
August 202411complete
July 202422complete
June 202417complete
May 202411complete
April 202413complete
March 202417complete
February 202411complete
January 202415complete
December 20237complete
November 20233complete
October 202310complete
September 20234complete
August 202312complete
July 202314complete
June 202312complete
May 20236complete
April 202326complete
March 202311complete
February 20233complete
January 20234complete
December 20223complete
November 20222complete
October 20224complete
September 20226complete
August 202210complete
July 202216complete
June 202210complete
May 202239complete
April 202250complete
March 202243complete
February 202210complete
January 20223complete
December 202112complete
November 202110complete
October 20212complete
September 20216complete
August 20219complete
July 202126complete
June 202115complete
May 20219complete
April 20217complete
March 202112complete
February 202116complete
January 20213complete
December 20200complete
November 20201complete
October 20205complete
September 202010complete
August 202011complete
July 20205complete
June 20208complete
May 202015complete
April 20204complete
March 202010complete
February 202014complete
January 202012complete
December 20198complete
November 201914complete
October 201921complete
September 201928complete
August 201930complete
July 201925complete
June 201915complete
May 201922complete
April 201923complete
March 201931complete
February 201934complete
January 20199complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:0be8c0d6afc8de1c45cc4efb775b74f1
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
52591d65240157f34e1ca6c77de5e81e66111f1c3ad7ebe76a1af5269cdbadb8

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.