Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Lower West Side: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
183
October 2025–September 2026
446
Change in monthly mean
+21.92

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.44-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 11Feb 2019: 89Mar 2019: 96Apr 2019: 75May 2019: 62Jun 2019: 61Jul 2019: 38Aug 2019: 45Sep 2019: 54Oct 2019: 51Nov 2019: 40Dec 2019: 16Jan 2020: 39Feb 2020: 32Mar 2020: 21Apr 2020: 24May 2020: 52Jun 2020: 20Jul 2020: 8Aug 2020: 9Sep 2020: 12Oct 2020: 12Nov 2020: 11Dec 2020: 14Jan 2021: 38Feb 2021: 31Mar 2021: 24Apr 2021: 25May 2021: 17Jun 2021: 18Jul 2021: 41Aug 2021: 24Sep 2021: 14Oct 2021: 7Nov 2021: 15Dec 2021: 10Jan 2022: 27Feb 2022: 71Mar 2022: 90Apr 2022: 124May 2022: 91Jun 2022: 19Jul 2022: 29Aug 2022: 13Sep 2022: 10Oct 2022: 15Nov 2022: 12Dec 2022: 10Jan 2023: 12Feb 2023: 45Mar 2023: 40Apr 2023: 24May 2023: 13Jun 2023: 17Jul 2023: 10Aug 2023: 22Sep 2023: 6Oct 2023: 26Nov 2023: 9Dec 2023: 15Jan 2024: 34Feb 2024: 40Mar 2024: 44Apr 2024: 32May 2024: 39Jun 2024: 36Jul 2024: 27Aug 2024: 19Sep 2024: 9Oct 2024: 18Nov 2024: 8Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 10Feb 2025: 15Mar 2025: 31Apr 2025: 26May 2025: 26Jun 2025: 14Jul 2025: 9Aug 2025: 15Sep 2025: 10Oct 2025: 6Nov 2025: 11Dec 2025: 29Jan 2026: 48Feb 2026: 51Mar 2026: 59Apr 2026: 68May 2026: 51Jun 2026: 36Jul 2026: 24Aug 2026: 27Sep 2026: 36ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.030.9333–1.00500.589
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202636complete
August 202627complete
July 202624complete
June 202636complete
May 202651complete
April 202668complete
March 202659complete
February 202651complete
January 202648complete
December 202529complete
November 202511complete
October 20256complete
September 202510complete
August 202515complete
July 20259complete
June 202514complete
May 202526complete
April 202526complete
March 202531complete
February 202515complete
January 202510complete
December 20241complete
November 20248complete
October 202418complete
September 20249complete
August 202419complete
July 202427complete
June 202436complete
May 202439complete
April 202432complete
March 202444complete
February 202440complete
January 202434complete
December 202315complete
November 20239complete
October 202326complete
September 20236complete
August 202322complete
July 202310complete
June 202317complete
May 202313complete
April 202324complete
March 202340complete
February 202345complete
January 202312complete
December 202210complete
November 202212complete
October 202215complete
September 202210complete
August 202213complete
July 202229complete
June 202219complete
May 202291complete
April 2022124complete
March 202290complete
February 202271complete
January 202227complete
December 202110complete
November 202115complete
October 20217complete
September 202114complete
August 202124complete
July 202141complete
June 202118complete
May 202117complete
April 202125complete
March 202124complete
February 202131complete
January 202138complete
December 202014complete
November 202011complete
October 202012complete
September 202012complete
August 20209complete
July 20208complete
June 202020complete
May 202052complete
April 202024complete
March 202021complete
February 202032complete
January 202039complete
December 201916complete
November 201940complete
October 201951complete
September 201954complete
August 201945complete
July 201938complete
June 201961complete
May 201962complete
April 201975complete
March 201996complete
February 201989complete
January 201911complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:0be8c0d6afc8de1c45cc4efb775b74f1
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
52591d65240157f34e1ca6c77de5e81e66111f1c3ad7ebe76a1af5269cdbadb8

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.