Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Lower West Side: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
306
October 2025–September 2026
492
Change in monthly mean
+15.5

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.61-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 14Feb 2019: 79Mar 2019: 62Apr 2019: 69May 2019: 66Jun 2019: 38Jul 2019: 60Aug 2019: 40Sep 2019: 48Oct 2019: 48Nov 2019: 33Dec 2019: 17Jan 2020: 24Feb 2020: 26Mar 2020: 38Apr 2020: 56May 2020: 25Jun 2020: 6Jul 2020: 7Aug 2020: 10Sep 2020: 10Oct 2020: 11Nov 2020: 7Dec 2020: 50Jan 2021: 58Feb 2021: 63Mar 2021: 57Apr 2021: 27May 2021: 22Jun 2021: 10Jul 2021: 29Aug 2021: 25Sep 2021: 20Oct 2021: 25Nov 2021: 16Dec 2021: 10Jan 2022: 13Feb 2022: 59Mar 2022: 105Apr 2022: 133May 2022: 96Jun 2022: 39Jul 2022: 28Aug 2022: 13Sep 2022: 15Oct 2022: 15Nov 2022: 10Dec 2022: 10Jan 2023: 97Feb 2023: 87Mar 2023: 38Apr 2023: 33May 2023: 21Jun 2023: 13Jul 2023: 12Aug 2023: 36Sep 2023: 11Oct 2023: 32Nov 2023: 15Dec 2023: 22Jan 2024: 40Feb 2024: 25Mar 2024: 53Apr 2024: 34May 2024: 33Jun 2024: 48Jul 2024: 29Aug 2024: 26Sep 2024: 41Oct 2024: 21Nov 2024: 24Dec 2024: 13Jan 2025: 17Feb 2025: 38Mar 2025: 81Apr 2025: 33May 2025: 23Jun 2025: 26Jul 2025: 8Aug 2025: 9Sep 2025: 13Oct 2025: 7Nov 2025: 7Dec 2025: 25Jan 2026: 41Feb 2026: 122Mar 2026: 75Apr 2026: 55May 2026: 46Jun 2026: 42Jul 2026: 19Aug 2026: 23Sep 2026: 30ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.010.9550–1.02500.589
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202630complete
August 202623complete
July 202619complete
June 202642complete
May 202646complete
April 202655complete
March 202675complete
February 2026122complete
January 202641complete
December 202525complete
November 20257complete
October 20257complete
September 202513complete
August 20259complete
July 20258complete
June 202526complete
May 202523complete
April 202533complete
March 202581complete
February 202538complete
January 202517complete
December 202413complete
November 202424complete
October 202421complete
September 202441complete
August 202426complete
July 202429complete
June 202448complete
May 202433complete
April 202434complete
March 202453complete
February 202425complete
January 202440complete
December 202322complete
November 202315complete
October 202332complete
September 202311complete
August 202336complete
July 202312complete
June 202313complete
May 202321complete
April 202333complete
March 202338complete
February 202387complete
January 202397complete
December 202210complete
November 202210complete
October 202215complete
September 202215complete
August 202213complete
July 202228complete
June 202239complete
May 202296complete
April 2022133complete
March 2022105complete
February 202259complete
January 202213complete
December 202110complete
November 202116complete
October 202125complete
September 202120complete
August 202125complete
July 202129complete
June 202110complete
May 202122complete
April 202127complete
March 202157complete
February 202163complete
January 202158complete
December 202050complete
November 20207complete
October 202011complete
September 202010complete
August 202010complete
July 20207complete
June 20206complete
May 202025complete
April 202056complete
March 202038complete
February 202026complete
January 202024complete
December 201917complete
November 201933complete
October 201948complete
September 201948complete
August 201940complete
July 201960complete
June 201938complete
May 201966complete
April 201969complete
March 201962complete
February 201979complete
January 201914complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:0be8c0d6afc8de1c45cc4efb775b74f1
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
52591d65240157f34e1ca6c77de5e81e66111f1c3ad7ebe76a1af5269cdbadb8

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.