Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Lincoln Park: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
363
October 2025–September 2026
588
Change in monthly mean
+18.75

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.62-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 9Feb 2019: 138Mar 2019: 126Apr 2019: 54May 2019: 69Jun 2019: 13Jul 2019: 34Aug 2019: 76Sep 2019: 39Oct 2019: 18Nov 2019: 24Dec 2019: 18Jan 2020: 21Feb 2020: 11Mar 2020: 15Apr 2020: 22May 2020: 6Jun 2020: 21Jul 2020: 13Aug 2020: 6Sep 2020: 10Oct 2020: 12Nov 2020: 8Dec 2020: 45Jan 2021: 42Feb 2021: 22Mar 2021: 21Apr 2021: 14May 2021: 23Jun 2021: 16Jul 2021: 21Aug 2021: 5Sep 2021: 9Oct 2021: 26Nov 2021: 10Dec 2021: 10Jan 2022: 15Feb 2022: 48Mar 2022: 80Apr 2022: 136May 2022: 79Jun 2022: 61Jul 2022: 47Aug 2022: 24Sep 2022: 11Oct 2022: 19Nov 2022: 6Dec 2022: 17Jan 2023: 127Feb 2023: 62Mar 2023: 60Apr 2023: 22May 2023: 40Jun 2023: 13Jul 2023: 19Aug 2023: 15Sep 2023: 5Oct 2023: 10Nov 2023: 4Dec 2023: 51Jan 2024: 85Feb 2024: 75Mar 2024: 59Apr 2024: 38May 2024: 34Jun 2024: 56Jul 2024: 17Aug 2024: 7Sep 2024: 27Oct 2024: 16Nov 2024: 11Dec 2024: 12Jan 2025: 26Feb 2025: 69Mar 2025: 38Apr 2025: 38May 2025: 59Jun 2025: 48Jul 2025: 15Aug 2025: 20Sep 2025: 11Oct 2025: 17Nov 2025: 10Dec 2025: 30Jan 2026: 63Feb 2026: 61Mar 2026: 126Apr 2026: 100May 2026: 49Jun 2026: 47Jul 2026: 40Aug 2026: 22Sep 2026: 23ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.030.9848–1.06800.518
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202623complete
August 202622complete
July 202640complete
June 202647complete
May 202649complete
April 2026100complete
March 2026126complete
February 202661complete
January 202663complete
December 202530complete
November 202510complete
October 202517complete
September 202511complete
August 202520complete
July 202515complete
June 202548complete
May 202559complete
April 202538complete
March 202538complete
February 202569complete
January 202526complete
December 202412complete
November 202411complete
October 202416complete
September 202427complete
August 20247complete
July 202417complete
June 202456complete
May 202434complete
April 202438complete
March 202459complete
February 202475complete
January 202485complete
December 202351complete
November 20234complete
October 202310complete
September 20235complete
August 202315complete
July 202319complete
June 202313complete
May 202340complete
April 202322complete
March 202360complete
February 202362complete
January 2023127complete
December 202217complete
November 20226complete
October 202219complete
September 202211complete
August 202224complete
July 202247complete
June 202261complete
May 202279complete
April 2022136complete
March 202280complete
February 202248complete
January 202215complete
December 202110complete
November 202110complete
October 202126complete
September 20219complete
August 20215complete
July 202121complete
June 202116complete
May 202123complete
April 202114complete
March 202121complete
February 202122complete
January 202142complete
December 202045complete
November 20208complete
October 202012complete
September 202010complete
August 20206complete
July 202013complete
June 202021complete
May 20206complete
April 202022complete
March 202015complete
February 202011complete
January 202021complete
December 201918complete
November 201924complete
October 201918complete
September 201939complete
August 201976complete
July 201934complete
June 201913complete
May 201969complete
April 201954complete
March 2019126complete
February 2019138complete
January 20199complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:1b21c986286d68fb706c805190cb404f
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
1f3d4da738d6b25ee200a40e451b8672893008955a22df80aa567502632cc4ed

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.