Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Hyde Park: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
93
October 2025–September 2026
161
Change in monthly mean
+5.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.73-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 28Feb 2019: 17Mar 2019: 39Apr 2019: 21May 2019: 23Jun 2019: 8Jul 2019: 6Aug 2019: 19Sep 2019: 14Oct 2019: 6Nov 2019: 8Dec 2019: 12Jan 2020: 13Feb 2020: 8Mar 2020: 2Apr 2020: 6May 2020: 6Jun 2020: 2Jul 2020: 13Aug 2020: 1Sep 2020: 12Oct 2020: 7Dec 2020: 6Jan 2021: 1Feb 2021: 5Mar 2021: 8Apr 2021: 7May 2021: 11Jun 2021: 5Jul 2021: 1Aug 2021: 5Sep 2021: 5Oct 2021: 2Nov 2021: 5Jan 2022: 9Feb 2022: 35Mar 2022: 34Apr 2022: 47May 2022: 8Jun 2022: 39Jul 2022: 12Aug 2022: 7Sep 2022: 17Oct 2022: 6Nov 2022: 2Dec 2022: 5Jan 2023: 9Feb 2023: 28Mar 2023: 28Apr 2023: 5May 2023: 5Jun 2023: 8Jul 2023: 8Aug 2023: 11Sep 2023: 6Oct 2023: 3Dec 2023: 1Jan 2024: 24Feb 2024: 23Mar 2024: 11Apr 2024: 10May 2024: 11Jun 2024: 15Jul 2024: 14Aug 2024: 6Sep 2024: 3Oct 2024: 5Nov 2024: 3Dec 2024: 4Jan 2025: 3Feb 2025: 9Mar 2025: 11Apr 2025: 12May 2025: 6Jun 2025: 19Jul 2025: 4Aug 2025: 13Sep 2025: 4Oct 2025: 2Nov 2025: 3Dec 2025: 5Jan 2026: 16Feb 2026: 11Mar 2026: 36Apr 2026: 28May 2026: 19Jun 2026: 10Jul 2026: 13Aug 2026: 9Sep 2026: 9ZeroUnknownNov 2020: zero requests; not connectedDec 2021: zero requests; not connectedNov 2023: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.00Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 3 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 3 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×10.9590–1.04930.376
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20269complete
August 20269complete
July 202613complete
June 202610complete
May 202619complete
April 202628complete
March 202636complete
February 202611complete
January 202616complete
December 20255complete
November 20253complete
October 20252complete
September 20254complete
August 202513complete
July 20254complete
June 202519complete
May 20256complete
April 202512complete
March 202511complete
February 20259complete
January 20253complete
December 20244complete
November 20243complete
October 20245complete
September 20243complete
August 20246complete
July 202414complete
June 202415complete
May 202411complete
April 202410complete
March 202411complete
February 202423complete
January 202424complete
December 20231complete
November 20230complete
October 20233complete
September 20236complete
August 202311complete
July 20238complete
June 20238complete
May 20235complete
April 20235complete
March 202328complete
February 202328complete
January 20239complete
December 20225complete
November 20222complete
October 20226complete
September 202217complete
August 20227complete
July 202212complete
June 202239complete
May 20228complete
April 202247complete
March 202234complete
February 202235complete
January 20229complete
December 20210complete
November 20215complete
October 20212complete
September 20215complete
August 20215complete
July 20211complete
June 20215complete
May 202111complete
April 20217complete
March 20218complete
February 20215complete
January 20211complete
December 20206complete
November 20200complete
October 20207complete
September 202012complete
August 20201complete
July 202013complete
June 20202complete
May 20206complete
April 20206complete
March 20202complete
February 20208complete
January 202013complete
December 201912complete
November 20198complete
October 20196complete
September 201914complete
August 201919complete
July 20196complete
June 20198complete
May 201923complete
April 201921complete
March 201939complete
February 201917complete
January 201928complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:6fcce924341f0af65d3e95a3cf8340b7
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
1d66648cb29b3c1b6378d7b8e344cf623de6d313265bcc210fcc6a5c48828fd9

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.