Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Humboldt Park: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
227
October 2025–September 2026
345
Change in monthly mean
+9.83

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.52-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 5Feb 2019: 57Mar 2019: 81Apr 2019: 71May 2019: 98Jun 2019: 57Jul 2019: 45Aug 2019: 31Sep 2019: 48Oct 2019: 47Nov 2019: 33Dec 2019: 24Jan 2020: 30Feb 2020: 22Mar 2020: 25Apr 2020: 7May 2020: 10Jun 2020: 14Jul 2020: 26Aug 2020: 21Sep 2020: 14Oct 2020: 5Nov 2020: 7Dec 2020: 7Jan 2021: 14Feb 2021: 7Mar 2021: 26Apr 2021: 9May 2021: 18Jun 2021: 14Jul 2021: 13Aug 2021: 13Sep 2021: 12Oct 2021: 14Nov 2021: 20Dec 2021: 8Jan 2022: 11Feb 2022: 22Mar 2022: 55Apr 2022: 91May 2022: 41Jun 2022: 31Jul 2022: 15Aug 2022: 18Sep 2022: 15Oct 2022: 7Nov 2022: 5Dec 2022: 13Jan 2023: 23Feb 2023: 30Mar 2023: 52Apr 2023: 23May 2023: 18Jun 2023: 10Jul 2023: 17Aug 2023: 16Sep 2023: 11Oct 2023: 8Nov 2023: 11Dec 2023: 10Jan 2024: 27Feb 2024: 35Mar 2024: 26Apr 2024: 22May 2024: 21Jun 2024: 33Jul 2024: 20Aug 2024: 16Sep 2024: 9Oct 2024: 10Nov 2024: 9Dec 2024: 4Jan 2025: 11Feb 2025: 11Mar 2025: 18Apr 2025: 70May 2025: 26Jun 2025: 15Jul 2025: 20Aug 2025: 14Sep 2025: 19Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 4Dec 2025: 10Jan 2026: 33Feb 2026: 15Mar 2026: 38Apr 2026: 69May 2026: 45Jun 2026: 32Jul 2026: 32Aug 2026: 36Sep 2026: 20ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.02Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.020.9495–1.01700.597
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202620complete
August 202636complete
July 202632complete
June 202632complete
May 202645complete
April 202669complete
March 202638complete
February 202615complete
January 202633complete
December 202510complete
November 20254complete
October 202511complete
September 202519complete
August 202514complete
July 202520complete
June 202515complete
May 202526complete
April 202570complete
March 202518complete
February 202511complete
January 202511complete
December 20244complete
November 20249complete
October 202410complete
September 20249complete
August 202416complete
July 202420complete
June 202433complete
May 202421complete
April 202422complete
March 202426complete
February 202435complete
January 202427complete
December 202310complete
November 202311complete
October 20238complete
September 202311complete
August 202316complete
July 202317complete
June 202310complete
May 202318complete
April 202323complete
March 202352complete
February 202330complete
January 202323complete
December 202213complete
November 20225complete
October 20227complete
September 202215complete
August 202218complete
July 202215complete
June 202231complete
May 202241complete
April 202291complete
March 202255complete
February 202222complete
January 202211complete
December 20218complete
November 202120complete
October 202114complete
September 202112complete
August 202113complete
July 202113complete
June 202114complete
May 202118complete
April 20219complete
March 202126complete
February 20217complete
January 202114complete
December 20207complete
November 20207complete
October 20205complete
September 202014complete
August 202021complete
July 202026complete
June 202014complete
May 202010complete
April 20207complete
March 202025complete
February 202022complete
January 202030complete
December 201924complete
November 201933complete
October 201947complete
September 201948complete
August 201931complete
July 201945complete
June 201957complete
May 201998complete
April 201971complete
March 201981complete
February 201957complete
January 20195complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:25c9a8f7ee44116e8553016bbaa11739
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
d5788bcff5e579b27df5cd8b83dd58ed0791bf0ccf2415773de2341b2c82b2ce

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.