Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Humboldt Park: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
208
October 2025–September 2026
345
Change in monthly mean
+11.42

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.66-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 9Feb 2019: 56Mar 2019: 120Apr 2019: 74May 2019: 65Jun 2019: 49Jul 2019: 40Aug 2019: 35Sep 2019: 48Oct 2019: 54Nov 2019: 17Dec 2019: 22Jan 2020: 46Feb 2020: 28Mar 2020: 32Apr 2020: 13May 2020: 14Jun 2020: 22Jul 2020: 33Aug 2020: 14Sep 2020: 12Oct 2020: 13Nov 2020: 3Dec 2020: 18Jan 2021: 33Feb 2021: 27Mar 2021: 45Apr 2021: 34May 2021: 10Jun 2021: 9Jul 2021: 22Aug 2021: 10Sep 2021: 13Oct 2021: 23Nov 2021: 16Dec 2021: 22Jan 2022: 9Feb 2022: 37Mar 2022: 76Apr 2022: 64May 2022: 50Jun 2022: 40Jul 2022: 13Aug 2022: 25Sep 2022: 8Oct 2022: 2Nov 2022: 5Dec 2022: 22Jan 2023: 90Feb 2023: 39Mar 2023: 28Apr 2023: 23May 2023: 20Jun 2023: 24Jul 2023: 10Aug 2023: 10Sep 2023: 9Oct 2023: 6Nov 2023: 5Dec 2023: 2Jan 2024: 29Feb 2024: 127Mar 2024: 26Apr 2024: 15May 2024: 29Jun 2024: 31Jul 2024: 18Aug 2024: 35Sep 2024: 11Oct 2024: 6Nov 2024: 3Dec 2024: 2Jan 2025: 14Feb 2025: 23Mar 2025: 23Apr 2025: 30May 2025: 36Jun 2025: 27Jul 2025: 17Aug 2025: 13Sep 2025: 14Oct 2025: 6Nov 2025: 3Dec 2025: 6Jan 2026: 14Feb 2026: 28Mar 2026: 34Apr 2026: 57May 2026: 46Jun 2026: 36Jul 2026: 45Aug 2026: 34Sep 2026: 36ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.04Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.040.9225–1.00300.578
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202636complete
August 202634complete
July 202645complete
June 202636complete
May 202646complete
April 202657complete
March 202634complete
February 202628complete
January 202614complete
December 20256complete
November 20253complete
October 20256complete
September 202514complete
August 202513complete
July 202517complete
June 202527complete
May 202536complete
April 202530complete
March 202523complete
February 202523complete
January 202514complete
December 20242complete
November 20243complete
October 20246complete
September 202411complete
August 202435complete
July 202418complete
June 202431complete
May 202429complete
April 202415complete
March 202426complete
February 2024127complete
January 202429complete
December 20232complete
November 20235complete
October 20236complete
September 20239complete
August 202310complete
July 202310complete
June 202324complete
May 202320complete
April 202323complete
March 202328complete
February 202339complete
January 202390complete
December 202222complete
November 20225complete
October 20222complete
September 20228complete
August 202225complete
July 202213complete
June 202240complete
May 202250complete
April 202264complete
March 202276complete
February 202237complete
January 20229complete
December 202122complete
November 202116complete
October 202123complete
September 202113complete
August 202110complete
July 202122complete
June 20219complete
May 202110complete
April 202134complete
March 202145complete
February 202127complete
January 202133complete
December 202018complete
November 20203complete
October 202013complete
September 202012complete
August 202014complete
July 202033complete
June 202022complete
May 202014complete
April 202013complete
March 202032complete
February 202028complete
January 202046complete
December 201922complete
November 201917complete
October 201954complete
September 201948complete
August 201935complete
July 201940complete
June 201949complete
May 201965complete
April 201974complete
March 2019120complete
February 201956complete
January 20199complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:25c9a8f7ee44116e8553016bbaa11739
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
d5788bcff5e579b27df5cd8b83dd58ed0791bf0ccf2415773de2341b2c82b2ce

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.