Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Greater Grand Crossing: All categories · Status: Completed — Pothole requests

All categories · Status: Completed

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
381
October 2025–September 2026
609
Change in monthly mean
+19

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.6-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 4Feb 2019: 91Mar 2019: 132Apr 2019: 82May 2019: 94Jun 2019: 102Jul 2019: 66Aug 2019: 81Sep 2019: 85Oct 2019: 39Nov 2019: 14Dec 2019: 14Jan 2020: 27Feb 2020: 32Mar 2020: 71Apr 2020: 51May 2020: 55Jun 2020: 43Jul 2020: 32Aug 2020: 33Sep 2020: 20Oct 2020: 11Nov 2020: 25Dec 2020: 14Jan 2021: 62Feb 2021: 20Mar 2021: 65Apr 2021: 47May 2021: 28Jun 2021: 23Jul 2021: 45Aug 2021: 40Sep 2021: 36Oct 2021: 13Nov 2021: 24Dec 2021: 9Jan 2022: 27Feb 2022: 33Mar 2022: 110Apr 2022: 107May 2022: 64Jun 2022: 70Jul 2022: 43Aug 2022: 34Sep 2022: 28Oct 2022: 13Nov 2022: 9Dec 2022: 16Jan 2023: 37Feb 2023: 74Mar 2023: 67Apr 2023: 49May 2023: 43Jun 2023: 33Jul 2023: 17Aug 2023: 42Sep 2023: 29Oct 2023: 30Nov 2023: 15Dec 2023: 31Jan 2024: 60Feb 2024: 75Mar 2024: 85Apr 2024: 53May 2024: 88Jun 2024: 64Jul 2024: 40Aug 2024: 23Sep 2024: 20Oct 2024: 29Nov 2024: 10Dec 2024: 13Jan 2025: 17Feb 2025: 36Mar 2025: 56Apr 2025: 52May 2025: 58Jun 2025: 30Jul 2025: 33Aug 2025: 30Sep 2025: 17Oct 2025: 19Nov 2025: 14Dec 2025: 26Jan 2026: 64Feb 2026: 63Mar 2026: 120Apr 2026: 103May 2026: 51Jun 2026: 42Jul 2026: 36Aug 2026: 39Sep 2026: 32ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.010.9626–1.02800.507
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202632complete
August 202639complete
July 202636complete
June 202642complete
May 202651complete
April 2026103complete
March 2026120complete
February 202663complete
January 202664complete
December 202526complete
November 202514complete
October 202519complete
September 202517complete
August 202530complete
July 202533complete
June 202530complete
May 202558complete
April 202552complete
March 202556complete
February 202536complete
January 202517complete
December 202413complete
November 202410complete
October 202429complete
September 202420complete
August 202423complete
July 202440complete
June 202464complete
May 202488complete
April 202453complete
March 202485complete
February 202475complete
January 202460complete
December 202331complete
November 202315complete
October 202330complete
September 202329complete
August 202342complete
July 202317complete
June 202333complete
May 202343complete
April 202349complete
March 202367complete
February 202374complete
January 202337complete
December 202216complete
November 20229complete
October 202213complete
September 202228complete
August 202234complete
July 202243complete
June 202270complete
May 202264complete
April 2022107complete
March 2022110complete
February 202233complete
January 202227complete
December 20219complete
November 202124complete
October 202113complete
September 202136complete
August 202140complete
July 202145complete
June 202123complete
May 202128complete
April 202147complete
March 202165complete
February 202120complete
January 202162complete
December 202014complete
November 202025complete
October 202011complete
September 202020complete
August 202033complete
July 202032complete
June 202043complete
May 202055complete
April 202051complete
March 202071complete
February 202032complete
January 202027complete
December 201914complete
November 201914complete
October 201939complete
September 201985complete
August 201981complete
July 201966complete
June 2019102complete
May 201994complete
April 201982complete
March 2019132complete
February 201991complete
January 20194complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:57d8ae62e1433b18aae757cce5e35cb8
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
a319b57f945370decfd86bb40ece16e9bbfd9389ddd42448422af688bdc7a0d3

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.