Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Greater Grand Crossing: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
172
October 2025–September 2026
315
Change in monthly mean
+11.92

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.83-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 1Feb 2019: 30Mar 2019: 57Apr 2019: 34May 2019: 46Jun 2019: 44Jul 2019: 19Aug 2019: 39Sep 2019: 36Oct 2019: 16Nov 2019: 3Dec 2019: 6Jan 2020: 15Feb 2020: 8Mar 2020: 46Apr 2020: 36May 2020: 31Jun 2020: 21Jul 2020: 12Aug 2020: 13Sep 2020: 10Oct 2020: 2Nov 2020: 20Dec 2020: 6Jan 2021: 38Feb 2021: 14Mar 2021: 38Apr 2021: 24May 2021: 10Jun 2021: 14Jul 2021: 21Aug 2021: 18Sep 2021: 20Oct 2021: 4Nov 2021: 8Dec 2021: 6Jan 2022: 17Feb 2022: 10Mar 2022: 50Apr 2022: 47May 2022: 31Jun 2022: 34Jul 2022: 19Aug 2022: 15Sep 2022: 8Oct 2022: 6Nov 2022: 5Dec 2022: 7Jan 2023: 15Feb 2023: 21Mar 2023: 28Apr 2023: 15May 2023: 21Jun 2023: 8Jul 2023: 6Aug 2023: 15Sep 2023: 12Oct 2023: 14Nov 2023: 7Dec 2023: 8Jan 2024: 24Feb 2024: 24Mar 2024: 30Apr 2024: 23May 2024: 32Jun 2024: 24Jul 2024: 14Aug 2024: 7Sep 2024: 4Oct 2024: 5Nov 2024: 5Dec 2024: 4Jan 2025: 7Feb 2025: 20Mar 2025: 32Apr 2025: 19May 2025: 33Jun 2025: 11Jul 2025: 15Aug 2025: 13Sep 2025: 8Oct 2025: 7Nov 2025: 3Dec 2025: 8Jan 2026: 33Feb 2026: 39Mar 2026: 54Apr 2026: 53May 2026: 23Jun 2026: 25Jul 2026: 35Aug 2026: 24Sep 2026: 11ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.010.9562–1.03400.436
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202611complete
August 202624complete
July 202635complete
June 202625complete
May 202623complete
April 202653complete
March 202654complete
February 202639complete
January 202633complete
December 20258complete
November 20253complete
October 20257complete
September 20258complete
August 202513complete
July 202515complete
June 202511complete
May 202533complete
April 202519complete
March 202532complete
February 202520complete
January 20257complete
December 20244complete
November 20245complete
October 20245complete
September 20244complete
August 20247complete
July 202414complete
June 202424complete
May 202432complete
April 202423complete
March 202430complete
February 202424complete
January 202424complete
December 20238complete
November 20237complete
October 202314complete
September 202312complete
August 202315complete
July 20236complete
June 20238complete
May 202321complete
April 202315complete
March 202328complete
February 202321complete
January 202315complete
December 20227complete
November 20225complete
October 20226complete
September 20228complete
August 202215complete
July 202219complete
June 202234complete
May 202231complete
April 202247complete
March 202250complete
February 202210complete
January 202217complete
December 20216complete
November 20218complete
October 20214complete
September 202120complete
August 202118complete
July 202121complete
June 202114complete
May 202110complete
April 202124complete
March 202138complete
February 202114complete
January 202138complete
December 20206complete
November 202020complete
October 20202complete
September 202010complete
August 202013complete
July 202012complete
June 202021complete
May 202031complete
April 202036complete
March 202046complete
February 20208complete
January 202015complete
December 20196complete
November 20193complete
October 201916complete
September 201936complete
August 201939complete
July 201919complete
June 201944complete
May 201946complete
April 201934complete
March 201957complete
February 201930complete
January 20191complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:57d8ae62e1433b18aae757cce5e35cb8
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
a319b57f945370decfd86bb40ece16e9bbfd9389ddd42448422af688bdc7a0d3

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.