Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Greater Grand Crossing: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
140
October 2025–September 2026
265
Change in monthly mean
+10.42

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.89-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 3Feb 2019: 46Mar 2019: 51Apr 2019: 38May 2019: 33Jun 2019: 33Jul 2019: 29Aug 2019: 24Sep 2019: 41Oct 2019: 17Nov 2019: 7Dec 2019: 2Jan 2020: 9Feb 2020: 17Mar 2020: 22Apr 2020: 11May 2020: 17Jun 2020: 13Jul 2020: 14Aug 2020: 16Sep 2020: 8Oct 2020: 5Nov 2020: 3Dec 2020: 8Jan 2021: 15Feb 2021: 1Mar 2021: 22Apr 2021: 19May 2021: 14Jun 2021: 9Jul 2021: 15Aug 2021: 14Sep 2021: 12Oct 2021: 6Nov 2021: 13Dec 2021: 2Jan 2022: 8Feb 2022: 21Mar 2022: 38Apr 2022: 41May 2022: 25Jun 2022: 26Jul 2022: 15Aug 2022: 14Sep 2022: 13Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 2Dec 2022: 8Jan 2023: 18Feb 2023: 49Mar 2023: 30Apr 2023: 19May 2023: 20Jun 2023: 15Jul 2023: 4Aug 2023: 19Sep 2023: 11Oct 2023: 10Nov 2023: 5Dec 2023: 16Jan 2024: 29Feb 2024: 46Mar 2024: 41Apr 2024: 17May 2024: 34Jun 2024: 25Jul 2024: 21Aug 2024: 13Sep 2024: 12Oct 2024: 13Nov 2024: 4Dec 2024: 6Jan 2025: 9Feb 2025: 15Mar 2025: 18Apr 2025: 18May 2025: 13Jun 2025: 15Jul 2025: 12Aug 2025: 10Sep 2025: 7Oct 2025: 10Nov 2025: 7Dec 2025: 17Jan 2026: 26Feb 2026: 22Mar 2026: 53Apr 2026: 32May 2026: 18Jun 2026: 21Jul 2026: 18Aug 2026: 20Sep 2026: 21ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.010.9752–1.05100.434
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202621complete
August 202620complete
July 202618complete
June 202621complete
May 202618complete
April 202632complete
March 202653complete
February 202622complete
January 202626complete
December 202517complete
November 20257complete
October 202510complete
September 20257complete
August 202510complete
July 202512complete
June 202515complete
May 202513complete
April 202518complete
March 202518complete
February 202515complete
January 20259complete
December 20246complete
November 20244complete
October 202413complete
September 202412complete
August 202413complete
July 202421complete
June 202425complete
May 202434complete
April 202417complete
March 202441complete
February 202446complete
January 202429complete
December 202316complete
November 20235complete
October 202310complete
September 202311complete
August 202319complete
July 20234complete
June 202315complete
May 202320complete
April 202319complete
March 202330complete
February 202349complete
January 202318complete
December 20228complete
November 20222complete
October 20224complete
September 202213complete
August 202214complete
July 202215complete
June 202226complete
May 202225complete
April 202241complete
March 202238complete
February 202221complete
January 20228complete
December 20212complete
November 202113complete
October 20216complete
September 202112complete
August 202114complete
July 202115complete
June 20219complete
May 202114complete
April 202119complete
March 202122complete
February 20211complete
January 202115complete
December 20208complete
November 20203complete
October 20205complete
September 20208complete
August 202016complete
July 202014complete
June 202013complete
May 202017complete
April 202011complete
March 202022complete
February 202017complete
January 20209complete
December 20192complete
November 20197complete
October 201917complete
September 201941complete
August 201924complete
July 201929complete
June 201933complete
May 201933complete
April 201938complete
March 201951complete
February 201946complete
January 20193complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:57d8ae62e1433b18aae757cce5e35cb8
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
a319b57f945370decfd86bb40ece16e9bbfd9389ddd42448422af688bdc7a0d3

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.