Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Gage Park: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
191
October 2025–September 2026
307
Change in monthly mean
+9.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.61-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 2Feb 2019: 31Mar 2019: 50Apr 2019: 28May 2019: 23Jun 2019: 19Jul 2019: 35Aug 2019: 38Sep 2019: 24Oct 2019: 23Nov 2019: 13Dec 2019: 14Jan 2020: 25Feb 2020: 14Mar 2020: 41Apr 2020: 23May 2020: 52Jun 2020: 12Jul 2020: 22Aug 2020: 6Sep 2020: 7Oct 2020: 9Nov 2020: 33Dec 2020: 14Jan 2021: 34Feb 2021: 9Mar 2021: 20Apr 2021: 11May 2021: 10Jun 2021: 8Jul 2021: 25Aug 2021: 20Sep 2021: 13Oct 2021: 6Nov 2021: 8Dec 2021: 6Jan 2022: 13Feb 2022: 57Mar 2022: 63Apr 2022: 52May 2022: 43Jun 2022: 26Jul 2022: 255Aug 2022: 11Sep 2022: 14Oct 2022: 6Nov 2022: 1Dec 2022: 7Jan 2023: 174Feb 2023: 18Mar 2023: 53Apr 2023: 10May 2023: 13Jun 2023: 10Jul 2023: 11Aug 2023: 15Sep 2023: 15Oct 2023: 20Nov 2023: 4Dec 2023: 15Jan 2024: 36Feb 2024: 37Mar 2024: 55Apr 2024: 20May 2024: 27Jun 2024: 32Jul 2024: 18Aug 2024: 16Sep 2024: 7Oct 2024: 11Nov 2024: 7Dec 2024: 4Jan 2025: 11Feb 2025: 27Mar 2025: 32Apr 2025: 20May 2025: 36Jun 2025: 14Jul 2025: 13Aug 2025: 10Sep 2025: 6Oct 2025: 9Nov 2025: 6Dec 2025: 29Jan 2026: 10Feb 2026: 29Mar 2026: 56Apr 2026: 59May 2026: 43Jun 2026: 12Jul 2026: 18Aug 2026: 21Sep 2026: 15ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.01Direction uncertain

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.010.9545–1.03500.294
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202615complete
August 202621complete
July 202618complete
June 202612complete
May 202643complete
April 202659complete
March 202656complete
February 202629complete
January 202610complete
December 202529complete
November 20256complete
October 20259complete
September 20256complete
August 202510complete
July 202513complete
June 202514complete
May 202536complete
April 202520complete
March 202532complete
February 202527complete
January 202511complete
December 20244complete
November 20247complete
October 202411complete
September 20247complete
August 202416complete
July 202418complete
June 202432complete
May 202427complete
April 202420complete
March 202455complete
February 202437complete
January 202436complete
December 202315complete
November 20234complete
October 202320complete
September 202315complete
August 202315complete
July 202311complete
June 202310complete
May 202313complete
April 202310complete
March 202353complete
February 202318complete
January 2023174complete
December 20227complete
November 20221complete
October 20226complete
September 202214complete
August 202211complete
July 2022255complete
June 202226complete
May 202243complete
April 202252complete
March 202263complete
February 202257complete
January 202213complete
December 20216complete
November 20218complete
October 20216complete
September 202113complete
August 202120complete
July 202125complete
June 20218complete
May 202110complete
April 202111complete
March 202120complete
February 20219complete
January 202134complete
December 202014complete
November 202033complete
October 20209complete
September 20207complete
August 20206complete
July 202022complete
June 202012complete
May 202052complete
April 202023complete
March 202041complete
February 202014complete
January 202025complete
December 201914complete
November 201913complete
October 201923complete
September 201924complete
August 201938complete
July 201935complete
June 201919complete
May 201923complete
April 201928complete
March 201950complete
February 201931complete
January 20192complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:f3a3b4ff33fe76c39d5f6c845c8d4251
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
03b35dd265e2f01d24aef587703d80d896fb020fcb80943fd1681fda1a5f5db1

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.