Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Edison Park: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
144
October 2025–September 2026
236
Change in monthly mean
+7.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.64-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 4Feb 2019: 19Mar 2019: 95Apr 2019: 19May 2019: 17Jun 2019: 78Jul 2019: 22Aug 2019: 22Sep 2019: 22Oct 2019: 10Nov 2019: 21Dec 2019: 11Jan 2020: 8Feb 2020: 17Mar 2020: 56Apr 2020: 8May 2020: 11Jun 2020: 11Jul 2020: 7Aug 2020: 6Sep 2020: 9Oct 2020: 2Nov 2020: 7Dec 2020: 11Jan 2021: 10Feb 2021: 3Mar 2021: 34Apr 2021: 11Jun 2021: 7Jul 2021: 10Aug 2021: 10Sep 2021: 4Oct 2021: 11Nov 2021: 19Dec 2021: 8Jan 2022: 4Feb 2022: 20Mar 2022: 38Apr 2022: 59May 2022: 20Jun 2022: 10Jul 2022: 6Aug 2022: 2Sep 2022: 11Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 1Dec 2022: 8Jan 2023: 1Feb 2023: 27Mar 2023: 35Apr 2023: 12May 2023: 6Jun 2023: 7Jul 2023: 16Aug 2023: 10Sep 2023: 4Oct 2023: 3Nov 2023: 33Dec 2023: 3Jan 2024: 11Feb 2024: 8Mar 2024: 17Apr 2024: 18May 2024: 17Jun 2024: 16Jul 2024: 19Aug 2024: 11Sep 2024: 4Oct 2024: 1Nov 2024: 4Dec 2024: 9Jan 2025: 12Feb 2025: 12Mar 2025: 17Apr 2025: 33May 2025: 14Jun 2025: 10Jul 2025: 9Aug 2025: 17Sep 2025: 6Oct 2025: 4Nov 2025: 2Dec 2025: 3Jan 2026: 3Feb 2026: 20Mar 2026: 25Apr 2026: 47May 2026: 41Jun 2026: 39Jul 2026: 28Aug 2026: 12Sep 2026: 12ZeroUnknownMay 2021: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.02Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.020.9406–1.03110.351
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202612complete
August 202612complete
July 202628complete
June 202639complete
May 202641complete
April 202647complete
March 202625complete
February 202620complete
January 20263complete
December 20253complete
November 20252complete
October 20254complete
September 20256complete
August 202517complete
July 20259complete
June 202510complete
May 202514complete
April 202533complete
March 202517complete
February 202512complete
January 202512complete
December 20249complete
November 20244complete
October 20241complete
September 20244complete
August 202411complete
July 202419complete
June 202416complete
May 202417complete
April 202418complete
March 202417complete
February 20248complete
January 202411complete
December 20233complete
November 202333complete
October 20233complete
September 20234complete
August 202310complete
July 202316complete
June 20237complete
May 20236complete
April 202312complete
March 202335complete
February 202327complete
January 20231complete
December 20228complete
November 20221complete
October 20224complete
September 202211complete
August 20222complete
July 20226complete
June 202210complete
May 202220complete
April 202259complete
March 202238complete
February 202220complete
January 20224complete
December 20218complete
November 202119complete
October 202111complete
September 20214complete
August 202110complete
July 202110complete
June 20217complete
May 20210complete
April 202111complete
March 202134complete
February 20213complete
January 202110complete
December 202011complete
November 20207complete
October 20202complete
September 20209complete
August 20206complete
July 20207complete
June 202011complete
May 202011complete
April 20208complete
March 202056complete
February 202017complete
January 20208complete
December 201911complete
November 201921complete
October 201910complete
September 201922complete
August 201922complete
July 201922complete
June 201978complete
May 201917complete
April 201919complete
March 201995complete
February 201919complete
January 20194complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:baa997bf65540c519deb918bb219b000
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
d29f9127f3988887a7662fef23bb2b420af3e2e9a75a275390bd0e5c5979d67a

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.