Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Clearing: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
168
October 2025–September 2026
270
Change in monthly mean
+8.5

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.61-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 2Feb 2019: 13Mar 2019: 62Apr 2019: 47May 2019: 52Jun 2019: 35Jul 2019: 41Aug 2019: 72Sep 2019: 33Oct 2019: 9Nov 2019: 10Dec 2019: 58Jan 2020: 33Feb 2020: 15Mar 2020: 20Apr 2020: 29May 2020: 15Jun 2020: 33Jul 2020: 47Aug 2020: 16Sep 2020: 62Oct 2020: 4Nov 2020: 4Dec 2020: 29Jan 2021: 22Feb 2021: 23Mar 2021: 24Apr 2021: 28May 2021: 32Jun 2021: 29Jul 2021: 18Aug 2021: 10Sep 2021: 10Oct 2021: 4Nov 2021: 11Dec 2021: 2Jan 2022: 8Feb 2022: 18Mar 2022: 47Apr 2022: 29May 2022: 10Jun 2022: 8Jul 2022: 18Aug 2022: 6Sep 2022: 20Oct 2022: 14Nov 2022: 7Dec 2022: 7Jan 2023: 25Feb 2023: 25Mar 2023: 58Apr 2023: 8May 2023: 56Jun 2023: 13Jul 2023: 10Aug 2023: 11Sep 2023: 25Oct 2023: 32Nov 2023: 18Dec 2023: 17Jan 2024: 36Feb 2024: 131Mar 2024: 25Apr 2024: 41May 2024: 19Jun 2024: 9Jul 2024: 48Aug 2024: 38Sep 2024: 13Oct 2024: 2Nov 2024: 4Dec 2024: 2Jan 2025: 10Feb 2025: 40Mar 2025: 28Apr 2025: 12May 2025: 6Jun 2025: 14Jul 2025: 16Aug 2025: 26Sep 2025: 8Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 4Dec 2025: 7Jan 2026: 64Feb 2026: 14Mar 2026: 16Apr 2026: 48May 2026: 13Jun 2026: 15Jul 2026: 8Aug 2026: 51Sep 2026: 19ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.03Direction uncertain

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.030.9324–1.01400.283
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202619complete
August 202651complete
July 20268complete
June 202615complete
May 202613complete
April 202648complete
March 202616complete
February 202614complete
January 202664complete
December 20257complete
November 20254complete
October 202511complete
September 20258complete
August 202526complete
July 202516complete
June 202514complete
May 20256complete
April 202512complete
March 202528complete
February 202540complete
January 202510complete
December 20242complete
November 20244complete
October 20242complete
September 202413complete
August 202438complete
July 202448complete
June 20249complete
May 202419complete
April 202441complete
March 202425complete
February 2024131complete
January 202436complete
December 202317complete
November 202318complete
October 202332complete
September 202325complete
August 202311complete
July 202310complete
June 202313complete
May 202356complete
April 20238complete
March 202358complete
February 202325complete
January 202325complete
December 20227complete
November 20227complete
October 202214complete
September 202220complete
August 20226complete
July 202218complete
June 20228complete
May 202210complete
April 202229complete
March 202247complete
February 202218complete
January 20228complete
December 20212complete
November 202111complete
October 20214complete
September 202110complete
August 202110complete
July 202118complete
June 202129complete
May 202132complete
April 202128complete
March 202124complete
February 202123complete
January 202122complete
December 202029complete
November 20204complete
October 20204complete
September 202062complete
August 202016complete
July 202047complete
June 202033complete
May 202015complete
April 202029complete
March 202020complete
February 202015complete
January 202033complete
December 201958complete
November 201910complete
October 20199complete
September 201933complete
August 201972complete
July 201941complete
June 201935complete
May 201952complete
April 201947complete
March 201962complete
February 201913complete
January 20192complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:518295c1ceaaeaae49308ed4e9057ab6
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
1fd7876cdc8129f6a38c50146929a15d5108c6425d56372a548be03b000f138e

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.