Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Chicago Lawn: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
103
October 2025–September 2026
219
Change in monthly mean
+9.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.13-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 4Feb 2019: 16Mar 2019: 21Apr 2019: 19May 2019: 23Jun 2019: 54Jul 2019: 36Aug 2019: 16Sep 2019: 10Oct 2019: 23Nov 2019: 11Dec 2019: 10Jan 2020: 6Feb 2020: 5Mar 2020: 71Apr 2020: 6May 2020: 12Jun 2020: 13Jul 2020: 20Aug 2020: 4Sep 2020: 3Oct 2020: 5Nov 2020: 5Dec 2020: 13Jan 2021: 2Feb 2021: 4Mar 2021: 11Apr 2021: 4May 2021: 7Jun 2021: 2Jul 2021: 11Aug 2021: 3Sep 2021: 7Oct 2021: 4Nov 2021: 4Dec 2021: 1Jan 2022: 7Feb 2022: 55Mar 2022: 26Apr 2022: 23May 2022: 24Jun 2022: 14Jul 2022: 8Aug 2022: 5Sep 2022: 12Oct 2022: 7Nov 2022: 6Dec 2022: 7Jan 2023: 6Feb 2023: 6Mar 2023: 9Apr 2023: 10May 2023: 14Jun 2023: 4Jul 2023: 6Aug 2023: 12Sep 2023: 6Oct 2023: 3Nov 2023: 2Dec 2023: 5Jan 2024: 5Feb 2024: 13Mar 2024: 11Apr 2024: 22May 2024: 20Jun 2024: 8Jul 2024: 7Aug 2024: 6Sep 2024: 4Oct 2024: 9Nov 2024: 10Dec 2024: 4Jan 2025: 1Feb 2025: 2Mar 2025: 12Apr 2025: 10May 2025: 10Jun 2025: 16Jul 2025: 9Aug 2025: 13Sep 2025: 7Oct 2025: 9Nov 2025: 6Dec 2025: 4Jan 2026: 11Feb 2026: 18Mar 2026: 16Apr 2026: 59May 2026: 12Jun 2026: 8Jul 2026: 16Aug 2026: 47Sep 2026: 13ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.01Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.010.9536–1.03200.415
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202613complete
August 202647complete
July 202616complete
June 20268complete
May 202612complete
April 202659complete
March 202616complete
February 202618complete
January 202611complete
December 20254complete
November 20256complete
October 20259complete
September 20257complete
August 202513complete
July 20259complete
June 202516complete
May 202510complete
April 202510complete
March 202512complete
February 20252complete
January 20251complete
December 20244complete
November 202410complete
October 20249complete
September 20244complete
August 20246complete
July 20247complete
June 20248complete
May 202420complete
April 202422complete
March 202411complete
February 202413complete
January 20245complete
December 20235complete
November 20232complete
October 20233complete
September 20236complete
August 202312complete
July 20236complete
June 20234complete
May 202314complete
April 202310complete
March 20239complete
February 20236complete
January 20236complete
December 20227complete
November 20226complete
October 20227complete
September 202212complete
August 20225complete
July 20228complete
June 202214complete
May 202224complete
April 202223complete
March 202226complete
February 202255complete
January 20227complete
December 20211complete
November 20214complete
October 20214complete
September 20217complete
August 20213complete
July 202111complete
June 20212complete
May 20217complete
April 20214complete
March 202111complete
February 20214complete
January 20212complete
December 202013complete
November 20205complete
October 20205complete
September 20203complete
August 20204complete
July 202020complete
June 202013complete
May 202012complete
April 20206complete
March 202071complete
February 20205complete
January 20206complete
December 201910complete
November 201911complete
October 201923complete
September 201910complete
August 201916complete
July 201936complete
June 201954complete
May 201923complete
April 201919complete
March 201921complete
February 201916complete
January 20194complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:267bfd9dcb6e500ef695d79fb8416cbb
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
f823b7a9fe3012b0c52de6e0065c65122508ab3298431425374dec3f150c801d

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.