Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Chicago Lawn: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Pothole requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
257
October 2025–September 2026
542
Change in monthly mean
+23.75

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.11-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly street potholes requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Jan 2019: 14Feb 2019: 73Mar 2019: 56Apr 2019: 35May 2019: 30Jun 2019: 80Jul 2019: 74Aug 2019: 49Sep 2019: 58Oct 2019: 60Nov 2019: 54Dec 2019: 34Jan 2020: 23Feb 2020: 49Mar 2020: 52Apr 2020: 23May 2020: 35Jun 2020: 22Jul 2020: 22Aug 2020: 22Sep 2020: 11Oct 2020: 10Nov 2020: 20Dec 2020: 11Jan 2021: 45Feb 2021: 32Mar 2021: 55Apr 2021: 32May 2021: 25Jun 2021: 17Jul 2021: 24Aug 2021: 13Sep 2021: 15Oct 2021: 22Nov 2021: 30Dec 2021: 12Jan 2022: 6Feb 2022: 111Mar 2022: 81Apr 2022: 93May 2022: 57Jun 2022: 49Jul 2022: 157Aug 2022: 23Sep 2022: 22Oct 2022: 16Nov 2022: 12Dec 2022: 14Jan 2023: 149Feb 2023: 41Mar 2023: 66Apr 2023: 43May 2023: 28Jun 2023: 23Jul 2023: 21Aug 2023: 20Sep 2023: 25Oct 2023: 13Nov 2023: 7Dec 2023: 39Jan 2024: 35Feb 2024: 69Mar 2024: 38Apr 2024: 27May 2024: 41Jun 2024: 39Jul 2024: 21Aug 2024: 17Sep 2024: 29Oct 2024: 17Nov 2024: 8Dec 2024: 13Jan 2025: 10Feb 2025: 25Mar 2025: 22Apr 2025: 25May 2025: 61Jun 2025: 22Jul 2025: 19Aug 2025: 16Sep 2025: 19Oct 2025: 19Nov 2025: 7Dec 2025: 34Jan 2026: 34Feb 2026: 49Mar 2026: 61Apr 2026: 83May 2026: 45Jun 2026: 15Jul 2026: 34Aug 2026: 127Sep 2026: 34ZeroUnknown?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.02Direction uncertain (serial pattern)

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.020.9512–1.01600.387
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202634complete
August 2026127complete
July 202634complete
June 202615complete
May 202645complete
April 202683complete
March 202661complete
February 202649complete
January 202634complete
December 202534complete
November 20257complete
October 202519complete
September 202519complete
August 202516complete
July 202519complete
June 202522complete
May 202561complete
April 202525complete
March 202522complete
February 202525complete
January 202510complete
December 202413complete
November 20248complete
October 202417complete
September 202429complete
August 202417complete
July 202421complete
June 202439complete
May 202441complete
April 202427complete
March 202438complete
February 202469complete
January 202435complete
December 202339complete
November 20237complete
October 202313complete
September 202325complete
August 202320complete
July 202321complete
June 202323complete
May 202328complete
April 202343complete
March 202366complete
February 202341complete
January 2023149complete
December 202214complete
November 202212complete
October 202216complete
September 202222complete
August 202223complete
July 2022157complete
June 202249complete
May 202257complete
April 202293complete
March 202281complete
February 2022111complete
January 20226complete
December 202112complete
November 202130complete
October 202122complete
September 202115complete
August 202113complete
July 202124complete
June 202117complete
May 202125complete
April 202132complete
March 202155complete
February 202132complete
January 202145complete
December 202011complete
November 202020complete
October 202010complete
September 202011complete
August 202022complete
July 202022complete
June 202022complete
May 202035complete
April 202023complete
March 202052complete
February 202049complete
January 202023complete
December 201934complete
November 201954complete
October 201960complete
September 201958complete
August 201949complete
July 201974complete
June 201980complete
May 201930complete
April 201935complete
March 201956complete
February 201973complete
January 201914complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T17:28:32.885Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T15:33:29.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:8c35ac8d-21c1-45e9-8c56-8bf32f3df7b0:neighborhood-v2:267bfd9dcb6e500ef695d79fb8416cbb
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
f823b7a9fe3012b0c52de6e0065c65122508ab3298431425374dec3f150c801d

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other pothole requests candidates or review the complete screening method.