Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Town: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
1,690
October 2025–September 2026
2,587
Change in monthly mean
+74.75

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.53-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Feb 2019: 2Mar 2019: 27Apr 2019: 34May 2019: 40Jun 2019: 56Jul 2019: 87Aug 2019: 50Sep 2019: 37Oct 2019: 26Nov 2019: 27Dec 2019: 21Jan 2020: 31Feb 2020: 43Mar 2020: 19Apr 2020: 27May 2020: 30Jun 2020: 60Jul 2020: 60Aug 2020: 39Sep 2020: 59Oct 2020: 45Nov 2020: 21Dec 2020: 92Jan 2021: 45Feb 2021: 63Mar 2021: 24Apr 2021: 38May 2021: 60Jun 2021: 89Jul 2021: 86Aug 2021: 63Sep 2021: 66Oct 2021: 87Nov 2021: 55Dec 2021: 39Jan 2022: 41Feb 2022: 25Mar 2022: 56Apr 2022: 51May 2022: 63Jun 2022: 100Jul 2022: 107Aug 2022: 86Sep 2022: 103Oct 2022: 60Nov 2022: 41Dec 2022: 31Jan 2023: 39Feb 2023: 41Mar 2023: 43Apr 2023: 65May 2023: 107Jun 2023: 78Jul 2023: 113Aug 2023: 58Sep 2023: 83Oct 2023: 55Nov 2023: 48Dec 2023: 113Jan 2024: 43Feb 2024: 71Mar 2024: 75Apr 2024: 76May 2024: 53Jun 2024: 56Jul 2024: 54Aug 2024: 46Sep 2024: 163Oct 2024: 221Nov 2024: 140Dec 2024: 101Jan 2025: 125Feb 2025: 115Mar 2025: 151Apr 2025: 123May 2025: 105Jun 2025: 145Jul 2025: 127Aug 2025: 159Sep 2025: 178Oct 2025: 213Nov 2025: 117Dec 2025: 184Jan 2026: 217Feb 2026: 223Mar 2026: 267Apr 2026: 349May 2026: 167Jun 2026: 143Jul 2026: 212Aug 2026: 241Sep 2026: 254ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.16Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.161.124–1.19010.477
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 2026254complete
August 2026241complete
July 2026212complete
June 2026143complete
May 2026167complete
April 2026349complete
March 2026267complete
February 2026223complete
January 2026217complete
December 2025184complete
November 2025117complete
October 2025213complete
September 2025178complete
August 2025159complete
July 2025127complete
June 2025145complete
May 2025105complete
April 2025123complete
March 2025151complete
February 2025115complete
January 2025125complete
December 2024101complete
November 2024140complete
October 2024221complete
September 2024163complete
August 202446complete
July 202454complete
June 202456complete
May 202453complete
April 202476complete
March 202475complete
February 202471complete
January 202443complete
December 2023113complete
November 202348complete
October 202355complete
September 202383complete
August 202358complete
July 2023113complete
June 202378complete
May 2023107complete
April 202365complete
March 202343complete
February 202341complete
January 202339complete
December 202231complete
November 202241complete
October 202260complete
September 2022103complete
August 202286complete
July 2022107complete
June 2022100complete
May 202263complete
April 202251complete
March 202256complete
February 202225complete
January 202241complete
December 202139complete
November 202155complete
October 202187complete
September 202166complete
August 202163complete
July 202186complete
June 202189complete
May 202160complete
April 202138complete
March 202124complete
February 202163complete
January 202145complete
December 202092complete
November 202021complete
October 202045complete
September 202059complete
August 202039complete
July 202060complete
June 202060complete
May 202030complete
April 202027complete
March 202019complete
February 202043complete
January 202031complete
December 201921complete
November 201927complete
October 201926complete
September 201937complete
August 201950complete
July 201987complete
June 201956complete
May 201940complete
April 201934complete
March 201927complete
February 20192complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:c991ebc297d6c9afdfce8a501ba4e626
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
ed287064dbc1f8fe636d29ab03229812d0b6d7e837c753cd80ad10fd4a7001d1

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.