Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Ridge: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
99
October 2025–September 2026
239
Change in monthly mean
+11.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.41-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Feb 2019: 2Mar 2019: 5Apr 2019: 6May 2019: 4Jun 2019: 7Jul 2019: 17Aug 2019: 8Sep 2019: 8Oct 2019: 8Nov 2019: 2Dec 2019: 6Jan 2020: 2Feb 2020: 6Mar 2020: 4Apr 2020: 1May 2020: 4Jun 2020: 6Jul 2020: 14Aug 2020: 9Sep 2020: 11Oct 2020: 5Nov 2020: 1Dec 2020: 7Jan 2021: 17Feb 2021: 10Mar 2021: 2Apr 2021: 4May 2021: 10Jun 2021: 7Jul 2021: 8Aug 2021: 4Sep 2021: 5Oct 2021: 6Nov 2021: 4Dec 2021: 9Jan 2022: 1Feb 2022: 1Mar 2022: 18Apr 2022: 9May 2022: 13Jun 2022: 19Jul 2022: 6Aug 2022: 10Sep 2022: 2Oct 2022: 5Nov 2022: 4Dec 2022: 6Jan 2023: 12Feb 2023: 6Mar 2023: 6Apr 2023: 5May 2023: 12Jun 2023: 22Jul 2023: 6Aug 2023: 11Sep 2023: 8Oct 2023: 7Nov 2023: 4Dec 2023: 2Jan 2024: 1Feb 2024: 3Mar 2024: 7Apr 2024: 5May 2024: 7Jun 2024: 4Jul 2024: 3Aug 2024: 3Sep 2024: 14Oct 2024: 8Nov 2024: 4Dec 2024: 4Jan 2025: 11Feb 2025: 6Mar 2025: 6Apr 2025: 10May 2025: 17Jun 2025: 3Jul 2025: 7Aug 2025: 10Sep 2025: 13Oct 2025: 6Nov 2025: 11Dec 2025: 15Jan 2026: 33Feb 2026: 16Mar 2026: 51Apr 2026: 21May 2026: 18Jun 2026: 32Jul 2026: 14Aug 2026: 5Sep 2026: 17ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.07Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.071.031–1.10910.311
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202617complete
August 20265complete
July 202614complete
June 202632complete
May 202618complete
April 202621complete
March 202651complete
February 202616complete
January 202633complete
December 202515complete
November 202511complete
October 20256complete
September 202513complete
August 202510complete
July 20257complete
June 20253complete
May 202517complete
April 202510complete
March 20256complete
February 20256complete
January 202511complete
December 20244complete
November 20244complete
October 20248complete
September 202414complete
August 20243complete
July 20243complete
June 20244complete
May 20247complete
April 20245complete
March 20247complete
February 20243complete
January 20241complete
December 20232complete
November 20234complete
October 20237complete
September 20238complete
August 202311complete
July 20236complete
June 202322complete
May 202312complete
April 20235complete
March 20236complete
February 20236complete
January 202312complete
December 20226complete
November 20224complete
October 20225complete
September 20222complete
August 202210complete
July 20226complete
June 202219complete
May 202213complete
April 20229complete
March 202218complete
February 20221complete
January 20221complete
December 20219complete
November 20214complete
October 20216complete
September 20215complete
August 20214complete
July 20218complete
June 20217complete
May 202110complete
April 20214complete
March 20212complete
February 202110complete
January 202117complete
December 20207complete
November 20201complete
October 20205complete
September 202011complete
August 20209complete
July 202014complete
June 20206complete
May 20204complete
April 20201complete
March 20204complete
February 20206complete
January 20202complete
December 20196complete
November 20192complete
October 20198complete
September 20198complete
August 20198complete
July 201917complete
June 20197complete
May 20194complete
April 20196complete
March 20195complete
February 20192complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:39c3206168629a42880ce9726f843115
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
6004eeacd45ab9d6f778281119b6200c27a78d5795f8b2444c2382060a12fc9e

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.