Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Lawn: All categories · Status: Completed — Graffiti requests

All categories · Status: Completed

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
1,500
October 2025–September 2026
997
Change in monthly mean
-41.92

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.5-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthSingle-trend reference: 2019-01–2026-09Feb 2019: 3Mar 2019: 23Apr 2019: 24May 2019: 34Jun 2019: 53Jul 2019: 71Aug 2019: 53Sep 2019: 51Oct 2019: 93Nov 2019: 66Dec 2019: 41Jan 2020: 42Feb 2020: 75Mar 2020: 97Apr 2020: 63May 2020: 62Jun 2020: 71Jul 2020: 109Aug 2020: 79Sep 2020: 84Oct 2020: 50Nov 2020: 77Dec 2020: 64Jan 2021: 98Feb 2021: 99Mar 2021: 121Apr 2021: 89May 2021: 61Jun 2021: 67Jul 2021: 82Aug 2021: 88Sep 2021: 84Oct 2021: 61Nov 2021: 83Dec 2021: 41Jan 2022: 72Feb 2022: 63Mar 2022: 125Apr 2022: 72May 2022: 101Jun 2022: 102Jul 2022: 98Aug 2022: 99Sep 2022: 96Oct 2022: 96Nov 2022: 52Dec 2022: 96Jan 2023: 94Feb 2023: 111Mar 2023: 164Apr 2023: 136May 2023: 144Jun 2023: 94Jul 2023: 109Aug 2023: 107Sep 2023: 122Oct 2023: 93Nov 2023: 87Dec 2023: 88Jan 2024: 89Feb 2024: 149Mar 2024: 111Apr 2024: 141May 2024: 125Jun 2024: 100Jul 2024: 90Aug 2024: 87Sep 2024: 103Oct 2024: 117Nov 2024: 122Dec 2024: 114Jan 2025: 119Feb 2025: 186Mar 2025: 144Apr 2025: 171May 2025: 117Jun 2025: 106Jul 2025: 103Aug 2025: 95Sep 2025: 106Oct 2025: 63Nov 2025: 59Dec 2025: 55Jan 2026: 98Feb 2026: 59Mar 2026: 115Apr 2026: 76May 2026: 131Jun 2026: 69Jul 2026: 79Aug 2026: 115Sep 2026: 78ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Single-trend reference · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.08Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • The best candidate failed the residual-independence diagnostic. A single-trend reference is shown instead; this does not establish a stable trend.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.081.046–1.10810.557
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202678complete
August 2026115complete
July 202679complete
June 202669complete
May 2026131complete
April 202676complete
March 2026115complete
February 202659complete
January 202698complete
December 202555complete
November 202559complete
October 202563complete
September 2025106complete
August 202595complete
July 2025103complete
June 2025106complete
May 2025117complete
April 2025171complete
March 2025144complete
February 2025186complete
January 2025119complete
December 2024114complete
November 2024122complete
October 2024117complete
September 2024103complete
August 202487complete
July 202490complete
June 2024100complete
May 2024125complete
April 2024141complete
March 2024111complete
February 2024149complete
January 202489complete
December 202388complete
November 202387complete
October 202393complete
September 2023122complete
August 2023107complete
July 2023109complete
June 202394complete
May 2023144complete
April 2023136complete
March 2023164complete
February 2023111complete
January 202394complete
December 202296complete
November 202252complete
October 202296complete
September 202296complete
August 202299complete
July 202298complete
June 2022102complete
May 2022101complete
April 202272complete
March 2022125complete
February 202263complete
January 202272complete
December 202141complete
November 202183complete
October 202161complete
September 202184complete
August 202188complete
July 202182complete
June 202167complete
May 202161complete
April 202189complete
March 2021121complete
February 202199complete
January 202198complete
December 202064complete
November 202077complete
October 202050complete
September 202084complete
August 202079complete
July 2020109complete
June 202071complete
May 202062complete
April 202063complete
March 202097complete
February 202075complete
January 202042complete
December 201941complete
November 201966complete
October 201993complete
September 201951complete
August 201953complete
July 201971complete
June 201953complete
May 201934complete
April 201924complete
March 201923complete
February 20193complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:9b0f917d88d10259c4c31ae302b43fe8
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
6f3357f2c2bc1d169e870beb3d94d9612846ee9cc145615bed0232f9a168fbaa

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.