Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Lawn: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
696
October 2025–September 2026
403
Change in monthly mean
-24.42

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.73-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 7Apr 2019: 6May 2019: 10Jun 2019: 5Jul 2019: 8Aug 2019: 2Sep 2019: 2Oct 2019: 11Nov 2019: 8Dec 2019: 8Jan 2020: 3Feb 2020: 10Mar 2020: 12Apr 2020: 7May 2020: 20Jun 2020: 18Jul 2020: 19Aug 2020: 8Sep 2020: 13Oct 2020: 7Dec 2020: 25Jan 2021: 11Feb 2021: 5Mar 2021: 17Apr 2021: 5May 2021: 8Jun 2021: 13Jul 2021: 8Aug 2021: 11Sep 2021: 10Oct 2021: 10Nov 2021: 18Dec 2021: 12Jan 2022: 16Feb 2022: 17Mar 2022: 31Apr 2022: 12May 2022: 21Jun 2022: 19Jul 2022: 13Aug 2022: 31Sep 2022: 38Oct 2022: 41Nov 2022: 10Dec 2022: 18Jan 2023: 21Feb 2023: 12Mar 2023: 19Apr 2023: 22May 2023: 29Jun 2023: 17Jul 2023: 15Aug 2023: 16Sep 2023: 18Oct 2023: 15Nov 2023: 13Dec 2023: 20Jan 2024: 13Feb 2024: 47Mar 2024: 12Apr 2024: 37May 2024: 13Jun 2024: 30Jul 2024: 12Aug 2024: 24Sep 2024: 52Oct 2024: 53Nov 2024: 55Dec 2024: 52Jan 2025: 57Feb 2025: 103Mar 2025: 58Apr 2025: 75May 2025: 52Jun 2025: 44Jul 2025: 50Aug 2025: 50Sep 2025: 47Oct 2025: 24Nov 2025: 38Dec 2025: 31Jan 2026: 43Feb 2026: 22Mar 2026: 26Apr 2026: 28May 2026: 50Jun 2026: 29Jul 2026: 23Aug 2026: 44Sep 2026: 45ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedNov 2020: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.17Fitted increase · 3 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 3 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.171.139–1.20630.180
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202645complete
August 202644complete
July 202623complete
June 202629complete
May 202650complete
April 202628complete
March 202626complete
February 202622complete
January 202643complete
December 202531complete
November 202538complete
October 202524complete
September 202547complete
August 202550complete
July 202550complete
June 202544complete
May 202552complete
April 202575complete
March 202558complete
February 2025103complete
January 202557complete
December 202452complete
November 202455complete
October 202453complete
September 202452complete
August 202424complete
July 202412complete
June 202430complete
May 202413complete
April 202437complete
March 202412complete
February 202447complete
January 202413complete
December 202320complete
November 202313complete
October 202315complete
September 202318complete
August 202316complete
July 202315complete
June 202317complete
May 202329complete
April 202322complete
March 202319complete
February 202312complete
January 202321complete
December 202218complete
November 202210complete
October 202241complete
September 202238complete
August 202231complete
July 202213complete
June 202219complete
May 202221complete
April 202212complete
March 202231complete
February 202217complete
January 202216complete
December 202112complete
November 202118complete
October 202110complete
September 202110complete
August 202111complete
July 20218complete
June 202113complete
May 20218complete
April 20215complete
March 202117complete
February 20215complete
January 202111complete
December 202025complete
November 20200complete
October 20207complete
September 202013complete
August 20208complete
July 202019complete
June 202018complete
May 202020complete
April 20207complete
March 202012complete
February 202010complete
January 20203complete
December 20198complete
November 20198complete
October 201911complete
September 20192complete
August 20192complete
July 20198complete
June 20195complete
May 201910complete
April 20196complete
March 20197complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:9b0f917d88d10259c4c31ae302b43fe8
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
6f3357f2c2bc1d169e870beb3d94d9612846ee9cc145615bed0232f9a168fbaa

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.