Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Garfield Park: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · celeration turn

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

Celeration turns: changes between fitted phases

A factor describes a standardized six-month multiplier, not a count. These turns passed the scan’s volume and magnitude gates; phase selection remains exploratory.

  • Suggested boundary July 2021: ×1.72 → ÷1.13 per six months; 1.95× change between factors. Adjacent raw phase totals: 385 and 679. The fitted slope signs reverse.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Suggested 2-phase description — exploratory, not confirmed.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Suggested 2-phase description — exploratory, not confirmed. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2021-06suggested phase 2: 2021-07–2026-09Apr 2019: 2May 2019: 3Jun 2019: 9Jul 2019: 5Aug 2019: 23Sep 2019: 17Oct 2019: 4Nov 2019: 12Dec 2019: 6Jan 2020: 13Feb 2020: 5Mar 2020: 5Apr 2020: 8May 2020: 15Jun 2020: 16Jul 2020: 7Aug 2020: 2Sep 2020: 23Oct 2020: 3Nov 2020: 19Dec 2020: 24Jan 2021: 17Feb 2021: 20Mar 2021: 23Apr 2021: 29May 2021: 36Jun 2021: 39Jul 2021: 16Aug 2021: 5Sep 2021: 10Oct 2021: 41Nov 2021: 10Dec 2021: 9Jan 2022: 13Feb 2022: 20Mar 2022: 52Apr 2022: 2May 2022: 16Jun 2022: 3Jul 2022: 2Aug 2022: 18Sep 2022: 6Oct 2022: 26Nov 2022: 7Dec 2022: 11Jan 2023: 18Feb 2023: 29Mar 2023: 19Apr 2023: 6May 2023: 24Jun 2023: 20Jul 2023: 8Aug 2023: 50Sep 2023: 5Oct 2023: 3Nov 2023: 2Dec 2023: 1Jan 2024: 7Feb 2024: 6Mar 2024: 9Apr 2024: 15May 2024: 26Jun 2024: 2Jul 2024: 14Aug 2024: 11Sep 2024: 3Oct 2024: 6Nov 2024: 2Dec 2024: 2Jan 2025: 3Feb 2025: 4Mar 2025: 7Apr 2025: 12May 2025: 10Jun 2025: 7Jul 2025: 6Aug 2025: 2Sep 2025: 2Oct 2025: 10Nov 2025: 2Dec 2025: 6Jan 2026: 4Feb 2026: 7Mar 2026: 9Apr 2026: 16May 2026: 4Jun 2026: 3Jul 2026: 1Aug 2026: 6Sep 2026: 3ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedMar 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested phases · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Jun 2021×1.72Fitted increase · 3 zeros fitted as 1
  2. 2 · Jul 2021–Sep 2026÷1.13Fitted decrease

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 3 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Boundary ranges show near-optimal models within 2 BIC units, not confidence intervals. They can be narrow even when the model is uncertain.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–June 202130×1.721.407–2.09930.193
2July 2021–September 202663÷1.130.8190–0.949100.086

Near-optimal boundary range: June 2021–August 2021.

Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20263complete
August 20266complete
July 20261complete
June 20263complete
May 20264complete
April 202616complete
March 20269complete
February 20267complete
January 20264complete
December 20256complete
November 20252complete
October 202510complete
September 20252complete
August 20252complete
July 20256complete
June 20257complete
May 202510complete
April 202512complete
March 20257complete
February 20254complete
January 20253complete
December 20242complete
November 20242complete
October 20246complete
September 20243complete
August 202411complete
July 202414complete
June 20242complete
May 202426complete
April 202415complete
March 20249complete
February 20246complete
January 20247complete
December 20231complete
November 20232complete
October 20233complete
September 20235complete
August 202350complete
July 20238complete
June 202320complete
May 202324complete
April 20236complete
March 202319complete
February 202329complete
January 202318complete
December 202211complete
November 20227complete
October 202226complete
September 20226complete
August 202218complete
July 20222complete
June 20223complete
May 202216complete
April 20222complete
March 202252complete
February 202220complete
January 202213complete
December 20219complete
November 202110complete
October 202141complete
September 202110complete
August 20215complete
July 202116complete
June 202139complete
May 202136complete
April 202129complete
March 202123complete
February 202120complete
January 202117complete
December 202024complete
November 202019complete
October 20203complete
September 202023complete
August 20202complete
July 20207complete
June 202016complete
May 202015complete
April 20208complete
March 20205complete
February 20205complete
January 202013complete
December 20196complete
November 201912complete
October 20194complete
September 201917complete
August 201923complete
July 20195complete
June 20199complete
May 20193complete
April 20192complete
March 20190complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:8c77a35eb1a87e861eb676b50800a125
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
aea6b3a2ce0a9e33a9ec0d6a850627cc5c30d1abc4e7ef8ba7b361448e70d9cb

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.