Generated evidence · pending editorial review

West Englewood: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · celeration turn

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

Celeration turns: changes between fitted phases

A factor describes a standardized six-month multiplier, not a count. These turns passed the scan’s volume and magnitude gates; phase selection remains exploratory.

  • Suggested boundary January 2020: ×4.68 → ÷1.33 per six months; 6.25× change between factors. Adjacent raw phase totals: 134 and 371. The fitted slope signs reverse.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Suggested 3-phase description — exploratory, not confirmed.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Suggested 3-phase description — exploratory, not confirmed. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2019-12suggested phase 2: 2020-01–2022-02suggested phase 3: 2022-03–2026-09Mar 2019: 4Apr 2019: 15May 2019: 5Jun 2019: 12Jul 2019: 11Aug 2019: 7Sep 2019: 17Oct 2019: 24Nov 2019: 17Dec 2019: 22Jan 2020: 17Feb 2020: 11Mar 2020: 13Apr 2020: 13May 2020: 28Jun 2020: 8Jul 2020: 26Aug 2020: 32Sep 2020: 28Oct 2020: 17Nov 2020: 13Dec 2020: 16Jan 2021: 4Feb 2021: 13Mar 2021: 13Apr 2021: 20May 2021: 4Jun 2021: 9Jul 2021: 13Aug 2021: 20Sep 2021: 9Oct 2021: 20Nov 2021: 12Dec 2021: 7Jan 2022: 1Feb 2022: 4Mar 2022: 28Apr 2022: 6May 2022: 8Jun 2022: 9Jul 2022: 16Aug 2022: 25Sep 2022: 33Oct 2022: 11Nov 2022: 17Dec 2022: 9Jan 2023: 12Feb 2023: 17Mar 2023: 5Apr 2023: 8May 2023: 8Jun 2023: 10Jul 2023: 9Aug 2023: 18Sep 2023: 8Oct 2023: 7Nov 2023: 6Dec 2023: 7Jan 2024: 17Feb 2024: 16Mar 2024: 8Apr 2024: 7May 2024: 30Jun 2024: 43Jul 2024: 43Aug 2024: 7Sep 2024: 11Oct 2024: 19Nov 2024: 12Dec 2024: 23Jan 2025: 35Feb 2025: 32Mar 2025: 23Apr 2025: 23May 2025: 17Jun 2025: 47Jul 2025: 16Aug 2025: 16Sep 2025: 37Oct 2025: 33Nov 2025: 12Dec 2025: 18Jan 2026: 27Feb 2026: 14Mar 2026: 24Apr 2026: 35May 2026: 31Jun 2026: 34Jul 2026: 33Aug 2026: 22Sep 2026: 25ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested phases · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Dec 2019×4.68Fitted increase · 2 zeros fitted as 1
  2. 2 · Jan 2020–Feb 2022÷1.33Fitted decrease
  3. 3 · Mar 2022–Sep 2026×1.12Fitted increase

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 2 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Boundary ranges show near-optimal models within 2 BIC units, not confidence intervals. They can be narrow even when the model is uncertain.
  • A phase is at the minimum allowed length; its boundary may be sensitive to that search limit.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–December 201912×4.682.328–9.41920.155
2January 2020–February 202226÷1.330.6009–0.934200.149
3March 2022–September 202655×1.121.063–1.18800.244

Near-optimal boundary range: January 2020–January 2020.

Near-optimal boundary range: December 2021–March 2022.

Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202625complete
August 202622complete
July 202633complete
June 202634complete
May 202631complete
April 202635complete
March 202624complete
February 202614complete
January 202627complete
December 202518complete
November 202512complete
October 202533complete
September 202537complete
August 202516complete
July 202516complete
June 202547complete
May 202517complete
April 202523complete
March 202523complete
February 202532complete
January 202535complete
December 202423complete
November 202412complete
October 202419complete
September 202411complete
August 20247complete
July 202443complete
June 202443complete
May 202430complete
April 20247complete
March 20248complete
February 202416complete
January 202417complete
December 20237complete
November 20236complete
October 20237complete
September 20238complete
August 202318complete
July 20239complete
June 202310complete
May 20238complete
April 20238complete
March 20235complete
February 202317complete
January 202312complete
December 20229complete
November 202217complete
October 202211complete
September 202233complete
August 202225complete
July 202216complete
June 20229complete
May 20228complete
April 20226complete
March 202228complete
February 20224complete
January 20221complete
December 20217complete
November 202112complete
October 202120complete
September 20219complete
August 202120complete
July 202113complete
June 20219complete
May 20214complete
April 202120complete
March 202113complete
February 202113complete
January 20214complete
December 202016complete
November 202013complete
October 202017complete
September 202028complete
August 202032complete
July 202026complete
June 20208complete
May 202028complete
April 202013complete
March 202013complete
February 202011complete
January 202017complete
December 201922complete
November 201917complete
October 201924complete
September 201917complete
August 20197complete
July 201911complete
June 201912complete
May 20195complete
April 201915complete
March 20194complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:6d89babfe661ddd0bbc041b7c1b07c38
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
290b6f11feae2f6fbb356491b4967221deda93ae26802c5268cd02fde3ea21ad

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.