Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Uptown: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
281
October 2025–September 2026
670
Change in monthly mean
+32.42

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.38-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 6Apr 2019: 4May 2019: 7Jun 2019: 21Jul 2019: 11Aug 2019: 11Sep 2019: 4Oct 2019: 6Nov 2019: 1Dec 2019: 6Jan 2020: 2Feb 2020: 3Mar 2020: 10Apr 2020: 12May 2020: 19Jun 2020: 5Jul 2020: 16Aug 2020: 11Sep 2020: 15Oct 2020: 4Nov 2020: 15Dec 2020: 12Jan 2021: 34Feb 2021: 14Mar 2021: 11Apr 2021: 14May 2021: 20Jun 2021: 14Jul 2021: 11Aug 2021: 4Sep 2021: 4Oct 2021: 17Nov 2021: 9Dec 2021: 3Jan 2022: 21Feb 2022: 5Mar 2022: 20Apr 2022: 14May 2022: 10Jun 2022: 16Jul 2022: 9Aug 2022: 14Sep 2022: 14Oct 2022: 7Nov 2022: 4Dec 2022: 12Jan 2023: 5Feb 2023: 5Mar 2023: 3Apr 2023: 7May 2023: 13Jun 2023: 14Jul 2023: 9Aug 2023: 18Sep 2023: 22Oct 2023: 20Nov 2023: 38Dec 2023: 6Jan 2024: 12Feb 2024: 11Mar 2024: 33Apr 2024: 26May 2024: 47Jun 2024: 20Jul 2024: 13Aug 2024: 9Sep 2024: 10Oct 2024: 34Nov 2024: 30Dec 2024: 26Feb 2025: 13Mar 2025: 10Apr 2025: 11May 2025: 24Jun 2025: 17Jul 2025: 16Aug 2025: 45Sep 2025: 55Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 33Dec 2025: 47Jan 2026: 33Feb 2026: 67Mar 2026: 97Apr 2026: 126May 2026: 50Jun 2026: 61Jul 2026: 27Aug 2026: 57Sep 2026: 61ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedJan 2025: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.14Fitted increase · 3 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 3 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.141.102–1.18830.291
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202661complete
August 202657complete
July 202627complete
June 202661complete
May 202650complete
April 2026126complete
March 202697complete
February 202667complete
January 202633complete
December 202547complete
November 202533complete
October 202511complete
September 202555complete
August 202545complete
July 202516complete
June 202517complete
May 202524complete
April 202511complete
March 202510complete
February 202513complete
January 20250complete
December 202426complete
November 202430complete
October 202434complete
September 202410complete
August 20249complete
July 202413complete
June 202420complete
May 202447complete
April 202426complete
March 202433complete
February 202411complete
January 202412complete
December 20236complete
November 202338complete
October 202320complete
September 202322complete
August 202318complete
July 20239complete
June 202314complete
May 202313complete
April 20237complete
March 20233complete
February 20235complete
January 20235complete
December 202212complete
November 20224complete
October 20227complete
September 202214complete
August 202214complete
July 20229complete
June 202216complete
May 202210complete
April 202214complete
March 202220complete
February 20225complete
January 202221complete
December 20213complete
November 20219complete
October 202117complete
September 20214complete
August 20214complete
July 202111complete
June 202114complete
May 202120complete
April 202114complete
March 202111complete
February 202114complete
January 202134complete
December 202012complete
November 202015complete
October 20204complete
September 202015complete
August 202011complete
July 202016complete
June 20205complete
May 202019complete
April 202012complete
March 202010complete
February 20203complete
January 20202complete
December 20196complete
November 20191complete
October 20196complete
September 20194complete
August 201911complete
July 201911complete
June 201921complete
May 20197complete
April 20194complete
March 20196complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:6dd6b20a62b3a97ac97a29df80842d4c
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
9dbaadeb1a137fdca167d0545c7957e69dd8131d9630c392ca09ed33dc30330d

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.