Generated evidence · pending editorial review

South Lawndale: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
1,057
October 2025–September 2026
1,924
Change in monthly mean
+72.25

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.82-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Feb 2019: 1Mar 2019: 34Apr 2019: 46May 2019: 27Jun 2019: 23Jul 2019: 21Aug 2019: 32Sep 2019: 51Oct 2019: 46Nov 2019: 11Dec 2019: 19Jan 2020: 20Feb 2020: 22Mar 2020: 42Apr 2020: 30May 2020: 62Jun 2020: 48Jul 2020: 41Aug 2020: 80Sep 2020: 40Oct 2020: 46Nov 2020: 34Dec 2020: 63Jan 2021: 88Feb 2021: 41Mar 2021: 31Apr 2021: 42May 2021: 69Jun 2021: 58Jul 2021: 50Aug 2021: 50Sep 2021: 121Oct 2021: 27Nov 2021: 27Dec 2021: 28Jan 2022: 13Feb 2022: 54Mar 2022: 52Apr 2022: 100May 2022: 57Jun 2022: 49Jul 2022: 69Aug 2022: 49Sep 2022: 74Oct 2022: 37Nov 2022: 43Dec 2022: 29Jan 2023: 73Feb 2023: 59Mar 2023: 54Apr 2023: 28May 2023: 64Jun 2023: 69Jul 2023: 67Aug 2023: 64Sep 2023: 66Oct 2023: 65Nov 2023: 30Dec 2023: 71Jan 2024: 48Feb 2024: 61Mar 2024: 31Apr 2024: 61May 2024: 33Jun 2024: 106Jul 2024: 49Aug 2024: 46Sep 2024: 168Oct 2024: 110Nov 2024: 51Dec 2024: 86Jan 2025: 86Feb 2025: 54Mar 2025: 68Apr 2025: 88May 2025: 150Jun 2025: 93Jul 2025: 79Aug 2025: 89Sep 2025: 103Oct 2025: 134Nov 2025: 101Dec 2025: 112Jan 2026: 196Feb 2026: 151Mar 2026: 192Apr 2026: 190May 2026: 142Jun 2026: 43Jul 2026: 135Aug 2026: 276Sep 2026: 252ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.14Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (12)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.141.101–1.17110.344
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 2026252complete
August 2026276complete
July 2026135complete
June 202643complete
May 2026142complete
April 2026190complete
March 2026192complete
February 2026151complete
January 2026196complete
December 2025112complete
November 2025101complete
October 2025134complete
September 2025103complete
August 202589complete
July 202579complete
June 202593complete
May 2025150complete
April 202588complete
March 202568complete
February 202554complete
January 202586complete
December 202486complete
November 202451complete
October 2024110complete
September 2024168complete
August 202446complete
July 202449complete
June 2024106complete
May 202433complete
April 202461complete
March 202431complete
February 202461complete
January 202448complete
December 202371complete
November 202330complete
October 202365complete
September 202366complete
August 202364complete
July 202367complete
June 202369complete
May 202364complete
April 202328complete
March 202354complete
February 202359complete
January 202373complete
December 202229complete
November 202243complete
October 202237complete
September 202274complete
August 202249complete
July 202269complete
June 202249complete
May 202257complete
April 2022100complete
March 202252complete
February 202254complete
January 202213complete
December 202128complete
November 202127complete
October 202127complete
September 2021121complete
August 202150complete
July 202150complete
June 202158complete
May 202169complete
April 202142complete
March 202131complete
February 202141complete
January 202188complete
December 202063complete
November 202034complete
October 202046complete
September 202040complete
August 202080complete
July 202041complete
June 202048complete
May 202062complete
April 202030complete
March 202042complete
February 202022complete
January 202020complete
December 201919complete
November 201911complete
October 201946complete
September 201951complete
August 201932complete
July 201921complete
June 201923complete
May 201927complete
April 201946complete
March 201934complete
February 20191complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:eb0caa0dff6653f79d8a70cceffb92b3
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
bce2b6e709142ad8e71fbaf8055b9cc7abb8662852573e393adf8e56acacca93

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.