Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Rogers Park: All categories · Status: Completed — Graffiti requests

All categories · Status: Completed

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
1,589
October 2025–September 2026
1,031
Change in monthly mean
-46.5

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.54-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthSingle-trend reference: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 31Apr 2019: 31May 2019: 40Jun 2019: 135Jul 2019: 179Aug 2019: 139Sep 2019: 159Oct 2019: 62Nov 2019: 147Dec 2019: 173Jan 2020: 256Feb 2020: 83Mar 2020: 142Apr 2020: 125May 2020: 156Jun 2020: 220Jul 2020: 177Aug 2020: 191Sep 2020: 293Oct 2020: 140Nov 2020: 124Dec 2020: 395Jan 2021: 149Feb 2021: 57Mar 2021: 99Apr 2021: 199May 2021: 114Jun 2021: 143Jul 2021: 81Aug 2021: 183Sep 2021: 136Oct 2021: 60Nov 2021: 62Dec 2021: 44Jan 2022: 138Feb 2022: 69Mar 2022: 184Apr 2022: 137May 2022: 161Jun 2022: 95Jul 2022: 110Aug 2022: 250Sep 2022: 120Oct 2022: 92Nov 2022: 86Dec 2022: 56Jan 2023: 78Feb 2023: 95Mar 2023: 120Apr 2023: 137May 2023: 135Jun 2023: 91Jul 2023: 95Aug 2023: 84Sep 2023: 84Oct 2023: 135Nov 2023: 142Dec 2023: 78Jan 2024: 111Feb 2024: 107Mar 2024: 138Apr 2024: 122May 2024: 91Jun 2024: 141Jul 2024: 158Aug 2024: 121Sep 2024: 103Oct 2024: 162Nov 2024: 122Dec 2024: 171Jan 2025: 179Feb 2025: 167Mar 2025: 158Apr 2025: 131May 2025: 153Jun 2025: 76Jul 2025: 109Aug 2025: 86Sep 2025: 75Oct 2025: 86Nov 2025: 69Dec 2025: 42Jan 2026: 73Feb 2026: 137Mar 2026: 117Apr 2026: 112May 2026: 95Jun 2026: 89Jul 2026: 65Aug 2026: 68Sep 2026: 78ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Single-trend reference · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.03Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 2 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (14)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 2 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • The best candidate failed the residual-independence diagnostic. A single-trend reference is shown instead; this does not establish a stable trend.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.030.9863–1.06620.575
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202678complete
August 202668complete
July 202665complete
June 202689complete
May 202695complete
April 2026112complete
March 2026117complete
February 2026137complete
January 202673complete
December 202542complete
November 202569complete
October 202586complete
September 202575complete
August 202586complete
July 2025109complete
June 202576complete
May 2025153complete
April 2025131complete
March 2025158complete
February 2025167complete
January 2025179complete
December 2024171complete
November 2024122complete
October 2024162complete
September 2024103complete
August 2024121complete
July 2024158complete
June 2024141complete
May 202491complete
April 2024122complete
March 2024138complete
February 2024107complete
January 2024111complete
December 202378complete
November 2023142complete
October 2023135complete
September 202384complete
August 202384complete
July 202395complete
June 202391complete
May 2023135complete
April 2023137complete
March 2023120complete
February 202395complete
January 202378complete
December 202256complete
November 202286complete
October 202292complete
September 2022120complete
August 2022250complete
July 2022110complete
June 202295complete
May 2022161complete
April 2022137complete
March 2022184complete
February 202269complete
January 2022138complete
December 202144complete
November 202162complete
October 202160complete
September 2021136complete
August 2021183complete
July 202181complete
June 2021143complete
May 2021114complete
April 2021199complete
March 202199complete
February 202157complete
January 2021149complete
December 2020395complete
November 2020124complete
October 2020140complete
September 2020293complete
August 2020191complete
July 2020177complete
June 2020220complete
May 2020156complete
April 2020125complete
March 2020142complete
February 202083complete
January 2020256complete
December 2019173complete
November 2019147complete
October 201962complete
September 2019159complete
August 2019139complete
July 2019179complete
June 2019135complete
May 201940complete
April 201931complete
March 201931complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:d51796843d7e255630be5dc7ea174ad7
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
39d6373d0ed07bfdcd2b35a1fb620ea1524533561f9dbf8df2aba3cc5493db8f

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.