Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Rogers Park: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
181
October 2025–September 2026
323
Change in monthly mean
+11.83

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.78-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 1Apr 2019: 7May 2019: 7Jun 2019: 6Jul 2019: 14Aug 2019: 13Sep 2019: 3Oct 2019: 7Nov 2019: 8Dec 2019: 5Jan 2020: 4Feb 2020: 3Mar 2020: 2Apr 2020: 13May 2020: 28Jun 2020: 20Jul 2020: 1Aug 2020: 9Sep 2020: 14Oct 2020: 1Nov 2020: 8Dec 2020: 2Jan 2021: 2Feb 2021: 25Mar 2021: 2Apr 2021: 8May 2021: 13Jun 2021: 6Jul 2021: 4Aug 2021: 9Sep 2021: 6Oct 2021: 5Nov 2021: 2Dec 2021: 7Jan 2022: 3Feb 2022: 1Mar 2022: 13Apr 2022: 10May 2022: 10Jun 2022: 24Jul 2022: 8Aug 2022: 11Sep 2022: 3Oct 2022: 10Nov 2022: 13Dec 2022: 4Jan 2023: 16Feb 2023: 5Mar 2023: 6Apr 2023: 10May 2023: 7Jun 2023: 11Jul 2023: 7Aug 2023: 6Sep 2023: 13Oct 2023: 13Nov 2023: 19Dec 2023: 9Jan 2024: 10Feb 2024: 2Mar 2024: 7Apr 2024: 13May 2024: 4Jun 2024: 27Jul 2024: 10Aug 2024: 14Sep 2024: 15Oct 2024: 16Nov 2024: 20Dec 2024: 12Jan 2025: 6Feb 2025: 13Mar 2025: 27Apr 2025: 13May 2025: 18Jun 2025: 12Jul 2025: 5Aug 2025: 13Sep 2025: 26Oct 2025: 9Nov 2025: 13Dec 2025: 9Jan 2026: 37Feb 2026: 58Mar 2026: 36Apr 2026: 32May 2026: 14Jun 2026: 26Jul 2026: 29Aug 2026: 29Sep 2026: 31ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.12Fitted increase · 2 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 2 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.121.084–1.16620.062
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202631complete
August 202629complete
July 202629complete
June 202626complete
May 202614complete
April 202632complete
March 202636complete
February 202658complete
January 202637complete
December 20259complete
November 202513complete
October 20259complete
September 202526complete
August 202513complete
July 20255complete
June 202512complete
May 202518complete
April 202513complete
March 202527complete
February 202513complete
January 20256complete
December 202412complete
November 202420complete
October 202416complete
September 202415complete
August 202414complete
July 202410complete
June 202427complete
May 20244complete
April 202413complete
March 20247complete
February 20242complete
January 202410complete
December 20239complete
November 202319complete
October 202313complete
September 202313complete
August 20236complete
July 20237complete
June 202311complete
May 20237complete
April 202310complete
March 20236complete
February 20235complete
January 202316complete
December 20224complete
November 202213complete
October 202210complete
September 20223complete
August 202211complete
July 20228complete
June 202224complete
May 202210complete
April 202210complete
March 202213complete
February 20221complete
January 20223complete
December 20217complete
November 20212complete
October 20215complete
September 20216complete
August 20219complete
July 20214complete
June 20216complete
May 202113complete
April 20218complete
March 20212complete
February 202125complete
January 20212complete
December 20202complete
November 20208complete
October 20201complete
September 202014complete
August 20209complete
July 20201complete
June 202020complete
May 202028complete
April 202013complete
March 20202complete
February 20203complete
January 20204complete
December 20195complete
November 20198complete
October 20197complete
September 20193complete
August 201913complete
July 201914complete
June 20196complete
May 20197complete
April 20197complete
March 20191complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:d51796843d7e255630be5dc7ea174ad7
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
39d6373d0ed07bfdcd2b35a1fb620ea1524533561f9dbf8df2aba3cc5493db8f

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.