Generated evidence · pending editorial review

North Park: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
50
October 2025–September 2026
158
Change in monthly mean
+9

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 3.16-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Apr 2019: 1May 2019: 4Jun 2019: 2Jul 2019: 2Aug 2019: 1Sep 2019: 1Oct 2019: 6Nov 2019: 1Dec 2019: 1Jan 2020: 1Mar 2020: 3Apr 2020: 3May 2020: 2Jun 2020: 3Jul 2020: 1Aug 2020: 3Nov 2020: 1Dec 2020: 5Jan 2021: 1Feb 2021: 7Mar 2021: 1Apr 2021: 2Jun 2021: 1Jul 2021: 4Aug 2021: 4Sep 2021: 10Oct 2021: 3Nov 2021: 1Dec 2021: 2Apr 2022: 5Jun 2022: 1Jul 2022: 10Aug 2022: 4Sep 2022: 4Oct 2022: 8Nov 2022: 4Dec 2022: 5Feb 2023: 1Mar 2023: 12Apr 2023: 3Jun 2023: 6Jul 2023: 4Aug 2023: 3Sep 2023: 1Oct 2023: 6Nov 2023: 1Jan 2024: 1Feb 2024: 2Apr 2024: 1Jun 2024: 3Jul 2024: 2Aug 2024: 6Sep 2024: 8Oct 2024: 2Dec 2024: 3Jan 2025: 1Mar 2025: 7Apr 2025: 3May 2025: 11Jun 2025: 3Jul 2025: 5Aug 2025: 14Sep 2025: 1Oct 2025: 12Nov 2025: 4Dec 2025: 5Jan 2026: 11Feb 2026: 30Mar 2026: 33Apr 2026: 20May 2026: 6Jun 2026: 14Jul 2026: 8Aug 2026: 8Sep 2026: 7ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedMar 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2020: zero requests; not connectedSep 2020: zero requests; not connectedOct 2020: zero requests; not connectedMay 2021: zero requests; not connectedJan 2022: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2022: zero requests; not connectedMar 2022: zero requests; not connectedMay 2022: zero requests; not connectedJan 2023: zero requests; not connectedMay 2023: zero requests; not connectedDec 2023: zero requests; not connectedMar 2024: zero requests; not connectedMay 2024: zero requests; not connectedNov 2024: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2025: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.11Fitted increase · 18 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 18 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.111.067–1.156180.181
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20267complete
August 20268complete
July 20268complete
June 202614complete
May 20266complete
April 202620complete
March 202633complete
February 202630complete
January 202611complete
December 20255complete
November 20254complete
October 202512complete
September 20251complete
August 202514complete
July 20255complete
June 20253complete
May 202511complete
April 20253complete
March 20257complete
February 20250complete
January 20251complete
December 20243complete
November 20240complete
October 20242complete
September 20248complete
August 20246complete
July 20242complete
June 20243complete
May 20240complete
April 20241complete
March 20240complete
February 20242complete
January 20241complete
December 20230complete
November 20231complete
October 20236complete
September 20231complete
August 20233complete
July 20234complete
June 20236complete
May 20230complete
April 20233complete
March 202312complete
February 20231complete
January 20230complete
December 20225complete
November 20224complete
October 20228complete
September 20224complete
August 20224complete
July 202210complete
June 20221complete
May 20220complete
April 20225complete
March 20220complete
February 20220complete
January 20220complete
December 20212complete
November 20211complete
October 20213complete
September 202110complete
August 20214complete
July 20214complete
June 20211complete
May 20210complete
April 20212complete
March 20211complete
February 20217complete
January 20211complete
December 20205complete
November 20201complete
October 20200complete
September 20200complete
August 20203complete
July 20201complete
June 20203complete
May 20202complete
April 20203complete
March 20203complete
February 20200complete
January 20201complete
December 20191complete
November 20191complete
October 20196complete
September 20191complete
August 20191complete
July 20192complete
June 20192complete
May 20194complete
April 20191complete
March 20190complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:1c0d5a1351d9e5cc4c39f38b442fc603
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
21adddd4867bb7b20b25f17ea7784352117abd71a0c41ea75a4463641e3f9a81

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.