Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Lower West Side: All categories · 00:00–06:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 00:00–06:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
77
October 2025–September 2026
138
Change in monthly mean
+5.08

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.79-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 5Apr 2019: 6May 2019: 1Jun 2019: 13Jul 2019: 6Aug 2019: 2Sep 2019: 8Nov 2019: 1Dec 2019: 5Jan 2020: 2Feb 2020: 1Mar 2020: 3Apr 2020: 5May 2020: 7Jun 2020: 4Jul 2020: 20Aug 2020: 4Sep 2020: 8Oct 2020: 7Nov 2020: 8Dec 2020: 8Jan 2021: 1Feb 2021: 34Mar 2021: 8Apr 2021: 10May 2021: 7Jun 2021: 11Jul 2021: 15Aug 2021: 4Oct 2021: 1Nov 2021: 4Dec 2021: 11Jan 2022: 5Feb 2022: 5Mar 2022: 32Apr 2022: 5May 2022: 10Jun 2022: 5Jul 2022: 5Aug 2022: 7Sep 2022: 3Oct 2022: 4Nov 2022: 2Dec 2022: 3Jan 2023: 16Feb 2023: 10Mar 2023: 6Apr 2023: 2May 2023: 6Jun 2023: 10Aug 2023: 4Sep 2023: 4Oct 2023: 28Nov 2023: 12Dec 2023: 19Jan 2024: 9Feb 2024: 4Mar 2024: 5Apr 2024: 7May 2024: 5Jun 2024: 5Jul 2024: 6Aug 2024: 2Sep 2024: 4Oct 2024: 2Nov 2024: 4Dec 2024: 2Jan 2025: 5Feb 2025: 2Mar 2025: 8Apr 2025: 6May 2025: 8Jun 2025: 14Jul 2025: 5Aug 2025: 10Sep 2025: 11Oct 2025: 13Nov 2025: 3Dec 2025: 8Jan 2026: 6Feb 2026: 10Mar 2026: 15Apr 2026: 12May 2026: 18Jun 2026: 12Jul 2026: 17Aug 2026: 10Sep 2026: 14ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedOct 2019: zero requests; not connectedSep 2021: zero requests; not connectedJul 2023: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.07Fitted increase · 5 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 5 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.071.025–1.10850.163
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202614complete
August 202610complete
July 202617complete
June 202612complete
May 202618complete
April 202612complete
March 202615complete
February 202610complete
January 20266complete
December 20258complete
November 20253complete
October 202513complete
September 202511complete
August 202510complete
July 20255complete
June 202514complete
May 20258complete
April 20256complete
March 20258complete
February 20252complete
January 20255complete
December 20242complete
November 20244complete
October 20242complete
September 20244complete
August 20242complete
July 20246complete
June 20245complete
May 20245complete
April 20247complete
March 20245complete
February 20244complete
January 20249complete
December 202319complete
November 202312complete
October 202328complete
September 20234complete
August 20234complete
July 20230complete
June 202310complete
May 20236complete
April 20232complete
March 20236complete
February 202310complete
January 202316complete
December 20223complete
November 20222complete
October 20224complete
September 20223complete
August 20227complete
July 20225complete
June 20225complete
May 202210complete
April 20225complete
March 202232complete
February 20225complete
January 20225complete
December 202111complete
November 20214complete
October 20211complete
September 20210complete
August 20214complete
July 202115complete
June 202111complete
May 20217complete
April 202110complete
March 20218complete
February 202134complete
January 20211complete
December 20208complete
November 20208complete
October 20207complete
September 20208complete
August 20204complete
July 202020complete
June 20204complete
May 20207complete
April 20205complete
March 20203complete
February 20201complete
January 20202complete
December 20195complete
November 20191complete
October 20190complete
September 20198complete
August 20192complete
July 20196complete
June 201913complete
May 20191complete
April 20196complete
March 20195complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:9114205a2809e9ee0b157af4823e8cb2
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
dc3a967aa055c4f23110fd79fc7c3d179f4089dccef78a9138d575b6a0f23ba4

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.