Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Lake View: All categories · Status: Completed — Graffiti requests

All categories · Status: Completed

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
3,032
October 2025–September 2026
5,608
Change in monthly mean
+214.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.85-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthSingle-trend reference: 2019-01–2026-09Feb 2019: 4Mar 2019: 96Apr 2019: 133May 2019: 144Jun 2019: 502Jul 2019: 421Aug 2019: 350Sep 2019: 263Oct 2019: 148Nov 2019: 283Dec 2019: 278Jan 2020: 346Feb 2020: 189Mar 2020: 485Apr 2020: 316May 2020: 224Jun 2020: 235Jul 2020: 221Aug 2020: 223Sep 2020: 369Oct 2020: 169Nov 2020: 205Dec 2020: 698Jan 2021: 272Feb 2021: 111Mar 2021: 319Apr 2021: 497May 2021: 253Jun 2021: 429Jul 2021: 194Aug 2021: 334Sep 2021: 162Oct 2021: 202Nov 2021: 204Dec 2021: 158Jan 2022: 244Feb 2022: 112Mar 2022: 260Apr 2022: 244May 2022: 329Jun 2022: 329Jul 2022: 442Aug 2022: 313Sep 2022: 202Oct 2022: 214Nov 2022: 263Dec 2022: 163Jan 2023: 150Feb 2023: 165Mar 2023: 207Apr 2023: 196May 2023: 173Jun 2023: 193Jul 2023: 169Aug 2023: 194Sep 2023: 192Oct 2023: 164Nov 2023: 227Dec 2023: 187Jan 2024: 166Feb 2024: 151Mar 2024: 390Apr 2024: 261May 2024: 193Jun 2024: 444Jul 2024: 244Aug 2024: 212Sep 2024: 209Oct 2024: 249Nov 2024: 159Dec 2024: 176Jan 2025: 243Feb 2025: 215Mar 2025: 245Apr 2025: 237May 2025: 318Jun 2025: 283Jul 2025: 221Aug 2025: 336Sep 2025: 350Oct 2025: 732Nov 2025: 679Dec 2025: 344Jan 2026: 376Feb 2026: 419Mar 2026: 405Apr 2026: 390May 2026: 429Jun 2026: 563Jul 2026: 535Aug 2026: 327Sep 2026: 409ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Single-trend reference · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.06Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 1 zero fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (13)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 1 confirmed zero fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • The best candidate failed the residual-independence diagnostic. A single-trend reference is shown instead; this does not establish a stable trend.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.061.026–1.10510.507
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 2026409complete
August 2026327complete
July 2026535complete
June 2026563complete
May 2026429complete
April 2026390complete
March 2026405complete
February 2026419complete
January 2026376complete
December 2025344complete
November 2025679complete
October 2025732complete
September 2025350complete
August 2025336complete
July 2025221complete
June 2025283complete
May 2025318complete
April 2025237complete
March 2025245complete
February 2025215complete
January 2025243complete
December 2024176complete
November 2024159complete
October 2024249complete
September 2024209complete
August 2024212complete
July 2024244complete
June 2024444complete
May 2024193complete
April 2024261complete
March 2024390complete
February 2024151complete
January 2024166complete
December 2023187complete
November 2023227complete
October 2023164complete
September 2023192complete
August 2023194complete
July 2023169complete
June 2023193complete
May 2023173complete
April 2023196complete
March 2023207complete
February 2023165complete
January 2023150complete
December 2022163complete
November 2022263complete
October 2022214complete
September 2022202complete
August 2022313complete
July 2022442complete
June 2022329complete
May 2022329complete
April 2022244complete
March 2022260complete
February 2022112complete
January 2022244complete
December 2021158complete
November 2021204complete
October 2021202complete
September 2021162complete
August 2021334complete
July 2021194complete
June 2021429complete
May 2021253complete
April 2021497complete
March 2021319complete
February 2021111complete
January 2021272complete
December 2020698complete
November 2020205complete
October 2020169complete
September 2020369complete
August 2020223complete
July 2020221complete
June 2020235complete
May 2020224complete
April 2020316complete
March 2020485complete
February 2020189complete
January 2020346complete
December 2019278complete
November 2019283complete
October 2019148complete
September 2019263complete
August 2019350complete
July 2019421complete
June 2019502complete
May 2019144complete
April 2019133complete
March 201996complete
February 20194complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:7c5366796c8fa279462ab76237d549c3
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
aa862ea2da5e709369a1ace699c1105d78d97f04e8efbc2c9a7951c0333198d3

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.