Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Jefferson Park: All categories · 18:00–24:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 18:00–24:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
68
October 2025–September 2026
136
Change in monthly mean
+5.67

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 1Apr 2019: 4May 2019: 2Jun 2019: 9Jul 2019: 4Aug 2019: 2Sep 2019: 6Oct 2019: 2Nov 2019: 8Dec 2019: 1Jan 2020: 5Feb 2020: 2Mar 2020: 3Apr 2020: 5May 2020: 2Jun 2020: 1Jul 2020: 2Aug 2020: 2Sep 2020: 1Oct 2020: 3Nov 2020: 4Dec 2020: 7Jan 2021: 5Feb 2021: 3Mar 2021: 5Apr 2021: 6May 2021: 10Jun 2021: 2Jul 2021: 7Aug 2021: 18Sep 2021: 5Oct 2021: 3Nov 2021: 3Dec 2021: 2Jan 2022: 4Feb 2022: 3Apr 2022: 11May 2022: 5Jun 2022: 16Jul 2022: 9Aug 2022: 6Sep 2022: 6Oct 2022: 2Nov 2022: 1Dec 2022: 6Jan 2023: 6Feb 2023: 2Mar 2023: 6Apr 2023: 1May 2023: 2Jun 2023: 7Jul 2023: 3Aug 2023: 1Sep 2023: 2Oct 2023: 8Nov 2023: 2Dec 2023: 1Jan 2024: 2Feb 2024: 3Mar 2024: 1May 2024: 1Jun 2024: 3Jul 2024: 2Aug 2024: 4Sep 2024: 6Oct 2024: 6Nov 2024: 5Dec 2024: 1Jan 2025: 5Mar 2025: 5Apr 2025: 2May 2025: 5Jun 2025: 11Jul 2025: 8Aug 2025: 8Sep 2025: 12Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 3Dec 2025: 6Jan 2026: 19Feb 2026: 12Mar 2026: 15Apr 2026: 11May 2026: 15Jun 2026: 1Jul 2026: 1Aug 2026: 23Sep 2026: 19ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedMar 2022: zero requests; not connectedApr 2024: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2025: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.05Fitted increase · 5 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 5 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.051.012–1.09750.252
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202619complete
August 202623complete
July 20261complete
June 20261complete
May 202615complete
April 202611complete
March 202615complete
February 202612complete
January 202619complete
December 20256complete
November 20253complete
October 202511complete
September 202512complete
August 20258complete
July 20258complete
June 202511complete
May 20255complete
April 20252complete
March 20255complete
February 20250complete
January 20255complete
December 20241complete
November 20245complete
October 20246complete
September 20246complete
August 20244complete
July 20242complete
June 20243complete
May 20241complete
April 20240complete
March 20241complete
February 20243complete
January 20242complete
December 20231complete
November 20232complete
October 20238complete
September 20232complete
August 20231complete
July 20233complete
June 20237complete
May 20232complete
April 20231complete
March 20236complete
February 20232complete
January 20236complete
December 20226complete
November 20221complete
October 20222complete
September 20226complete
August 20226complete
July 20229complete
June 202216complete
May 20225complete
April 202211complete
March 20220complete
February 20223complete
January 20224complete
December 20212complete
November 20213complete
October 20213complete
September 20215complete
August 202118complete
July 20217complete
June 20212complete
May 202110complete
April 20216complete
March 20215complete
February 20213complete
January 20215complete
December 20207complete
November 20204complete
October 20203complete
September 20201complete
August 20202complete
July 20202complete
June 20201complete
May 20202complete
April 20205complete
March 20203complete
February 20202complete
January 20205complete
December 20191complete
November 20198complete
October 20192complete
September 20196complete
August 20192complete
July 20194complete
June 20199complete
May 20192complete
April 20194complete
March 20191complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:a24fef16e05249eebe3a51a9de15449b
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
eb21600aed3cf74195f352b1ad3c7fb03f815934650076224b93e20ea03cb311

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.