Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Greater Grand Crossing: All categories · 12:00–18:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 12:00–18:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
95
October 2025–September 2026
165
Change in monthly mean
+5.83

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.74-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. No clear change in celeration under this rule. This does not mean counts were constant. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthsuggested phase 1: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 2Apr 2019: 3May 2019: 5Jun 2019: 1Jul 2019: 6Aug 2019: 1Sep 2019: 7Oct 2019: 4Nov 2019: 5Dec 2019: 1Jan 2020: 1Feb 2020: 4Mar 2020: 2Apr 2020: 4May 2020: 10Jun 2020: 1Jul 2020: 10Aug 2020: 1Sep 2020: 2Oct 2020: 2Nov 2020: 5Dec 2020: 2Jan 2021: 1Feb 2021: 1Mar 2021: 11Apr 2021: 4May 2021: 3Jun 2021: 4Jul 2021: 3Sep 2021: 3Oct 2021: 2Nov 2021: 5Dec 2021: 4Jan 2022: 8Feb 2022: 5Mar 2022: 14Apr 2022: 7Jun 2022: 17Jul 2022: 6Aug 2022: 4Sep 2022: 4Dec 2022: 1Feb 2023: 3Mar 2023: 4Apr 2023: 3May 2023: 2Jun 2023: 4Jul 2023: 2Aug 2023: 5Sep 2023: 7Oct 2023: 7Nov 2023: 1Dec 2023: 5Jan 2024: 10Feb 2024: 6Mar 2024: 4Apr 2024: 18May 2024: 23Jun 2024: 10Jul 2024: 32Aug 2024: 1Sep 2024: 2Oct 2024: 12Nov 2024: 6Dec 2024: 9Jan 2025: 12Feb 2025: 5Mar 2025: 6Apr 2025: 4May 2025: 12Jun 2025: 6Aug 2025: 11Sep 2025: 12Oct 2025: 11Nov 2025: 5Dec 2025: 13Jan 2026: 7Feb 2026: 9Mar 2026: 24Apr 2026: 34May 2026: 2Jun 2026: 41Jul 2026: 5Aug 2026: 5Sep 2026: 9ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connectedAug 2021: zero requests; not connectedMay 2022: zero requests; not connectedOct 2022: zero requests; not connectedNov 2022: zero requests; not connectedJan 2023: zero requests; not connectedJul 2025: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Suggested trend · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026×1.11Fitted increase · 8 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (11)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 8 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693×1.111.064–1.1548-0.011
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 20269complete
August 20265complete
July 20265complete
June 202641complete
May 20262complete
April 202634complete
March 202624complete
February 20269complete
January 20267complete
December 202513complete
November 20255complete
October 202511complete
September 202512complete
August 202511complete
July 20250complete
June 20256complete
May 202512complete
April 20254complete
March 20256complete
February 20255complete
January 202512complete
December 20249complete
November 20246complete
October 202412complete
September 20242complete
August 20241complete
July 202432complete
June 202410complete
May 202423complete
April 202418complete
March 20244complete
February 20246complete
January 202410complete
December 20235complete
November 20231complete
October 20237complete
September 20237complete
August 20235complete
July 20232complete
June 20234complete
May 20232complete
April 20233complete
March 20234complete
February 20233complete
January 20230complete
December 20221complete
November 20220complete
October 20220complete
September 20224complete
August 20224complete
July 20226complete
June 202217complete
May 20220complete
April 20227complete
March 202214complete
February 20225complete
January 20228complete
December 20214complete
November 20215complete
October 20212complete
September 20213complete
August 20210complete
July 20213complete
June 20214complete
May 20213complete
April 20214complete
March 202111complete
February 20211complete
January 20211complete
December 20202complete
November 20205complete
October 20202complete
September 20202complete
August 20201complete
July 202010complete
June 20201complete
May 202010complete
April 20204complete
March 20202complete
February 20204complete
January 20201complete
December 20191complete
November 20195complete
October 20194complete
September 20197complete
August 20191complete
July 20196complete
June 20191complete
May 20195complete
April 20193complete
March 20192complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:509409e66492af729202627bee12cc83
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
d538784bd1adcd031374f53a5c21aee5a9b8dad4da1093df2bef09f8278d4ae2

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.