Generated evidence · pending editorial review

East Side: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
209
October 2025–September 2026
109
Change in monthly mean
-8.33

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 1.92-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthSingle-trend reference: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 5Apr 2019: 11May 2019: 20Jun 2019: 9Jul 2019: 36Aug 2019: 71Sep 2019: 40Oct 2019: 48Nov 2019: 64Dec 2019: 30Jan 2020: 53Feb 2020: 62Mar 2020: 87Apr 2020: 40May 2020: 42Jun 2020: 11Jul 2020: 16Aug 2020: 33Sep 2020: 25Oct 2020: 23Nov 2020: 37Dec 2020: 39Jan 2021: 16Feb 2021: 16Mar 2021: 33Apr 2021: 22May 2021: 25Jun 2021: 39Jul 2021: 3Aug 2021: 29Sep 2021: 46Oct 2021: 23Nov 2021: 4Dec 2021: 19Jan 2022: 27Feb 2022: 7Mar 2022: 19Apr 2022: 18May 2022: 11Jun 2022: 16Jul 2022: 12Aug 2022: 17Sep 2022: 7Oct 2022: 1Nov 2022: 11Dec 2022: 13Jan 2023: 14Feb 2023: 27Mar 2023: 79Apr 2023: 20May 2023: 9Jun 2023: 17Jul 2023: 21Aug 2023: 40Sep 2023: 12Oct 2023: 21Nov 2023: 25Dec 2023: 16Jan 2024: 34Feb 2024: 32Mar 2024: 32Apr 2024: 27May 2024: 33Jun 2024: 25Jul 2024: 22Aug 2024: 23Sep 2024: 11Oct 2024: 16Nov 2024: 5Dec 2024: 13Jan 2025: 10Feb 2025: 14Mar 2025: 26Apr 2025: 14May 2025: 16Jun 2025: 18Jul 2025: 27Aug 2025: 25Sep 2025: 25Oct 2025: 9Nov 2025: 10Dec 2025: 5Jan 2026: 1Feb 2026: 2Mar 2026: 10Apr 2026: 5May 2026: 17Jun 2026: 12Jul 2026: 17Aug 2026: 10Sep 2026: 11ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Single-trend reference · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.04Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 2 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (14)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 2 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • The best candidate failed the residual-independence diagnostic. A single-trend reference is shown instead; this does not establish a stable trend.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.040.9183–1.00120.493
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202611complete
August 202610complete
July 202617complete
June 202612complete
May 202617complete
April 20265complete
March 202610complete
February 20262complete
January 20261complete
December 20255complete
November 202510complete
October 20259complete
September 202525complete
August 202525complete
July 202527complete
June 202518complete
May 202516complete
April 202514complete
March 202526complete
February 202514complete
January 202510complete
December 202413complete
November 20245complete
October 202416complete
September 202411complete
August 202423complete
July 202422complete
June 202425complete
May 202433complete
April 202427complete
March 202432complete
February 202432complete
January 202434complete
December 202316complete
November 202325complete
October 202321complete
September 202312complete
August 202340complete
July 202321complete
June 202317complete
May 20239complete
April 202320complete
March 202379complete
February 202327complete
January 202314complete
December 202213complete
November 202211complete
October 20221complete
September 20227complete
August 202217complete
July 202212complete
June 202216complete
May 202211complete
April 202218complete
March 202219complete
February 20227complete
January 202227complete
December 202119complete
November 20214complete
October 202123complete
September 202146complete
August 202129complete
July 20213complete
June 202139complete
May 202125complete
April 202122complete
March 202133complete
February 202116complete
January 202116complete
December 202039complete
November 202037complete
October 202023complete
September 202025complete
August 202033complete
July 202016complete
June 202011complete
May 202042complete
April 202040complete
March 202087complete
February 202062complete
January 202053complete
December 201930complete
November 201964complete
October 201948complete
September 201940complete
August 201971complete
July 201936complete
June 20199complete
May 201920complete
April 201911complete
March 20195complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:99db29c0bd4752f488972d939e747c19
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
7f921446f55de0203a379681c6ca87faedcc738f2ee39dafc07ddd7926b57ccb

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.