Generated evidence · pending editorial review

Bridgeport: All categories · 06:00–12:00 — Graffiti requests

All categories · 06:00–12:00

City source retrieved November 6, 2026 · scan evaluated November 9, 2026 · frequency change

Current dashboard records may have been revised. Analyze is a separate action there. Saved-for-review choices stay in this browser and do not endorse a result.

12-month frequency comparison

October 2024–September 2025
692
October 2025–September 2026
331
Change in monthly mean
-30.08

The two windows each contain 12 complete covered months. The magnitude of the change is 2.09-fold. These are published requests, not a population-adjusted rate. Fixed windows do not establish a breakpoint, remove all seasonal effects or prove a renewal explanation.

Saved observations and fitted phases

Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change.

Fixed six-log-cycle frame · 120 calendar months · factors per six months. Raw zeros stay zero; confirmed zeros become one only for log-space fitting and diagnostics. Missing coverage remains unavailable.

Monthly graffiti removal requests on a standard celeration chartCity of Chicago published records. Fixed six-decade count scale, 120 calendar months, celeration per 6 months. Zero markers are unconnected below the plot. Exact counts and coverage are available in the data table. Analyze: suggested. Phase suggestions withheld: serial pattern remains in the candidate fits. Manual boundaries can explore, not confirm, a change. See the phase results table for dates, factors and uncertainty.1510501005001,0005,00010,00050,000100,000500,0001,000,000Requests per monthSingle-trend reference: 2019-01–2026-09Mar 2019: 40Apr 2019: 23May 2019: 54Jun 2019: 82Jul 2019: 69Aug 2019: 96Sep 2019: 35Oct 2019: 89Nov 2019: 106Dec 2019: 84Jan 2020: 73Feb 2020: 103Mar 2020: 78Apr 2020: 72May 2020: 52Jun 2020: 51Jul 2020: 73Aug 2020: 66Sep 2020: 105Oct 2020: 57Nov 2020: 118Dec 2020: 69Jan 2021: 82Feb 2021: 56Mar 2021: 96Apr 2021: 63May 2021: 90Jun 2021: 50Jul 2021: 101Aug 2021: 142Sep 2021: 88Oct 2021: 80Nov 2021: 63Dec 2021: 23Jan 2022: 25Feb 2022: 14Mar 2022: 37Apr 2022: 23May 2022: 23Jun 2022: 34Jul 2022: 40Aug 2022: 40Sep 2022: 37Oct 2022: 76Nov 2022: 41Dec 2022: 57Jan 2023: 90Feb 2023: 50Mar 2023: 75Apr 2023: 41May 2023: 22Jun 2023: 35Jul 2023: 60Aug 2023: 88Sep 2023: 57Oct 2023: 59Nov 2023: 61Dec 2023: 70Jan 2024: 76Feb 2024: 49Mar 2024: 79Apr 2024: 86May 2024: 65Jun 2024: 62Jul 2024: 66Aug 2024: 47Sep 2024: 34Oct 2024: 67Nov 2024: 45Dec 2024: 64Jan 2025: 57Feb 2025: 51Mar 2025: 54Apr 2025: 66May 2025: 64Jun 2025: 75Jul 2025: 41Aug 2025: 33Sep 2025: 75Oct 2025: 39Nov 2025: 23Dec 2025: 4Jan 2026: 15Feb 2026: 15Mar 2026: 56Apr 2026: 27May 2026: 26Jun 2026: 51Jul 2026: 28Aug 2026: 26Sep 2026: 21ZeroUnknownJan 2019: zero requests; not connectedFeb 2019: zero requests; not connected?Oct 2016: missing?Nov 2016: missing?Dec 2016: missing?Jan 2017: missing?Feb 2017: missing?Mar 2017: missing?Apr 2017: missing?May 2017: missing?Jun 2017: missing?Jul 2017: missing?Aug 2017: missing?Sep 2017: missing?Oct 2017: missing?Nov 2017: missing?Dec 2017: missing?Jan 2018: missing?Feb 2018: missing?Mar 2018: missing?Apr 2018: missing?May 2018: missing?Jun 2018: missing?Jul 2018: missing?Aug 2018: missing?Sep 2018: missing?Oct 2018: missing?Nov 2018: missing?Dec 2018: missingOct 2016Oct 2017Oct 2018Oct 2019Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Oct 2026Calendar months

Single-trend reference · exploratory · per six months

  1. 1 · Jan 2019–Sep 2026÷1.02Direction uncertain (serial pattern) · 2 zeros fitted as 1

Check the evidence

Interpretation and limitations (14)
  • Exploratory description, not a forecast, causal explanation or proof of a change.
  • Approximate 95% factor intervals assume independent, constant-variance log residuals and fixed boundaries. They do not account for boundary search, serial dependence or source revisions.
  • Confirmed zeros are treated as 1 only for fitting and its diagnostics. Raw counts stay zero; low-count results depend on this convention.
  • Independent phase lines may jump at boundaries. Every observation belongs to exactly one phase.
  • Reporting, classifications and seasonality can change. Counts are not population-adjusted; a level shift without a slope change is not the target of this search.
  • Uses dated last-good cached data, not newly verified source counts.
  • 2 confirmed zeros fitted as 1; raw counts remain zero. Low-count trends are sensitive to this adjustment.
  • The best candidate failed the residual-independence diagnostic. A single-trend reference is shown instead; this does not establish a stable trend.
  • Serial pattern in residuals: independence is doubtful; the reported intervals may be too narrow. Seasonality is not modeled.
  • At least one factor interval includes 1; its direction is uncertain under this approximation.
  • 311 status is its value at retrieval, not at request creation. Newer cohorts have had less time to close; Open/Canceled comparisons can reflect workflow or cohort age rather than changing request volume.
  • Current-system 311 coverage starts in 2019. Early phases may reflect adoption/reporting ramp-up; request counts are not completed work or incident prevalence.
  • Many dependent filter conditions were searched. No multiple-testing-adjusted significance or causal attribution is claimed.
  • Frequency compares fixed equal-length windows of raw counts, not population risk or a celeration-factor ratio. Reporting, classifications and exposure may have changed.
Phase diagnostics

Intervals assume fixed boundaries and independent log residuals. They are not adjusted for the phase or filter search. Near-optimal boundary ranges are not confidence intervals.

Saved phase results
PhaseStart–endMonthsFactor / six monthsConditional 95% intervalZeros fitted as 1Lag-one residual
1January 2019–September 202693÷1.020.9473–1.02220.539
Exact monthly observations (120 slots)

Newest first. Unknown coverage is not a zero. These are the original saved observations, not fitted or rounded predictions.

Raw monthly requests
MonthRaw countCoverage
September 202621complete
August 202626complete
July 202628complete
June 202651complete
May 202626complete
April 202627complete
March 202656complete
February 202615complete
January 202615complete
December 20254complete
November 202523complete
October 202539complete
September 202575complete
August 202533complete
July 202541complete
June 202575complete
May 202564complete
April 202566complete
March 202554complete
February 202551complete
January 202557complete
December 202464complete
November 202445complete
October 202467complete
September 202434complete
August 202447complete
July 202466complete
June 202462complete
May 202465complete
April 202486complete
March 202479complete
February 202449complete
January 202476complete
December 202370complete
November 202361complete
October 202359complete
September 202357complete
August 202388complete
July 202360complete
June 202335complete
May 202322complete
April 202341complete
March 202375complete
February 202350complete
January 202390complete
December 202257complete
November 202241complete
October 202276complete
September 202237complete
August 202240complete
July 202240complete
June 202234complete
May 202223complete
April 202223complete
March 202237complete
February 202214complete
January 202225complete
December 202123complete
November 202163complete
October 202180complete
September 202188complete
August 2021142complete
July 2021101complete
June 202150complete
May 202190complete
April 202163complete
March 202196complete
February 202156complete
January 202182complete
December 202069complete
November 2020118complete
October 202057complete
September 2020105complete
August 202066complete
July 202073complete
June 202051complete
May 202052complete
April 202072complete
March 202078complete
February 2020103complete
January 202073complete
December 201984complete
November 2019106complete
October 201989complete
September 201935complete
August 201996complete
July 201969complete
June 201982complete
May 201954complete
April 201923complete
March 201940complete
February 20190complete
January 20190complete
December 2018Unavailablemissing
November 2018Unavailablemissing
October 2018Unavailablemissing
September 2018Unavailablemissing
August 2018Unavailablemissing
July 2018Unavailablemissing
June 2018Unavailablemissing
May 2018Unavailablemissing
April 2018Unavailablemissing
March 2018Unavailablemissing
February 2018Unavailablemissing
January 2018Unavailablemissing
December 2017Unavailablemissing
November 2017Unavailablemissing
October 2017Unavailablemissing
September 2017Unavailablemissing
August 2017Unavailablemissing
July 2017Unavailablemissing
June 2017Unavailablemissing
May 2017Unavailablemissing
April 2017Unavailablemissing
March 2017Unavailablemissing
February 2017Unavailablemissing
January 2017Unavailablemissing
December 2016Unavailablemissing
November 2016Unavailablemissing
October 2016Unavailablemissing
Source and reproducibility
Publisher dataset
311 Service Requests · City of Chicago
Source retrieved
2026-11-06T12:10:53.153Z
Publisher update
2026-11-06T11:22:56.000Z
Covered months
January 2019–September 2026
Source note
Source v6vf-nfxy. Joint day/category/hour/applicable-flag/ward/status counts; no addresses, coordinates or incident identifiers. Each year's cells reconcile with an independent source total. Reads are not an atomic publisher snapshot. Current 311 system only, legacy_record=false; includes duplicate requests, not completed work. Status is as currently published, grouped by creation date—not historical status or completion date. Prepared daily community-area snapshot; scheduled rebuild at 06:00 America/Chicago. Full supported history is rechecked for corrections. Retrieval timestamps are preserved; this is not a real-time feed. Local indexed neighborhood snapshot. Totals are for the loaded area before other filters, not citywide totals. Citywide and unassigned-area views use a separate network-backed scope.
Snapshot
daily-v1:f761b44d-f9db-4d57-b536-48aea9b60f93:neighborhood-v2:2476ddede4b209bcc1719c2e3c816248
Discovery method
multi-feed-turn-and-frequency-renewal-v2
Analyze method
exploratory-segmented-log10-ols-zero-as-one-v3
Search plan
a3ffccedeb8d8ce18a30df3636839f775af1e5188e55a1f685695133135c6e35
Evidence run
9c52e1bc816eda4801179479f92b73e878435068aa5b7de80c1ecfcf02f50acf

Challenge the pattern

Check unfiltered totals, comparable communities, source revisions and administrative definitions before treating this candidate as evidence of a real-world explanation. Only explicitly documented follow-ups above have been performed; no others are implied by the ranking. Browse the other graffiti requests candidates or review the complete screening method.